ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

74%

April 3

$35.0K 交易量

$4.4K Liq.

Ends 14 天內

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

6%

$1.1K 交易量

$8.9K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

9%

April 30

$120K 交易量

$12.1K Liq.

31

Ends 27 天內

Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

71%

June 30

$358K 交易量

$36.3K Liq.

23

Ends 3 個月內

Will Claude go down on __ days in April?

Will Claude go down on __ days in April?

43%

9-11

$14.2K 交易量

$21.9K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

AWS service disrupted by March 31?

AWS service disrupted by March 31?

1%

$14.7K 交易量

$1.0K Liq.

Ends 3 天前

Critical Discord Incident by April 30?

Critical Discord Incident by April 30?

28%

$3.5K 交易量

$6.3K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

Services Down Parlay

Services Down Parlay

3%

$13.7K 交易量

$3.6K Liq.

9

Ends 3 天前

Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

39%

9-11

$17 交易量

$4.8K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

AWS service disrupted by April 30?

AWS service disrupted by April 30?

50%

$887 交易量

$2.3K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 2?

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 2?

10%

Up

$6.4K 交易量

$3.5K Liq.

Ends 大約 5 小時內

Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 2?

Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 2?

29%

Up

$846 交易量

$4.3K Liq.

Ends 大約 5 小時內

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 2?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 2?

100%

Up

$722 交易量

$3.5K Liq.

Ends 大約 6 小時內

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 2?

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 2?

10%

Up

$548 交易量

$15 Liq.

Ends 大約 6 小時內

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 2?

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 2?

14%

Up

$545 交易量

$2.5K Liq.

Ends 大約 5 小時內

Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 2?

Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 2?

20%

Up

$441 交易量

$602 Liq.

Ends 大約 5 小時內

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 1?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 1?

1%

Up

$437 交易量

$132 Liq.

Ends 大約 18 小時前

Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 2?

Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 2?

5%

Up

$409 交易量

$285 Liq.

Ends 大約 5 小時內

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on April 2?

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on April 2?

87%

Up

$397 交易量

$429 Liq.

Ends 大約 5 小時內

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 2?

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 2?

23%

Up

$376 交易量

$648 Liq.

Ends 大約 5 小時內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 服務中斷.

Polymarket currently hosts 212 active markets for 服務中斷 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “ChatGPT Outage by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $573K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Services Down Parlay”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 71% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 服務中斷 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.