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最大的公司在2026年12月底?

Market icon

最大的公司在2026年12月底?

輝達 67%

Alphabet 16%

蘋果 12%

SpaceX 2.2%

Polymarket

$1,488,628 交易量

輝達 67%

Alphabet 16%

蘋果 12%

SpaceX 2.2%

Polymarket

$1,488,628 交易量

Market icon

輝達

$266,967 交易量

67%

Market icon

Alphabet

$148,564 交易量

16%

Market icon

蘋果

$119,280 交易量

12%

Market icon

SpaceX

$30,772 交易量

2%

Market icon

特斯拉

$177,360 交易量

2%

Market icon

微軟

$222,360 交易量

2%

Market icon

沙烏地阿美

$320,971 交易量

1%

Market icon

亞馬遜

$202,354 交易量

1%

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns NVIDIA a 67% implied probability of retaining the world's largest market capitalization by December 31, 2026, reflecting its current $4.4 trillion valuation—well ahead of Apple at $3.8 trillion and Alphabet at $3.6 trillion—as of early April 2026. This positioning stems from NVIDIA's fiscal 2026 revenue surge to $216 billion, up 65% year-over-year, fueled by unrelenting AI data center demand for Blackwell GPUs. CEO Jensen Huang's March 2026 forecast of $1 trillion in cumulative AI chip sales through 2027 further bolsters sentiment, underscoring the company's moat in generative AI infrastructure. Challengers like Alphabet and Apple trail due to slower growth in cloud and hardware segments, though upcoming quarterly earnings could shift dynamics if AI adoption accelerates or macroeconomic pressures emerge.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,488,628
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns NVIDIA a 67% implied probability of retaining the world's largest market capitalization by December 31, 2026, reflecting its current $4.4 trillion valuation—well ahead of Apple at $3.8 trillion and Alphabet at $3.6 trillion—as of early April 2026. This positioning stems from NVIDIA's fiscal 2026 revenue surge to $216 billion, up 65% year-over-year, fueled by unrelenting AI data center demand for Blackwell GPUs. CEO Jensen Huang's March 2026 forecast of $1 trillion in cumulative AI chip sales through 2027 further bolsters sentiment, underscoring the company's moat in generative AI infrastructure. Challengers like Alphabet and Apple trail due to slower growth in cloud and hardware segments, though upcoming quarterly earnings could shift dynamics if AI adoption accelerates or macroeconomic pressures emerge.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,488,628
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"最大的公司在2026年12月底?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "輝達" at 67%, followed by "Alphabet" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "最大的公司在2026年12月底?" has generated $1.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "最大的公司在2026年12月底?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "最大的公司在2026年12月底?" is "輝達" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alphabet" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "最大的公司在2026年12月底?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.