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Altman 預測與賠率

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山姆奧特曼在監獄裡被... ?

山姆奧特曼在監獄裡被... ?

2%

2026 年 6 月 30 日

$46.1K 交易量

$6.7K Liq.

22

Ends 6 個月前

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

19%

$5.4K 交易量

$484 Liq.

Ends 6 天內

2026年市值最大的IPO ?

2026年市值最大的IPO ?

86%

SpaceX

$4M 交易量

$737K today

$493K Liq.

13

Ends 6 個月內

OpenAI的估值是否會在12月31日前達到__ ?

OpenAI的估值是否會在12月31日前達到__ ?

94%

↑9,000 億美元

$721K 交易量

$106K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

哪些CEO將在2027年之前離職?

哪些CEO將在2027年之前離職?

13%

Sam Altman - OpenAI

$698K 交易量

$16.3K Liq.

20

Ends 6 個月內

TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

16%

Sam Altman

$1.7K 交易量

$204K Liq.

3

Ends 6 個月內

OpenAI的估值會在6月30日前達到__嗎?

OpenAI的估值會在6月30日前達到__嗎?

44%

↑8,750億美元

$250K 交易量

$55.5K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

GPT-6由… ?

GPT-6由… ?

62%

2026年12月31日

$385K 交易量

$25.4K Liq.

44

Ends 6 個月前

Anthropic或OpenAI會先上市嗎?

Anthropic或OpenAI會先上市嗎?

75%

Anthropic

$173K 交易量

$22.4K Liq.

3

Ends 超過 1 年內

2026年OpenAI會推出什麼樣的產品?

2026年OpenAI會推出什麼樣的產品?

29%

耳塞/耳機

$332K 交易量

$31.8K Liq.

13

Ends 6 個月內

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?

99%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$15.1K 交易量

$21.2K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

2027年之前OpenAI $ 1t + IPO ?

2027年之前OpenAI $ 1t + IPO ?

34%

$283K 交易量

$7.6K Liq.

8

Ends 6 個月內

OpenAI IPO收市市值高於___ ?

OpenAI IPO收市市值高於___ ?

85%

8,000億美元

$2M 交易量

$23.6K Liq.

2

Ends 超過 1 年內

How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?

How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?

34%

$40B–$50B

$4.8K 交易量

$10.0K Liq.

Ends 超過 1 年內

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

72%

$OAI

$13.2K 交易量

$25.1K Liq.

4

Ends 超過 1 年內

Who will be featured on Petal?

Who will be featured on Petal?

4%

Drake

$3.7K 交易量

$1.9K Liq.

2

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

81%

Goldman Sachs

$29.4K 交易量

$33.6K Liq.

Ends 超過 1 年內

OpenAI宣布已在2027年之前實現AGI ?

OpenAI宣布已在2027年之前實現AGI ?

12%

$80.3K 交易量

$10.4K Liq.

11

Ends 6 個月內

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

69%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$698 交易量

$7.3K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

SpaceX還是OpenAI的IPO市值更高?

SpaceX還是OpenAI的IPO市值更高?

89%

SpaceX

$9.5K 交易量

$4.0K Liq.

5

Ends 超過 1 年內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Altman.

Polymarket currently hosts 27 active markets for Altman that lets you track or trade on predictions like “山姆奧特曼在監獄裡被... ?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $8.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Anthropic或OpenAI會先上市嗎?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “2026年市值最大的IPO ?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “2026年市值最大的IPO ?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 86% chance to SpaceX. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Altman predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.