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Claude 5 預測與賠率

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Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

87%

September 30, 2026

$4M 交易量

$34.0K Liq.

203

Ends 8 天前

Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

45%

12+

$20.4K 交易量

$27.3K Liq.

Ends 23 天內

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

32%

50%+

$60.0K 交易量

$897 Liq.

12

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

22%

45%+

$283K 交易量

$5.3K Liq.

12

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Best AI model on May 8? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on May 8? (Style Control Off)

100%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$32.4K 交易量

$54.9K Liq.

5

Ends 大約 10 小時前

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

18%

June 30

$358K 交易量

$6.7K Liq.

19

Ends 8 天前

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

25%

$11.4K 交易量

$10.8K Liq.

23

Ends 大約 1 個月前

Counter-Strike: Golden Five vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

Counter-Strike: Golden Five vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

100%

LPH Gaming

$33.2K 交易量

Ends 19 天前

White House # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

White House # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

50%

160-179

$46.3K 交易量

$32.5K Liq.

Ends 4 天內

GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

81%

July 31

$21.6K 交易量

$17.0K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

Zelenskyy # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

49%

60-79

$4.2K 交易量

$4.3K Liq.

Ends 4 天內

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

69%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$5.4K Liq.

123

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Counter-Strike: 5star vs Rare Atom (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A

Counter-Strike: 5star vs Rare Atom (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A

76%

Rare Atom

$0 交易量

$9.3K Liq.

Ends 3 天內

LA-05 House Election Winner

LA-05 House Election Winner

88%

Republican Party

$4.5K 交易量

$27.8K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs

LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs

100%

LYON

$154K 交易量

Ends 23 天前

Jan-Krzysztof Duda vs. Maxime Vachier-Lagrave - GCT: Super Rapid & Blitz Poland 2026 | Blitz (Round 25)

Jan-Krzysztof Duda vs. Maxime Vachier-Lagrave - GCT: Super Rapid & Blitz Poland 2026 | Blitz (Round 25)

50%

Draw (Jan-Krzysztof Duda vs. Maxime Vachier-Lagrave)

$0 交易量

$102 Liq.

Ends 6 天內

Gainare Tottori vs. Reilac Shiga

Gainare Tottori vs. Reilac Shiga

49%

Gainare Tottori

$379 交易量

$1.3K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月前

Will The MongolZ make a roster change before July?

Will The MongolZ make a roster change before July?

48%

$149 交易量

$15 Liq.

1

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Dota 2: 5 Silly Mice vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage

Dota 2: 5 Silly Mice vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage

100%

InterActive Philippines

$5.7K 交易量

Ends 2 天前

Maxime Vachier-Lagrave vs. Jan-Krzysztof Duda - GCT: Super Rapid & Blitz Poland 2026 | Blitz (Round 16)

Maxime Vachier-Lagrave vs. Jan-Krzysztof Duda - GCT: Super Rapid & Blitz Poland 2026 | Blitz (Round 16)

47%

Jan-Krzysztof Duda

$0 交易量

$154 Liq.

Ends 8 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Claude 5.

Polymarket currently hosts 105 active markets for Claude 5 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Claude 5 released by…?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $7.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Counter-Strike: Golden Five vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Claude 5 released by…?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Claude 5 released by…?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 87% chance to September 30, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Claude 5 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.