Skip to main content

商務 預測與賠率

·
6月底最大的公司?

6月底最大的公司?

75%

NVIDIA

$11M 交易量

$540K today

$1M Liq.

80

Ends 大約 2 個月內

MicroStrategy在___之前出售任何比特幣?

MicroStrategy在___之前出售任何比特幣?

73%

2026 年 12 月 31 日

$24M 交易量

$415K today

$296K Liq.

280

Ends 4 個月前

2026年聯儲局降息多少次?

2026年聯儲局降息多少次?

55%

0(0個基點)

$24M 交易量

$238K today

$1M Liq.

67

Ends 8 個月內

Largest Company end of May?

Largest Company end of May?

79%

NVIDIA

$3M 交易量

$226K today

$1M Liq.

Ends 23 天內

最大的公司在2026年12月底?

最大的公司在2026年12月底?

59%

輝達

$3M 交易量

$550K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

15%

JetBlue

$42.7K 交易量

$210K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

SUJA LIFE IPO Closing Market Cap

SUJA LIFE IPO Closing Market Cap

100%

低於8億美元

$23.8K 交易量

$14.9K Liq.

Ends 1 天前

HawkEye 360 IPO Closing Market Cap

HawkEye 360 IPO Closing Market Cap

100%

$2.5B–$3.25B

$10.2K 交易量

$246K Liq.

Ends 1 天前

AI泡沫破滅了… ?

AI泡沫破滅了… ?

26%

2026年12月31日

$3M 交易量

$11.1K Liq.

80

Ends 8 個月內

2027年之前的IPO ?

2027年之前的IPO ?

100%

Cerebras

$6M 交易量

$86.7K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

雙子座3.5由...發布?

雙子座3.5由...發布?

31%

7月31日

$990K 交易量

$23.4K Liq.

57

Ends 大約 2 個月內

2nd largest company end of May?

2nd largest company end of May?

76%

Alphabet

$63.3K 交易量

$112K Liq.

Ends 23 天內

2026年OpenAI會推出什麼樣的產品?

2026年OpenAI會推出什麼樣的產品?

30%

可夾式穿戴設備

$220K 交易量

$16.7K Liq.

13

Ends 8 個月內

2026年市值最大的IPO ?

2026年市值最大的IPO ?

87%

SpaceX

$2M 交易量

$178K Liq.

11

Ends 8 個月內

US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?

US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?

4%

$170K 交易量

$13.6K Liq.

9

Ends 大約 2 個月內

2027年之前的Elon Musk萬億富翁?

2027年之前的Elon Musk萬億富翁?

81%

$457K 交易量

$11.1K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Odyssey Therapeutics IPO Closing Market Cap

Odyssey Therapeutics IPO Closing Market Cap

44%

8億–11億美元

$4.9K 交易量

$14.3K Liq.

Ends 大約 6 小時前

Mobia Medical IPO Closing Market Cap

Mobia Medical IPO Closing Market Cap

64%

$500M–$700M

$7.6K 交易量

$15.0K Liq.

Ends 大約 6 小時前

AI模型在2027年之前在FrontierMath Benchmark上的得分≥ 90% ?

AI模型在2027年之前在FrontierMath Benchmark上的得分≥ 90% ?

22%

$61.1K 交易量

$2.2K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

到2026年底美國經濟衰退?

到2026年底美國經濟衰退?

23%

$1M 交易量

$29.8K Liq.

66

Ends 9 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 商務.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for 商務 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “6月底最大的公司?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $78.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “2027年之前的Elon Musk萬億富翁?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “2026年聯儲局降息多少次?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “2026年聯儲局降息多少次?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 55% chance to 0(0個基點). These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 商務 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.