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人擇的 預測與賠率

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Anthropic IPO by __?

Anthropic IPO by __?

78%

December 31, 2026

$387K 交易量

$126K Liq.

7

Ends 大約 1 年內

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

100%

No IPO by June 30, 2026

$2M 交易量

$256K Liq.

5

Ends 12 天內

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

73%

Anthropic

$171K 交易量

$10.6K Liq.

3

Ends 超過 1 年內

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

91%

600B+

$374K 交易量

$165K Liq.

Ends 超過 1 年內

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?

97%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$11.0K 交易量

$14.9K Liq.

Ends 14 天內

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

49%

1.8T+

$164K 交易量

$83.4K Liq.

Ends 超過 1 年內

Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30?

Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30?

3%

Anthropic

$8.8K 交易量

$13.6K Liq.

Ends 14 天內

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

16%

<$1.25T

$55.5K 交易量

$50.9K Liq.

Ends 超過 1 年內

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

65%

$149K 交易量

$8.3K Liq.

11

Ends 7 個月內

Anthropic CEO arrested?

Anthropic CEO arrested?

1%

$178K 交易量

$7.1K Liq.

2

Ends 12 天內

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

62%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$663 交易量

$5.9K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by...?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by...?

10%

June 30

$146K 交易量

$11.0K Liq.

6

Ends 12 天內

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

25%

OpenAI + Anthropic

$467 交易量

$10.6K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

72%

Anthropic

$30.6K 交易量

$9.6K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?

96%

Anthropic

$30.0K 交易量

$5.6K Liq.

Ends 14 天內

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

5%

$21.4K 交易量

$2.3K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

94%

Anthropic

$15M 交易量

$163K today

$3M Liq.

62

Ends 12 天內

Which company has best AI model end of July?

Which company has best AI model end of July?

83%

Anthropic

$294K 交易量

$55.5K today

$478K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

22%

Lovable

$18M 交易量

$56.1K Liq.

25

Ends 7 個月內

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

42%

Boeing

$117K 交易量

$49.4K Liq.

3

Ends 7 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which companies will be acquired before 2027?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which companies will be acquired before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Pizza Hut. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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