SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for a June 2026 IPO, reported April 1, has propelled its market-implied odds to 89.5%, positioning it as trader consensus for the year's largest by market cap at a potential $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—surpassing historical records like Saudi Aramco. The February merger with xAI, valuing the combined entity at $1.25 trillion, integrates orbital compute ambitions with Starlink revenue and AI capabilities via Grok models, enhancing its tech stack appeal amid booming demand for space-AI infrastructure. Rivals like OpenAI (recent $122 billion raise at $852 billion valuation) and Anthropic (eyeing Q4 listing at $380 billion) trail due to absent filings and later timelines, while xAI's 25.5% reflects merger overhang uncertainty; watch regulatory reviews and Starship milestones as key catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於SpaceX 90%
OpenAI 4.2%
Anthropic 4.1%
Discord <1%
$1,640,031 交易量
$1,640,031 交易量
2026-12-31
SpaceX
90%
OpenAI
4%
Anthropic
4%
Discord
1%
Kraken
1%
Stripe
<1%
Databricks
<1%
字節跳動
<1%
Waymo
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
Revolut
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
SpaceX 90%
OpenAI 4.2%
Anthropic 4.1%
Discord <1%
$1,640,031 交易量
$1,640,031 交易量
2026-12-31
SpaceX
$182,791 交易量
90%
OpenAI
$297,703 交易量
4%
Anthropic
$343,990 交易量
4%
Discord
$68,630 交易量
1%
Kraken
$375,350 交易量
1%
Stripe
$39,133 交易量
<1%
Databricks
$68,566 交易量
<1%
字節跳動
$85,053 交易量
<1%
Waymo
$45,641 交易量
<1%
Perplexity AI
$54,000 交易量
<1%
Revolut
$25,763 交易量
<1%
SHEIN
$53,411 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for a June 2026 IPO, reported April 1, has propelled its market-implied odds to 89.5%, positioning it as trader consensus for the year's largest by market cap at a potential $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—surpassing historical records like Saudi Aramco. The February merger with xAI, valuing the combined entity at $1.25 trillion, integrates orbital compute ambitions with Starlink revenue and AI capabilities via Grok models, enhancing its tech stack appeal amid booming demand for space-AI infrastructure. Rivals like OpenAI (recent $122 billion raise at $852 billion valuation) and Anthropic (eyeing Q4 listing at $380 billion) trail due to absent filings and later timelines, while xAI's 25.5% reflects merger overhang uncertainty; watch regulatory reviews and Starship milestones as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間： Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
交易量
$1,640,031結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for a June 2026 IPO, reported April 1, has propelled its market-implied odds to 89.5%, positioning it as trader consensus for the year's largest by market cap at a potential $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—surpassing historical records like Saudi Aramco. The February merger with xAI, valuing the combined entity at $1.25 trillion, integrates orbital compute ambitions with Starlink revenue and AI capabilities via Grok models, enhancing its tech stack appeal amid booming demand for space-AI infrastructure. Rivals like OpenAI (recent $122 billion raise at $852 billion valuation) and Anthropic (eyeing Q4 listing at $380 billion) trail due to absent filings and later timelines, while xAI's 25.5% reflects merger overhang uncertainty; watch regulatory reviews and Starship milestones as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$1,640,031結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for a June 2026 IPO, reported April 1, has propelled its market-implied odds to 89.5%, positioning it as trader consensus for the year's largest by market cap at a potential $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—surpassing historical records like Saudi Aramco. The February merger with xAI, valuing the combined entity at $1.25 trillion, integrates orbital compute ambitions with Starlink revenue and AI capabilities via Grok models, enhancing its tech stack appeal amid booming demand for space-AI infrastructure. Rivals like OpenAI (recent $122 billion raise at $852 billion valuation) and Anthropic (eyeing Q4 listing at $380 billion) trail due to absent filings and later timelines, while xAI's 25.5% reflects merger overhang uncertainty; watch regulatory reviews and Starship milestones as key catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions