Google's lack of any official announcement, developer preview, or model update for the next Gemini Pro large language model by the July 31 deadline has driven near-certain trader consensus on no release. The company typically aligns major Gemini iterations with scheduled events like Google I/O or fall hardware launches rather than unteased summer drops, and recent credible reporting has shown no indications of accelerated timelines or internal readiness. This market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of historical release patterns and absence of verifiable signals. A surprise late-July launch that evaded all public channels could theoretically shift outcomes, though such an event appears highly improbable given standard Google disclosure practices.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於截至7月31日沒有發佈 100.0%
7 月 29 日 2.0%
7 月 24 日 <1%
在 7 月 1 日或之前 <1%
$378,664 交易量
$378,664 交易量
2026-07-31
在 7 月 1 日或之前
否
7 月 2 日
否
7 月 3 日
否
7 月 4 日
否
7 月 5 日
否
7月6日
否
7 月 7 日
否
7 月 8 日
否
7 月 9 日
否
7 月 10 日
否
7 月 11 日
否
7 月 12 日
否
7月13日
否
7 月 14 日
否
July 15
No
7 月 16 日
否
7 月 17 日
否
7 月 18 日
否
7月19日
否
7 月 20 日
否
7 月 21 日
否
7 月 22 日
否
7 月 23 日
否
7 月 24 日
否
July 25
No
7 月 26 日
否
7 月 27 日
否
7月28日
否
7 月 29 日
否
7 月 30 日
否
7 月 31 日
否
截至7月31日沒有發佈
是
截至7月31日沒有發佈 100.0%
7 月 29 日 2.0%
7 月 24 日 <1%
在 7 月 1 日或之前 <1%
$378,664 交易量
$378,664 交易量
2026-07-31
在 7 月 1 日或之前
$787 交易量
否
7 月 2 日
$487 交易量
否
7 月 3 日
$682 交易量
否
7 月 4 日
$303 交易量
否
7 月 5 日
$328 交易量
否
7月6日
$2,697 交易量
否
7 月 7 日
$807 交易量
否
7 月 8 日
$1,024 交易量
否
7 月 9 日
$3,656 交易量
否
7 月 10 日
$303 交易量
否
7 月 11 日
$1,207 交易量
否
7 月 12 日
$1,327 交易量
否
7月13日
$1,392 交易量
否
7 月 14 日
$7,616 交易量
否
July 15
$11,602 交易量
No
7 月 16 日
$9,277 交易量
否
7 月 17 日
$75,726 交易量
否
7 月 18 日
$6,225 交易量
否
7月19日
$4,304 交易量
否
7 月 20 日
$5,578 交易量
否
7 月 21 日
$10,778 交易量
否
7 月 22 日
$6,122 交易量
否
7 月 23 日
$8,313 交易量
否
7 月 24 日
$21,852 交易量
否
July 25
$4,154 交易量
No
7 月 26 日
$4,228 交易量
否
7 月 27 日
$3,640 交易量
否
7月28日
$7,123 交易量
否
7 月 29 日
$10,441 交易量
否
7 月 30 日
$24,885 交易量
否
7 月 31 日
$7,950 交易量
否
截至7月31日沒有發佈
$133,852 交易量
是
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's lack of any official announcement, developer preview, or model update for the next Gemini Pro large language model by the July 31 deadline has driven near-certain trader consensus on no release. The company typically aligns major Gemini iterations with scheduled events like Google I/O or fall hardware launches rather than unteased summer drops, and recent credible reporting has shown no indications of accelerated timelines or internal readiness. This market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of historical release patterns and absence of verifiable signals. A surprise late-July launch that evaded all public channels could theoretically shift outcomes, though such an event appears highly improbable given standard Google disclosure practices.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Jun 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
交易量
$378,664結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jun 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's lack of any official announcement, developer preview, or model update for the next Gemini Pro large language model by the July 31 deadline has driven near-certain trader consensus on no release. The company typically aligns major Gemini iterations with scheduled events like Google I/O or fall hardware launches rather than unteased summer drops, and recent credible reporting has shown no indications of accelerated timelines or internal readiness. This market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of historical release patterns and absence of verifiable signals. A surprise late-July launch that evaded all public channels could theoretically shift outcomes, though such an event appears highly improbable given standard Google disclosure practices.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$378,664結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jun 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Google's lack of any official announcement, developer preview, or model update for the next Gemini Pro large language model by the July 31 deadline has driven near-certain trader consensus on no release. The company typically aligns major Gemini iterations with scheduled events like Google I/O or fall hardware launches rather than unteased summer drops, and recent credible reporting has shown no indications of accelerated timelines or internal readiness. This market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of historical release patterns and absence of verifiable signals. A surprise late-July launch that evaded all public channels could theoretically shift outcomes, though such an event appears highly improbable given standard Google disclosure practices.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions