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下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?

Market icon

下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?

尚未選出龐德 67%

Callum Turner 20%

亞倫·泰勒-強森 4.3%

雅各布·艾洛迪 1.9%

Polymarket

$1,817,933 交易量

尚未選出龐德 67%

Callum Turner 20%

亞倫·泰勒-強森 4.3%

雅各布·艾洛迪 1.9%

Polymarket

$1,817,933 交易量

沒有人被宣布為下一任詹姆士·龐德? icon

尚未選出龐德

$250,322 交易量

67%

Callum Turner被宣布為下一任詹姆斯·邦德? icon

Callum Turner

$122,100 交易量

20%

亞倫·泰勒-強森被宣布為下一任詹姆斯·龐德? icon

亞倫·泰勒-強森

$98,791 交易量

4%

雅各布·艾洛迪被宣布為下一任詹姆斯·龐德? icon

雅各布·艾洛迪

$235,193 交易量

2%

亨利·卡維爾被宣布為下一任詹姆斯·邦德? icon

亨利·卡維爾

$251,177 交易量

2%

有消息稱Theo James將成為下一任詹姆斯・龐德? icon

Theo James

$26,961 交易量

1%

湯姆·哈迪被宣布為下一任詹姆士·龐德? icon

湯姆·哈迪

$75,982 交易量

1%

詹姆斯·諾頓被宣布為下一任詹姆斯·龐德? icon

詹姆斯·諾頓

$110,802 交易量

<1%

Paul Mescal 被宣布為新一任詹姆斯·龐德? icon

Paul Mescal

$100,996 交易量

<1%

Josh O'Connor被宣布為下一任詹姆士·龐德? icon

Josh O'Connor

$31,737 交易量

<1%

傑克·洛登被宣布為下一任詹姆斯·龐德? icon

傑克·洛登

$83,236 交易量

<1%

哈里斯·迪金森被宣布為下一任詹姆斯·龐德? icon

哈里斯·迪金森

$148,477 交易量

<1%

皮爾斯·布洛斯南被宣布為下一任詹姆士·龐德? icon

皮爾斯·布洛斯南

$180,265 交易量

<1%

湯姆·霍蘭德被宣布成為下一任詹姆斯·龐德? icon

湯姆·霍蘭德

$70,514 交易量

<1%

詹姆斯·柯利爾被宣布為下一任詹姆斯·龐德? icon

羅伯特·詹姆斯-柯利爾

$31,379 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at 66% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM studio heads' April 16 statement urging patience on casting for James Bond 26, amid ongoing script development by Steven Knight and Denis Villeneuve's directorial attachment for a 2028 release. Callum Turner leads challengers at 19.5% after his Polymarket odds doubled in March, propelled by Berlinale press buzz in February where he coyly sidestepped rumors, peer endorsements like Jessie Buckley's, and momentum from Masters of the Air elevating his action-hero profile. Aaron Taylor-Johnson lingers at 4.3% on persistent producer meeting reports and late-March red carpet speculation, but faces stiff competition from Jacob Elordi whispers; expect shifts as 2026 casting tests loom.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,817,933
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at 66% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM studio heads' April 16 statement urging patience on casting for James Bond 26, amid ongoing script development by Steven Knight and Denis Villeneuve's directorial attachment for a 2028 release. Callum Turner leads challengers at 19.5% after his Polymarket odds doubled in March, propelled by Berlinale press buzz in February where he coyly sidestepped rumors, peer endorsements like Jessie Buckley's, and momentum from Masters of the Air elevating his action-hero profile. Aaron Taylor-Johnson lingers at 4.3% on persistent producer meeting reports and late-March red carpet speculation, but faces stiff competition from Jacob Elordi whispers; expect shifts as 2026 casting tests loom.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,817,933
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "尚未選出龐德" at 67%, followed by "Callum Turner" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?" has generated $1.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?" is "尚未選出龐德" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Callum Turner" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.