Traders have assigned a 98.7% implied probability to no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the extended timeline required for a major artificial intelligence firm to complete regulatory filings, roadshows, and pricing after initial preparations. The company has engaged legal counsel and held preliminary discussions with investment banks, with credible reporting pointing to a possible listing window no earlier than October 2026 amid ongoing competition with OpenAI and rapid growth in its Claude large language model offerings. Recent funding rounds have pushed private valuations toward the $350–900 billion range, yet the absence of a Securities and Exchange Commission filing or confirmed date within the next six weeks sustains the overwhelming market consensus. An unexpected acceleration in the IPO process or a surprise regulatory filing could shift sentiment, though historical precedents for AI startups suggest such moves remain unlikely in the immediate term.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2026年6月30日前未IPO 98.7%
6000億+ <1%
低於 1000 億 <1%
2,000–3,000 億 <1%
$1,355,866 交易量
$1,355,866 交易量
2026-06-30
低於 1000 億
<1%
1000–2000 億美元
<1%
2,000–3,000 億
<1%
3,000–4,000 億
<1%
4,000–6,000 億
<1%
6000億+
1%
2026年6月30日前未IPO
99%
2026年6月30日前未IPO 98.7%
6000億+ <1%
低於 1000 億 <1%
2,000–3,000 億 <1%
$1,355,866 交易量
$1,355,866 交易量
2026-06-30
低於 1000 億
$276,262 交易量
<1%
1000–2000 億美元
$103,618 交易量
<1%
2,000–3,000 億
$152,062 交易量
<1%
3,000–4,000 億
$104,730 交易量
<1%
4,000–6,000 億
$165,645 交易量
<1%
6000億+
$296,184 交易量
1%
2026年6月30日前未IPO
$257,365 交易量
99%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders have assigned a 98.7% implied probability to no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the extended timeline required for a major artificial intelligence firm to complete regulatory filings, roadshows, and pricing after initial preparations. The company has engaged legal counsel and held preliminary discussions with investment banks, with credible reporting pointing to a possible listing window no earlier than October 2026 amid ongoing competition with OpenAI and rapid growth in its Claude large language model offerings. Recent funding rounds have pushed private valuations toward the $350–900 billion range, yet the absence of a Securities and Exchange Commission filing or confirmed date within the next six weeks sustains the overwhelming market consensus. An unexpected acceleration in the IPO process or a surprise regulatory filing could shift sentiment, though historical precedents for AI startups suggest such moves remain unlikely in the immediate term.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間： Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
交易量
$1,355,866結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders have assigned a 98.7% implied probability to no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the extended timeline required for a major artificial intelligence firm to complete regulatory filings, roadshows, and pricing after initial preparations. The company has engaged legal counsel and held preliminary discussions with investment banks, with credible reporting pointing to a possible listing window no earlier than October 2026 amid ongoing competition with OpenAI and rapid growth in its Claude large language model offerings. Recent funding rounds have pushed private valuations toward the $350–900 billion range, yet the absence of a Securities and Exchange Commission filing or confirmed date within the next six weeks sustains the overwhelming market consensus. An unexpected acceleration in the IPO process or a surprise regulatory filing could shift sentiment, though historical precedents for AI startups suggest such moves remain unlikely in the immediate term.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$1,355,866結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders have assigned a 98.7% implied probability to no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the extended timeline required for a major artificial intelligence firm to complete regulatory filings, roadshows, and pricing after initial preparations. The company has engaged legal counsel and held preliminary discussions with investment banks, with credible reporting pointing to a possible listing window no earlier than October 2026 amid ongoing competition with OpenAI and rapid growth in its Claude large language model offerings. Recent funding rounds have pushed private valuations toward the $350–900 billion range, yet the absence of a Securities and Exchange Commission filing or confirmed date within the next six weeks sustains the overwhelming market consensus. An unexpected acceleration in the IPO process or a surprise regulatory filing could shift sentiment, though historical precedents for AI startups suggest such moves remain unlikely in the immediate term.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions