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人擇的 預測與賠率

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克勞德會在五月的__天下山嗎?

克勞德會在五月的__天下山嗎?

43%

12+

$13.1K 交易量

$20.3K Liq.

Ends 23 天內

哪家公司的人工智能將在2026年首次在聊天機器人競技場上達到1550 ?

哪家公司的人工智能將在2026年首次在聊天機器人競技場上達到1550 ?

58%

2026年無一家

$50.6K 交易量

$30.0K Liq.

3

Ends 8 個月內

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

25%

1.8T+

$13.6K 交易量

$46.3K Liq.

Ends 超過 1 年內

特朗普下令在5月31日之前對人工智能模型的發布進行聯邦審查?

特朗普下令在5月31日之前對人工智能模型的發布進行聯邦審查?

21%

$34.2K 交易量

$14.2K Liq.

1

Ends 23 天內

Claude Mythos由… ?

Claude Mythos由… ?

18%

6月30日

$358K 交易量

$6.9K Liq.

19

Ends 8 天前

Anthropic IPO收市市值

Anthropic IPO收市市值

98%

2026年6月30日前未IPO

$1M 交易量

$100K Liq.

5

Ends 大約 2 個月內

2026年人為估值超過5000億$ ?

2026年人為估值超過5000億$ ?

99%

$22.6K 交易量

$10.1K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Anthropic的下一輪融資結束於... ?

Anthropic的下一輪融資結束於... ?

96%

December 31

$9.7K 交易量

$13.1K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Anthropic Claude在6月30日前在FrontierMath Benchmark上得分?

Anthropic Claude在6月30日前在FrontierMath Benchmark上得分?

22%

50%以上

$60.0K 交易量

$813 Liq.

12

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Anthropic IPO收市市值(下括號)

Anthropic IPO收市市值(下括號)

88%

6000億+

$292K 交易量

$92.4K Liq.

Ends 超過 1 年內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 人擇的.

Polymarket currently hosts 10 active markets for 人擇的 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “克勞德會在五月的__天下山嗎?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “2026年人為估值超過5000億$ ?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Anthropic IPO收市市值,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Anthropic IPO收市市值,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to 2026年6月30日前未IPO. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 人擇的 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.