Skip to main content

Claude 5 預測與賠率

·
Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

69%

September 30, 2026

$4M 交易量

$52.8K Liq.

206

Ends 大約 1 個月前

Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

82%

9-11

$55.0K 交易量

$2.3K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 小時前

Will Claude go down on __ days in June?

Will Claude go down on __ days in June?

37%

9-11

$980 交易量

$12.2K Liq.

Ends 30 天內

Claude Code Commits End of June?

Claude Code Commits End of June?

20%

600.0-650.0k

$1.3K 交易量

$3.2K Liq.

Ends 30 天內

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

49%

50%+

$66.0K 交易量

$223 Liq.

12

Ends 30 天內

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

25%

45%+

$288K 交易量

$8.8K Liq.

12

Ends 30 天內

Best AI model on May 30? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on May 30? (Style Control Off)

<1%

gemini-3.5-flash

$39.0K 交易量

$2M Liq.

Ends 1 天前

Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?

Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?

89%

↓ 450.0k

$7.1K 交易量

$179 Liq.

Ends 30 天內

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

74%

July 31

$504K 交易量

$30.8K Liq.

22

Ends 大約 1 個月前

Claude Code Commits hit ___ by May 31?

Claude Code Commits hit ___ by May 31?

4%

↓ 350.0k

$51.7K 交易量

$1.6K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 小時前

Claude Opus 4.8: Arena Debut?

Claude Opus 4.8: Arena Debut?

57%

1490-1500

$6.7K 交易量

$2.5K Liq.

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

30%

$12.6K 交易量

$1.3K Liq.

23

Ends 2 個月前

Counter-Strike: Golden Five vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

Counter-Strike: Golden Five vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

100%

LPH Gaming

$33.2K 交易量

Ends 大約 1 個月前

"Toy Story 5" Rotten Tomatoes score?

"Toy Story 5" Rotten Tomatoes score?

92%

75+

$49 交易量

$1.4K Liq.

Ends 22 天內

Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Droguet/Gaston vs Halys/Herbert

Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Droguet/Gaston vs Halys/Herbert

51%

Halys/Herbert

$0 交易量

$151 Liq.

Ends 8 天內

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Atreides

$1.8K 交易量

Ends 17 天前

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

32%

June 15–June 21

$36.0K 交易量

$20.0K Liq.

Ends 28 天內

GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

87%

July 31

$328K 交易量

$47.1K Liq.

2

Ends 2 個月內

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

35%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$5.6K Liq.

130

Ends 7 個月內

LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

54%

Cloud9

$4.3K 交易量

$21.6K Liq.

Ends 8 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Claude 5.

Polymarket currently hosts 108 active markets for Claude 5 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Claude 5 released by…?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $8.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Claude 5 released by…?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Claude 5 released by…?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 69% chance to September 30, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Claude 5 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.