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GPT 5 預測與賠率

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GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

80%

July 31

$21.5K 交易量

$16.9K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

Best AI model on May 8? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on May 8? (Style Control Off)

99%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$32.0K 交易量

$67.3K Liq.

5

Ends 大約 4 小時前

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

31%

50%+

$21.9K 交易量

$1.5K Liq.

1

Ends 大約 2 個月內

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

21%

60%+

$31.8K 交易量

$2.7K Liq.

4

Ends 大約 2 個月內

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

91%

December 31, 2026

$300K 交易量

$11.7K Liq.

45

Ends 4 個月前

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

93%

September 30

$6.4K 交易量

$14.4K Liq.

Ends 5 個月內

Counter-Strike: Golden Five vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

Counter-Strike: Golden Five vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

100%

LPH Gaming

$33.2K 交易量

Ends 18 天前

Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

9%

June 30, 2026

$153K 交易量

$2.3K Liq.

30

Ends 大約 2 個月內

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

31%

2

$14.7K 交易量

$3.5K Liq.

Ends 23 天內

Counter-Strike: 5star vs Rare Atom (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A

Counter-Strike: 5star vs Rare Atom (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A

76%

Rare Atom

$0 交易量

$8.0K Liq.

Ends 3 天內

White House # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

White House # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

26%

180-199

$46.3K 交易量

$425K Liq.

Ends 5 天內

Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

94%

September 30, 2026

$4M 交易量

$37.3K Liq.

203

Ends 8 天前

What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

99%

Drake releases Iceman

$22M 交易量

$792K Liq.

831

Ends 3 個月內

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

29%

$299K 交易量

$5.0K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 4 - May 10?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 4 - May 10?

76%

>9

$108K 交易量

$37.2K Liq.

21

Ends 2 天內

Counter-Strike: Galorys vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Galorys vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Playoffs

81%

Galorys

$338 交易量

$3.4K Liq.

Ends 1 天內

GA-05 House Election Winner

GA-05 House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$17.4K 交易量

$26.6K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Khamenei # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

69%

<5

$3.4K 交易量

$7.8K Liq.

Ends 5 天內

LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffs

LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffs

64%

GMBLERS ESPORTS

$62 交易量

$20.1K Liq.

Ends 大約 18 小時內

Dota 2: 5 Silly Mice vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage

Dota 2: 5 Silly Mice vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage

100%

InterActive Philippines

$5.7K 交易量

Ends 2 天前

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like GPT 5.

Polymarket currently hosts 105 active markets for GPT 5 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “GPT-5.6 released by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $26.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Counter-Strike: Golden Five vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will happen before GTA VI?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What will happen before GTA VI?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 99% chance to Drake releases Iceman. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on GPT 5 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.