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Chatgpt 預測與賠率

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OpenAI的估值是否會在12月31日前達到__ ?

OpenAI的估值是否會在12月31日前達到__ ?

93%

↑9,000 億美元

$491K 交易量

$177K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

OpenAI的估值會在6月30日前達到__嗎?

OpenAI的估值會在6月30日前達到__嗎?

91%

↑8,500 億美元

$93.3K 交易量

$93.6K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

50%

<2

$23.5K 交易量

$7.0K Liq.

Ends 3 天內

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?

93%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$5.5K 交易量

$10.5K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

OpenAI宣布已在2027年之前實現AGI ?

OpenAI宣布已在2027年之前實現AGI ?

13%

$77.2K 交易量

$7.8K Liq.

11

Ends 7 個月內

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

34%

<2

$239 交易量

$14.1K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

40%

OpenAI

$900 交易量

$5.5K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

21%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$527 交易量

$6.6K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

OpenAI GPT在6月30日之前在人類的最後一次考試中得分?

OpenAI GPT在6月30日之前在人類的最後一次考試中得分?

45%

50%以上

$23.7K 交易量

$1.9K Liq.

1

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

90%

$92.3K 交易量

$11.9K Liq.

20

Ends 7 個月內

6月30日前FrontierMath Benchmark上的OpenAI GPT得分?

6月30日前FrontierMath Benchmark上的OpenAI GPT得分?

56%

60%+

$36.7K 交易量

$3.7K Liq.

4

Ends 大約 1 個月內

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - 12月31日的估值更高?

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - 12月31日的估值更高?

19%

OpenAI + Anthropic

$328 交易量

$10.9K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

OpenAI的IPO估值是多少?

OpenAI的IPO估值是多少?

37%

$1.25T–$1.5T

$458 交易量

$14.3K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 年內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Chatgpt.

Polymarket currently hosts 13 active markets for Chatgpt that lets you track or trade on predictions like “OpenAI的估值是否會在12月31日前達到__ ?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $846K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “OpenAI宣布已在2027年之前實現AGI ?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “OpenAI的估值是否會在12月31日前達到__ ?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “OpenAI的估值是否會在12月31日前達到__ ?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 93% chance to ↑9,000 億美元. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Chatgpt predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.