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商務 預測與賠率

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2026年聯儲局降息多少次?

2026年聯儲局降息多少次?

81%

0(0個基點)

$37M 交易量

$179K today

$3M Liq.

85

Ends 6 個月內

6月底最大的公司?

6月底最大的公司?

99%

NVIDIA

$23M 交易量

$74.1K today

$2M Liq.

80

Ends 9 天內

2026年市值最大的IPO ?

2026年市值最大的IPO ?

87%

SpaceX

$3M 交易量

$462K Liq.

13

Ends 6 個月內

最大的公司在2026年12月底?

最大的公司在2026年12月底?

71%

輝達

$4M 交易量

$760K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

SpaceX IPO月末收市值

SpaceX IPO月末收市值

50%

$2.0T-$2.5T

$776K 交易量

$304K Liq.

12

Ends 10 天內

2nd largest company end of June?

2nd largest company end of June?

77%

Alphabet

$729K 交易量

$250K Liq.

Ends 9 天內

OpenAI IPO由... ?

OpenAI IPO由... ?

54%

2026年12月31日

$2M 交易量

$132K Liq.

13

Ends 6 個月內

到6月30日,哪些公司將擁有首屈一指的人工智能模型?

到6月30日,哪些公司將擁有首屈一指的人工智能模型?

5%

OpenAI

$2M 交易量

$93.8K Liq.

Ends 9 天內

2027年之前的IPO ?

2027年之前的IPO ?

78%

Anthropic

$7M 交易量

$102K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Elon Musk會收購瑞安航空嗎?

Elon Musk會收購瑞安航空嗎?

1%

$4M 交易量

$26.8K Liq.

85

Ends 9 天內

哪些銀行會在6月30日前倒閉?

哪些銀行會在6月30日前倒閉?

1%

桑坦德

$557K 交易量

$99.7K Liq.

Ends 9 天內

3rd largest company end of June?

3rd largest company end of June?

72%

Apple

$87.9K 交易量

$128K Liq.

Ends 9 天內

2027年之前將收購哪些公司?

2027年之前將收購哪些公司?

75%

MGM Resorts

$18M 交易量

$54.6K Liq.

25

Ends 6 個月內

OpenAI IPO收市市值

OpenAI IPO收市市值

32%

1.5兆以上

$41.6K 交易量

$62.0K Liq.

Ends 超過 1 年內

2026年OpenAI會推出什麼樣的產品?

2026年OpenAI會推出什麼樣的產品?

27%

耳塞/耳機

$330K 交易量

$33.5K Liq.

13

Ends 6 個月內

到2026年底美國經濟衰退?

到2026年底美國經濟衰退?

13%

$2M 交易量

$24.1K Liq.

69

Ends 7 個月內

AI泡沫破滅了… ?

AI泡沫破滅了… ?

20%

2026年12月31日

$3M 交易量

$16.3K Liq.

83

Ends 6 個月內

到6月30日, Polymarket的思想份額會有多高?

到6月30日, Polymarket的思想份額會有多高?

12%

85%

$264K 交易量

$19.4K Liq.

14

Ends 9 天內

Claude在6月30日之前在人類的最後一次考試中得分?

Claude在6月30日之前在人類的最後一次考試中得分?

19%

45%+

$375K 交易量

$11.1K Liq.

30

Ends 9 天內

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

44%

Google

$41.0K 交易量

$71.4K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 商務.

Polymarket currently hosts 132 active markets for 商務 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “2026年聯儲局降息多少次?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $106.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “到2026年底美國經濟衰退?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “2026年聯儲局降息多少次?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “2026年聯儲局降息多少次?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 81% chance to 0(0個基點). These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 商務 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.