Trader consensus heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at 66% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM studio heads' April 16 statement urging patience on casting for James Bond 26, amid ongoing script development by Steven Knight and Denis Villeneuve's directorial attachment for a 2028 release. Callum Turner leads challengers at 19.5% after his Polymarket odds doubled in March, propelled by Berlinale press buzz in February where he coyly sidestepped rumors, peer endorsements like Jessie Buckley's, and momentum from Masters of the Air elevating his action-hero profile. Aaron Taylor-Johnson lingers at 4.3% on persistent producer meeting reports and late-March red carpet speculation, but faces stiff competition from Jacob Elordi whispers; expect shifts as 2026 casting tests loom.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?
下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?
尚未選出龐德 67%
Callum Turner 20%
亞倫·泰勒-強森 4.3%
雅各布·艾洛迪 1.9%
$1,817,933 交易量
$1,817,933 交易量

尚未選出龐德
67%

Callum Turner
20%

亞倫·泰勒-強森
4%

雅各布·艾洛迪
2%

亨利·卡維爾
2%

Theo James
1%

湯姆·哈迪
1%

詹姆斯·諾頓
<1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

Josh O'Connor
<1%

傑克·洛登
<1%

哈里斯·迪金森
<1%

皮爾斯·布洛斯南
<1%

湯姆·霍蘭德
<1%

羅伯特·詹姆斯-柯利爾
<1%
尚未選出龐德 67%
Callum Turner 20%
亞倫·泰勒-強森 4.3%
雅各布·艾洛迪 1.9%
$1,817,933 交易量
$1,817,933 交易量

尚未選出龐德
67%

Callum Turner
20%

亞倫·泰勒-強森
4%

雅各布·艾洛迪
2%

亨利·卡維爾
2%

Theo James
1%

湯姆·哈迪
1%

詹姆斯·諾頓
<1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

Josh O'Connor
<1%

傑克·洛登
<1%

哈里斯·迪金森
<1%

皮爾斯·布洛斯南
<1%

湯姆·霍蘭德
<1%

羅伯特·詹姆斯-柯利爾
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at 66% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM studio heads' April 16 statement urging patience on casting for James Bond 26, amid ongoing script development by Steven Knight and Denis Villeneuve's directorial attachment for a 2028 release. Callum Turner leads challengers at 19.5% after his Polymarket odds doubled in March, propelled by Berlinale press buzz in February where he coyly sidestepped rumors, peer endorsements like Jessie Buckley's, and momentum from Masters of the Air elevating his action-hero profile. Aaron Taylor-Johnson lingers at 4.3% on persistent producer meeting reports and late-March red carpet speculation, but faces stiff competition from Jacob Elordi whispers; expect shifts as 2026 casting tests loom.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions