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Claude 5 預測與賠率

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Best AI model on June 20?

Best AI model on June 20?

73%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$1.5K 交易量

$5.2K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

Will Claude go down on __ days in June?

Will Claude go down on __ days in June?

45%

6-8

$12.8K 交易量

$6.7K Liq.

Ends 16 天內

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

39%

45%+

$359K 交易量

$16.2K Liq.

28

Ends 16 天內

Claude Code Commits End of June?

Claude Code Commits End of June?

28%

700.0-750.0k

$3.5K 交易量

$8.1K Liq.

Ends 16 天內

Best AI model on June 13?

Best AI model on June 13?

98%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$178K 交易量

$70.1K Liq.

Ends 大約 16 小時前

Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?

Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?

23%

↓ 400.0k

$7.3K 交易量

$506 Liq.

Ends 16 天內

Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?

Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?

61%

September 30

$4.9K 交易量

$8.2K Liq.

Ends 4 個月內

Will there be a 1v5 ace clutch in the IEM Cologne Major 2026 playoffs?

Will there be a 1v5 ace clutch in the IEM Cologne Major 2026 playoffs?

12%

$94 交易量

$1.4K Liq.

Ends 9 天內

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

24%

$13.5K 交易量

$2.5K Liq.

23

Ends 2 個月前

Counter-Strike: Golden Five vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

Counter-Strike: Golden Five vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

100%

LPH Gaming

$33.2K 交易量

Ends 大約 2 個月前

"Toy Story 5" Rotten Tomatoes score?

"Toy Story 5" Rotten Tomatoes score?

97%

75+

$1.1K 交易量

$592 Liq.

Ends 8 天內

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Atreides

$1.8K 交易量

Ends 大約 1 個月前

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

38%

June 15–June 21

$161K 交易量

$21.5K Liq.

Ends 14 天內

GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

94%

July 31

$911K 交易量

$45.6K Liq.

18

Ends 大約 2 個月內

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

31%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$6.0K Liq.

135

Ends 7 個月內

Will GamerLegion make a roster change before August?

Will GamerLegion make a roster change before August?

14%

$0 交易量

$364 Liq.

LA-05 House Election Winner

LA-05 House Election Winner

90%

Republican Party

$6.1K 交易量

$23.4K Liq.

Ends 5 個月內

Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs VP.Future 2 (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs VP.Future 2 (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

100%

Clutchain

$778 交易量

Ends 30 天前

FC Lahti vs. Seinajoen JK

FC Lahti vs. Seinajoen JK

32%

Yes

$1.2K 交易量

$28.4K Liq.

Ends 11 分鐘內

Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs ENJOY (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs ENJOY (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

CYBERSHOKE Prospects

$705 交易量

Ends 大約 1 個月前

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 105 active markets for Claude 5 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Best AI model on June 20?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 35% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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