GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

83%

December 31, 2026

$217K 交易量

$17.9K Liq.

40

Ends 3 個月前

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

65%

Anthropic

$3M 交易量

$450K Liq.

67

Ends 3 個月內

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

76%

$10.2K 交易量

$6.6K Liq.

Ends 9 個月內

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

57%

December 31, 2026

$252K 交易量

$2.5K Liq.

31

Ends 3 個月前

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

51%

Anthropic

$926K 交易量

$174K Liq.

26

Ends 3 個月內

GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

93%

June 30

$302K 交易量

$20.6K Liq.

4

Top AI model on April 10? (Style Control On)

Top AI model on April 10? (Style Control On)

83%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$1.7K 交易量

$70.0K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

Best AI model on April 10? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on April 10? (Style Control Off)

84%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$925 交易量

$44.0K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

46%

50%+

$3.5K 交易量

$546 Liq.

1

Ends 3 個月內

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

17%

70%+

$18.5K 交易量

$1.3K Liq.

4

Ends 3 個月內

Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

17%

June 30, 2026

$130K 交易量

$5.4K Liq.

31

Ends 3 個月內

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

7%

$1.1K 交易量

$3.6K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

42%

$277K 交易量

$5.6K Liq.

Ends 9 個月內

Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

55%

June 30, 2026

$2M 交易量

$99.3K Liq.

163

Ends 27 天內

Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage

52%

Omega

$527 交易量

$3.7K Liq.

Ends 大約 11 小時內

GA-05 House Election Winner

GA-05 House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$13.5K 交易量

$28.2K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B

Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B

69%

Nemiga

$8.0K 交易量

$7.0K Liq.

Ends 大約 9 小時內

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

54%

June 30

$75.5K 交易量

$18.8K Liq.

1

Ends 27 天內

Counter-Strike: STATE vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage

Counter-Strike: STATE vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage

55%

RUSTEC

$0 交易量

$1.4K Liq.

Ends 大約 20 小時內

Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs FarmVille (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs FarmVille (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs

56%

FarmVille

$7.7K 交易量

$19.7K Liq.

Ends 大約 5 小時內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like GPT 5.

Polymarket currently hosts 111 active markets for GPT 5 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “GPT-6 released by…?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $7.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which company has best AI model end of June?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which company has best AI model end of June?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 65% chance to Anthropic. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on GPT 5 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.