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停機時間 預測與賠率

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Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

55%

9-11

$34.9K 交易量

$8.0K Liq.

Ends 12 天內

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

52%

2

$16.8K 交易量

$8.6K Liq.

2

Ends 12 天內

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

85%

Up

$25.3K 交易量

$9.7K Liq.

Ends 9 個月內

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?

50%

Up

$173 交易量

$1 Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月前

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?

50%

Up

$2.6K 交易量

$1 Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月前

Solana Up or Down - February 22, 4PM ET

Solana Up or Down - February 22, 4PM ET

Up

$18.2K 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 3 個月前

Critical Discord Incident by May 31?

Critical Discord Incident by May 31?

21%

$17.6K 交易量

$2.2K Liq.

Ends 12 天內

HYPE Up or Down - May 20, 7PM ET

HYPE Up or Down - May 20, 7PM ET

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$177 Liq.

Ends 1 天內

HYPE Up or Down - May 20, 6PM ET

HYPE Up or Down - May 20, 6PM ET

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$177 Liq.

Ends 1 天內

HYPE Up or Down - May 20, 9PM ET

HYPE Up or Down - May 20, 9PM ET

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$203 Liq.

Ends 1 天內

HYPE Up or Down - May 20, 11PM ET

HYPE Up or Down - May 20, 11PM ET

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$269 Liq.

Ends 1 天內

HYPE Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET

HYPE Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$24 Liq.

Ends 1 天內

HYPE Up or Down - May 20, 5PM ET

HYPE Up or Down - May 20, 5PM ET

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$188 Liq.

Ends 1 天內

HYPE Up or Down - May 20, 10PM ET

HYPE Up or Down - May 20, 10PM ET

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$204 Liq.

Ends 1 天內

Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7PM ET

Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7PM ET

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$768 Liq.

Ends 1 天內

HYPE Up or Down - May 21, 6AM ET

HYPE Up or Down - May 21, 6AM ET

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$118 Liq.

Ends 2 天內

HYPE Up or Down - May 20, 12PM ET

HYPE Up or Down - May 20, 12PM ET

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$6 Liq.

Ends 1 天內

HYPE Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET

HYPE Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$308 Liq.

Ends 2 天內

Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 4PM ET

Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 4PM ET

Up

$19.4K 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 3 個月前

HYPE Up or Down - May 19, 7PM ET

HYPE Up or Down - May 19, 7PM ET

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$8 Liq.

Ends 大約 14 小時內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for 停機時間 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Claude go down on __ days in May?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $135K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 4PM ET”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will Claude go down on __ days in May?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Claude go down on __ days in May?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 55% chance to 9-11. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 停機時間 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.