Skip to main content

Google 預測與賠率

·
Next Google Gemini Model: Arena Debut?

Next Google Gemini Model: Arena Debut?

60%

1480+

$39.9K 交易量

$10.4K Liq.

2

Gemini 3.2 released by...?

Gemini 3.2 released by...?

96%

June 30

$90.5K 交易量

$24.0K Liq.

14

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

43%

July 31

$973K 交易量

$27.3K Liq.

54

Ends 大約 2 個月內

New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?

New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?

84%

June 30

$23.6K 交易量

$11.9K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

60%

None in 2026

$48.7K 交易量

$24.0K Liq.

3

Ends 8 個月內

VEO 4 released by...?

VEO 4 released by...?

43%

June 30

$43.7K 交易量

$14 Liq.

1

Ends 大約 1 個月前

How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?

How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?

43%

11

$159K 交易量

$16.1K Liq.

18

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

35%

↑ 1550

$88.8K 交易量

$8.7K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

46%

50%+

$312K 交易量

$1.1K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月前

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

90%

40%+

$131K 交易量

$1.3K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Google (GOOGL) closes week of May 4 at ___?

Google (GOOGL) closes week of May 4 at ___?

45%

$390-$395

$4 交易量

$2.5K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

Google (GOOGL) closes above ___ on May 6?

Google (GOOGL) closes above ___ on May 6?

95%

$385

$1.6K 交易量

$1.5K Liq.

Ends 大約 9 小時內

Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of May 4 above___?

Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of May 4 above___?

98%

$355

$741 交易量

$6.4K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 6?

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 6?

91%

Up

$1.5K 交易量

$4.1K Liq.

Ends 大約 9 小時內

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

73%

Anthropic

$4M 交易量

$152K today

$2M Liq.

Ends 25 天內

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

61%

Anthropic

$5M 交易量

$59.5K today

$945K Liq.

61

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Which company has the third best AI model end of May?

Which company has the third best AI model end of May?

59%

Google

$65.2K 交易量

$44.9K Liq.

Ends 25 天內

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

77%

Anthropic

$300K 交易量

$175K Liq.

Ends 25 天內

Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?

Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?

47%

Anthropic

$46.5K 交易量

$48.5K Liq.

Ends 25 天內

Which company has the second best AI model end of May?

Which company has the second best AI model end of May?

84%

Anthropic

$33.9K 交易量

$59.5K Liq.

Ends 25 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Google.

Polymarket currently hosts 209 active markets for Google that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next Google Gemini Model: Arena Debut?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $11.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 6?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which company has best AI model end of June?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which company has best AI model end of June?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 61% chance to Anthropic. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Google predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.