Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution around Anthropic's IPO timeline despite its explosive growth, with 55% implied probability for no initial public offering by December 31, 2027, anchored by the AI firm's February 2026 Series G funding round that raised $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation—providing ample capital and reducing near-term public listing pressure. The 39% odds for a 600B+ closing market cap stem from surging revenue (annualized at $14 billion), Claude large language model advancements like autonomous computer task execution, and banker expectations of a $60 billion-plus Q4 2026 debut, as reported last week. Lower brackets trail due to competitive AI dynamics from OpenAI and regulatory hurdles, with key catalysts including potential S-1 filings or model benchmarks ahead of year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO 55%
6000億+ 39%
4,000–6,000 億美元 1.8%
3,000–4,000 億 1.1%
$101,172 交易量
$101,172 交易量
2027-12-31
低於 1000 億
<1%
100–200億
1%
2,000–3,000 億
1%
3,000–4,000 億
1%
4,000–6,000 億美元
2%
6000億+
39%
2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO
55%
2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO 55%
6000億+ 39%
4,000–6,000 億美元 1.8%
3,000–4,000 億 1.1%
$101,172 交易量
$101,172 交易量
2027-12-31
低於 1000 億
$48,538 交易量
<1%
100–200億
$5,174 交易量
1%
2,000–3,000 億
$3,934 交易量
1%
3,000–4,000 億
$26,606 交易量
1%
4,000–6,000 億美元
$4,166 交易量
2%
6000億+
$7,685 交易量
39%
2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO
$5,069 交易量
55%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution around Anthropic's IPO timeline despite its explosive growth, with 55% implied probability for no initial public offering by December 31, 2027, anchored by the AI firm's February 2026 Series G funding round that raised $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation—providing ample capital and reducing near-term public listing pressure. The 39% odds for a 600B+ closing market cap stem from surging revenue (annualized at $14 billion), Claude large language model advancements like autonomous computer task execution, and banker expectations of a $60 billion-plus Q4 2026 debut, as reported last week. Lower brackets trail due to competitive AI dynamics from OpenAI and regulatory hurdles, with key catalysts including potential S-1 filings or model benchmarks ahead of year-end.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間： Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
交易量
$101,172結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution around Anthropic's IPO timeline despite its explosive growth, with 55% implied probability for no initial public offering by December 31, 2027, anchored by the AI firm's February 2026 Series G funding round that raised $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation—providing ample capital and reducing near-term public listing pressure. The 39% odds for a 600B+ closing market cap stem from surging revenue (annualized at $14 billion), Claude large language model advancements like autonomous computer task execution, and banker expectations of a $60 billion-plus Q4 2026 debut, as reported last week. Lower brackets trail due to competitive AI dynamics from OpenAI and regulatory hurdles, with key catalysts including potential S-1 filings or model benchmarks ahead of year-end.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$101,172結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution around Anthropic's IPO timeline despite its explosive growth, with 55% implied probability for no initial public offering by December 31, 2027, anchored by the AI firm's February 2026 Series G funding round that raised $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation—providing ample capital and reducing near-term public listing pressure. The 39% odds for a 600B+ closing market cap stem from surging revenue (annualized at $14 billion), Claude large language model advancements like autonomous computer task execution, and banker expectations of a $60 billion-plus Q4 2026 debut, as reported last week. Lower brackets trail due to competitive AI dynamics from OpenAI and regulatory hurdles, with key catalysts including potential S-1 filings or model benchmarks ahead of year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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