Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "Up" for tech layoffs in 2026 at 83% implied probability, driven by a explosive Q1 where nearly 80,000 jobs were cut globally—nearly 50% attributed to AI automation and workforce restructuring at firms like Oracle, Amazon, and Block. Trackers such as TrueUp.io report over 95,000 impacts year-to-date through mid-April, already surpassing Q1 2025 figures and putting 2026 on pace to exceed last year's estimated 127,000–154,000 U.S. tech cuts. Ongoing AI integrations, cost pressures amid economic uncertainty, and recent April announcements from Snap and others reinforce this trajectory, though Q2 earnings and hiring rebounds could temper the pace before year-end resolution based on information sector data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於上升
$22,851 交易量
$22,851 交易量
2027-02-28
上升
$22,851 交易量
$22,851 交易量
2027-02-28
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "Up" for tech layoffs in 2026 at 83% implied probability, driven by a explosive Q1 where nearly 80,000 jobs were cut globally—nearly 50% attributed to AI automation and workforce restructuring at firms like Oracle, Amazon, and Block. Trackers such as TrueUp.io report over 95,000 impacts year-to-date through mid-April, already surpassing Q1 2025 figures and putting 2026 on pace to exceed last year's estimated 127,000–154,000 U.S. tech cuts. Ongoing AI integrations, cost pressures amid economic uncertainty, and recent April announcements from Snap and others reinforce this trajectory, though Q2 earnings and hiring rebounds could temper the pace before year-end resolution based on information sector data.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市場開放時間： Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
交易量
$22,851結束日期
2027-02-28市場開放時間
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "Up" for tech layoffs in 2026 at 83% implied probability, driven by a explosive Q1 where nearly 80,000 jobs were cut globally—nearly 50% attributed to AI automation and workforce restructuring at firms like Oracle, Amazon, and Block. Trackers such as TrueUp.io report over 95,000 impacts year-to-date through mid-April, already surpassing Q1 2025 figures and putting 2026 on pace to exceed last year's estimated 127,000–154,000 U.S. tech cuts. Ongoing AI integrations, cost pressures amid economic uncertainty, and recent April announcements from Snap and others reinforce this trajectory, though Q2 earnings and hiring rebounds could temper the pace before year-end resolution based on information sector data.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$22,851結束日期
2027-02-28市場開放時間
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "Up" for tech layoffs in 2026 at 83% implied probability, driven by a explosive Q1 where nearly 80,000 jobs were cut globally—nearly 50% attributed to AI automation and workforce restructuring at firms like Oracle, Amazon, and Block. Trackers such as TrueUp.io report over 95,000 impacts year-to-date through mid-April, already surpassing Q1 2025 figures and putting 2026 on pace to exceed last year's estimated 127,000–154,000 U.S. tech cuts. Ongoing AI integrations, cost pressures amid economic uncertainty, and recent April announcements from Snap and others reinforce this trajectory, though Q2 earnings and hiring rebounds could temper the pace before year-end resolution based on information sector data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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