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停機時間 預測與賠率

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Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

43%

12+

$13.1K 交易量

$20.4K Liq.

Ends 23 天內

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

28%

June 30

$460K 交易量

$12.0K Liq.

46

Ends 8 天前

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

32%

2

$14.7K 交易量

$3.8K Liq.

Ends 23 天內

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

80%

Up

$25.1K 交易量

$9.0K Liq.

Ends 10 個月內

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 7?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 7?

Up

$15.3K 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 大約 3 小時前

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?

50%

Up

$173 交易量

$1 Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月前

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 8?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 8?

51%

Up

$0 交易量

$1.9K Liq.

Ends 大約 21 小時內

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?

4%

Up

$2.6K 交易量

$195 Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月前

Solana Up or Down - February 22, 4PM ET

Solana Up or Down - February 22, 4PM ET

Up

$18.2K 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 2 個月前

Critical Discord Incident by May 31?

Critical Discord Incident by May 31?

16%

$4.0K 交易量

$223 Liq.

Ends 23 天內

HYPE Up or Down - May 7, 4PM ET

HYPE Up or Down - May 7, 4PM ET

Up

$52 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 大約 3 小時前

HYPE Up or Down - May 7, 7PM ET

HYPE Up or Down - May 7, 7PM ET

51%

Up

$0 交易量

$72 Liq.

Ends 17 分鐘內

HYPE Up or Down - May 7, 6PM ET

HYPE Up or Down - May 7, 6PM ET

<1%

Up

$89 交易量

$274K Liq.

Ends 43 分鐘前

Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 4PM ET

Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 4PM ET

Up

$19.4K 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 2 個月前

HYPE Up or Down - May 9, 11AM ET

HYPE Up or Down - May 9, 11AM ET

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$277 Liq.

Ends 1 天內

HYPE Up or Down - May 7, 10PM ET

HYPE Up or Down - May 7, 10PM ET

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$238 Liq.

Ends 大約 3 小時內

HYPE Up or Down - May 7, 11PM ET

HYPE Up or Down - May 7, 11PM ET

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$273 Liq.

Ends 大約 4 小時內

HYPE Up or Down - May 7, 9PM ET

HYPE Up or Down - May 7, 9PM ET

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$117 Liq.

Ends 大約 2 小時內

HYPE Up or Down - March 9, 3PM ET

HYPE Up or Down - March 9, 3PM ET

Up

$0 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月前

HYPE Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET

HYPE Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET

Down

$60 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 大約 7 小時前

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 停機時間.

Polymarket currently hosts 100 active markets for 停機時間 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Claude go down on __ days in May?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $573K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 4PM ET”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Internet Access restored in Iran by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Internet Access restored in Iran by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 28% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 停機時間 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.