Anthropic’s pattern of releasing Haiku models months after flagship Sonnet and Opus updates continues to shape trader views on the next lightweight Claude variant. Claude Haiku 4.5 launched in October 2025 as the efficient tier in the 4.5 family, delivering Sonnet 4-level coding and computer-use performance at roughly one-third the cost and higher speed, and it remains the current offering with a February 2025 knowledge cutoff. Since then, Anthropic has focused on larger models, rolling out Claude Sonnet 5 and Opus 5 in June and July 2026 alongside a new higher Mythos-class tier, without announcing a corresponding Haiku 5 or 4.6 refresh. Competitive pressure from faster, cheaper alternatives at OpenAI and Google, combined with Haiku’s role in high-volume developer and agent workloads, makes any credible roadmap hint, API pricing change, or conference tease a key catalyst. Traders are watching for official statements on extended-thinking support or availability on Bedrock and Vertex AI as the most likely signals ahead of a potential late-2026 release.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
2026-08-31
8月31日
18%
10月31日
57%
12月31日
60%
$5,618 交易量
8月31日
$1,477 交易量
18%
10月31日
$560 交易量
57%
12月31日
$3,581 交易量
60%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s pattern of releasing Haiku models months after flagship Sonnet and Opus updates continues to shape trader views on the next lightweight Claude variant. Claude Haiku 4.5 launched in October 2025 as the efficient tier in the 4.5 family, delivering Sonnet 4-level coding and computer-use performance at roughly one-third the cost and higher speed, and it remains the current offering with a February 2025 knowledge cutoff. Since then, Anthropic has focused on larger models, rolling out Claude Sonnet 5 and Opus 5 in June and July 2026 alongside a new higher Mythos-class tier, without announcing a corresponding Haiku 5 or 4.6 refresh. Competitive pressure from faster, cheaper alternatives at OpenAI and Google, combined with Haiku’s role in high-volume developer and agent workloads, makes any credible roadmap hint, API pricing change, or conference tease a key catalyst. Traders are watching for official statements on extended-thinking support or availability on Bedrock and Vertex AI as the most likely signals ahead of a potential late-2026 release.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Jul 1, 2026, 6:47 PM ET
交易量
$5,618結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s pattern of releasing Haiku models months after flagship Sonnet and Opus updates continues to shape trader views on the next lightweight Claude variant. Claude Haiku 4.5 launched in October 2025 as the efficient tier in the 4.5 family, delivering Sonnet 4-level coding and computer-use performance at roughly one-third the cost and higher speed, and it remains the current offering with a February 2025 knowledge cutoff. Since then, Anthropic has focused on larger models, rolling out Claude Sonnet 5 and Opus 5 in June and July 2026 alongside a new higher Mythos-class tier, without announcing a corresponding Haiku 5 or 4.6 refresh. Competitive pressure from faster, cheaper alternatives at OpenAI and Google, combined with Haiku’s role in high-volume developer and agent workloads, makes any credible roadmap hint, API pricing change, or conference tease a key catalyst. Traders are watching for official statements on extended-thinking support or availability on Bedrock and Vertex AI as the most likely signals ahead of a potential late-2026 release.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$5,618結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s pattern of releasing Haiku models months after flagship Sonnet and Opus updates continues to shape trader views on the next lightweight Claude variant. Claude Haiku 4.5 launched in October 2025 as the efficient tier in the 4.5 family, delivering Sonnet 4-level coding and computer-use performance at roughly one-third the cost and higher speed, and it remains the current offering with a February 2025 knowledge cutoff. Since then, Anthropic has focused on larger models, rolling out Claude Sonnet 5 and Opus 5 in June and July 2026 alongside a new higher Mythos-class tier, without announcing a corresponding Haiku 5 or 4.6 refresh. Competitive pressure from faster, cheaper alternatives at OpenAI and Google, combined with Haiku’s role in high-volume developer and agent workloads, makes any credible roadmap hint, API pricing change, or conference tease a key catalyst. Traders are watching for official statements on extended-thinking support or availability on Bedrock and Vertex AI as the most likely signals ahead of a potential late-2026 release.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions