Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

55%

June 30, 2026

$2M 交易量

$147K Liq.

165

Ends 27 天內

Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

96%

35%+

$192K 交易量

$19.9K Liq.

3

Ends 3 個月內

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

76%

50%+

$56.2K 交易量

$2.0K Liq.

11

Ends 3 個月內

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

53%

No IPO by December 31, 2027

$101K 交易量

$32.3K Liq.

Ends 超過 1 年內

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

9%

$9.3K 交易量

$4.9K Liq.

1

Ends 9 個月內

Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

94%

$11.8K 交易量

$7.3K Liq.

Ends 9 個月內

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

57%

Anthropic

$51.0K 交易量

$4.9K Liq.

Ends 超過 1 年內

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

54%

June 30

$77.7K 交易量

$23.3K Liq.

1

Ends 27 天內

Claude 4.7 released by...?

Claude 4.7 released by...?

71%

June 30

$76.2K 交易量

$13.1K Liq.

6

Ends 3 個月內

Top AI model on April 10? (Style Control On)

Top AI model on April 10? (Style Control On)

92%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$3.1K 交易量

$72.9K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

Will Claude go down on __ days in April?

Will Claude go down on __ days in April?

50%

9-11

$16.9K 交易量

$22.4K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

39%

9-11

$17 交易量

$4.0K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Best AI model on April 10? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on April 10? (Style Control Off)

94%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$1.2K 交易量

$54.9K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

93%

June 30

$303K 交易量

$20.7K Liq.

5

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$6.6K Liq.

Ends 大約 21 小時內

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$6.6K Liq.

Ends 大約 21 小時內

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$4.7K Liq.

Ends 大約 9 小時內

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$7.8K Liq.

Ends 大約 21 小時內

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$4.8K Liq.

Ends 大約 9 小時內

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$4.7K Liq.

Ends 大約 10 小時內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Claude 5.

Polymarket currently hosts 120 active markets for Claude 5 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Claude 5 released by…?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Claude 5 released by…?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Claude 5 released by…?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 55% chance to June 30, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Claude 5 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.