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Claude 預測與賠率

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克勞德會在五月的__天下山嗎?

克勞德會在五月的__天下山嗎?

45%

12+

$13.1K 交易量

$20.2K Liq.

Ends 23 天內

人類會在…前與五角大樓達成協議嗎?

人類會在…前與五角大樓達成協議嗎?

26%

6月30日

$131K 交易量

$18.5K Liq.

6

Ends 大約 2 個月內

特朗普下令在5月31日之前對人工智能模型的發布進行聯邦審查?

特朗普下令在5月31日之前對人工智能模型的發布進行聯邦審查?

21%

$34.2K 交易量

$14.0K Liq.

1

Ends 23 天內

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

87%

$48.6K 交易量

$11.2K Liq.

14

Ends 8 個月內

Anthropic的「供應鏈風險」指定由...刪除?

Anthropic的「供應鏈風險」指定由...刪除?

14%

5 月 31 日

$3.3K 交易量

$11.4K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

25%

1.8T+

$13.6K 交易量

$46.9K Liq.

Ends 超過 1 年內

Claude Mythos由… ?

Claude Mythos由… ?

18%

6月30日

$358K 交易量

$7.2K Liq.

19

Ends 8 天前

Claude在6月30日之前在人類的最後一次考試中得分?

Claude在6月30日之前在人類的最後一次考試中得分?

21%

45%+

$283K 交易量

$3.7K Liq.

12

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Anthropic的下一輪融資結束於... ?

Anthropic的下一輪融資結束於... ?

96%

December 31

$9.7K 交易量

$12.4K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by June 30?

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by June 30?

52%

1550

$7.7K 交易量

$1.1K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Anthropic Claude在6月30日前在FrontierMath Benchmark上得分?

Anthropic Claude在6月30日前在FrontierMath Benchmark上得分?

22%

50%以上

$60.0K 交易量

$786 Liq.

12

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

82%

1560

$3.1K 交易量

$5.3K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Claude.

Polymarket currently hosts 12 active markets for Claude that lets you track or trade on predictions like “克勞德會在五月的__天下山嗎?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $965K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “特朗普下令在5月31日之前對人工智能模型的發布進行聯邦審查?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Claude Mythos由… ?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Claude Mythos由… ?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 18% chance to 6月30日. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Claude predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.