Trader consensus prices "No" at 71% for a critical Discord incident by April 30, driven by recent service outages—like the March 25 connectivity and voice disruptions, plus elevated streaming and messaging errors—that resolved within hours without impacting over 50% of users, per market criteria defining critical as widespread outages, data breaches, or exploits exceeding that threshold. Discord's status page transparency and rapid incident response have contained issues, with no confirmed platform-level security breaches since October 2025 third-party vendor leaks affecting limited age-verification data. Absent escalating vulnerabilities or regulatory probes, stability prevails, though a surprise exploit or prolonged outage near resolution could shift odds amid Discord's 200 million-user scale.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於NEW
NEW
Apr 30, 2026
NEW
NEW
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.Trader consensus prices "No" at 71% for a critical Discord incident by April 30, driven by recent service outages—like the March 25 connectivity and voice disruptions, plus elevated streaming and messaging errors—that resolved within hours without impacting over 50% of users, per market criteria defining critical as widespread outages, data breaches, or exploits exceeding that threshold. Discord's status page transparency and rapid incident response have contained issues, with no confirmed platform-level security breaches since October 2025 third-party vendor leaks affecting limited age-verification data. Absent escalating vulnerabilities or regulatory probes, stability prevails, though a surprise exploit or prolonged outage near resolution could shift odds amid Discord's 200 million-user scale.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
市場開放時間： Mar 27, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
交易量
$13結束日期
Apr 30, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 27, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.Trader consensus prices "No" at 71% for a critical Discord incident by April 30, driven by recent service outages—like the March 25 connectivity and voice disruptions, plus elevated streaming and messaging errors—that resolved within hours without impacting over 50% of users, per market criteria defining critical as widespread outages, data breaches, or exploits exceeding that threshold. Discord's status page transparency and rapid incident response have contained issues, with no confirmed platform-level security breaches since October 2025 third-party vendor leaks affecting limited age-verification data. Absent escalating vulnerabilities or regulatory probes, stability prevails, though a surprise exploit or prolonged outage near resolution could shift odds amid Discord's 200 million-user scale.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
交易量
$13結束日期
Apr 30, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 27, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 71% for a critical Discord incident by April 30, driven by recent service outages—like the March 25 connectivity and voice disruptions, plus elevated streaming and messaging errors—that resolved within hours without impacting over 50% of users, per market criteria defining critical as widespread outages, data breaches, or exploits exceeding that threshold. Discord's status page transparency and rapid incident response have contained issues, with no confirmed platform-level security breaches since October 2025 third-party vendor leaks affecting limited age-verification data. Absent escalating vulnerabilities or regulatory probes, stability prevails, though a surprise exploit or prolonged outage near resolution could shift odds amid Discord's 200 million-user scale.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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