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科技·OpenAI

2026年OpenAI估值超過1萬$ ？

Market icon
科技·OpenAI

2026年OpenAI估值超過1萬$ ？

12月 31

12月 31

是

76% 機率
Polymarket

$10,170 交易量

是

76% 機率
Polymarket

$10,170 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's blockbuster $122 billion funding round, closed March 31 at an $852 billion post-money valuation, has propelled trader consensus to a 75.5% implied probability of hitting $1 trillion by year-end, reflecting surging investor appetite for its artificial intelligence leadership amid explosive revenue growth to $25 billion annualized run rate. This marks Silicon Valley's largest private raise ever, building on February's $110 billion commitments and underscoring hyperscaler partnerships with Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank fueling massive compute investments. Strong enterprise adoption of large language models like GPT series, coupled with upward revenue forecasts exceeding $280 billion by 2030, bolsters optimism for an imminent IPO that could eclipse current marks. Traders eye Q3 earnings and potential GPT-5 demonstrations as catalysts, though secondary market discounts to $765 billion signal risks from competition and profitability delays into 2030.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$10,170
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's blockbuster $122 billion funding round, closed March 31 at an $852 billion post-money valuation, has propelled trader consensus to a 75.5% implied probability of hitting $1 trillion by year-end, reflecting surging investor appetite for its artificial intelligence leadership amid explosive revenue growth to $25 billion annualized run rate. This marks Silicon Valley's largest private raise ever, building on February's $110 billion commitments and underscoring hyperscaler partnerships with Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank fueling massive compute investments. Strong enterprise adoption of large language models like GPT series, coupled with upward revenue forecasts exceeding $280 billion by 2030, bolsters optimism for an imminent IPO that could eclipse current marks. Traders eye Q3 earnings and potential GPT-5 demonstrations as catalysts, though secondary market discounts to $765 billion signal risks from competition and profitability delays into 2030.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$10,170
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年OpenAI估值超過1萬$ ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "OpenAI 2026年市值超過1兆美元？" at 76%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 76¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年OpenAI估值超過1萬$ ？" has generated $10.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年OpenAI估值超過1萬$ ？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年OpenAI估值超過1萬$ ？" is "OpenAI 2026年市值超過1兆美元？" at 76%, meaning the market assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年OpenAI估值超過1萬$ ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.