OpenAI's completion of pre-training for its next major large language model, codenamed "Spud" and widely speculated as GPT-5.5, has fueled trader optimism for an imminent release following the March rollout of GPT-5.4. OpenAI President Greg Brockman described Spud as a new foundational pre-train embodying "two years' worth of research," promising qualitative leaps like enhanced reasoning, longer time horizons, and intuitive "big model smell" adaptability. This positions it against rivals like Anthropic's leaked Mythos tier above Claude Opus and xAI's Grok 5 beta, amid a heated April release race including Meta's Llama 5 and others. Traders eye mid-April timelines per monthly cadence patterns, with Google I/O in May as a key benchmark catalyst, though post-training safety evaluations could introduce delays.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$301,972 交易量
2026-04-15
4 月 15 日
23%
4 月 30 日
45%
6 月 30 日
93%
$301,972 交易量
4 月 15 日
$6,622 交易量
23%
4 月 30 日
$126,517 交易量
45%
6 月 30 日
$168,833 交易量
93%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's completion of pre-training for its next major large language model, codenamed "Spud" and widely speculated as GPT-5.5, has fueled trader optimism for an imminent release following the March rollout of GPT-5.4. OpenAI President Greg Brockman described Spud as a new foundational pre-train embodying "two years' worth of research," promising qualitative leaps like enhanced reasoning, longer time horizons, and intuitive "big model smell" adaptability. This positions it against rivals like Anthropic's leaked Mythos tier above Claude Opus and xAI's Grok 5 beta, amid a heated April release race including Meta's Llama 5 and others. Traders eye mid-April timelines per monthly cadence patterns, with Google I/O in May as a key benchmark catalyst, though post-training safety evaluations could introduce delays.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Mar 12, 2026, 3:27 PM ET
交易量
$301,972市場開放時間
Mar 12, 2026, 3:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's completion of pre-training for its next major large language model, codenamed "Spud" and widely speculated as GPT-5.5, has fueled trader optimism for an imminent release following the March rollout of GPT-5.4. OpenAI President Greg Brockman described Spud as a new foundational pre-train embodying "two years' worth of research," promising qualitative leaps like enhanced reasoning, longer time horizons, and intuitive "big model smell" adaptability. This positions it against rivals like Anthropic's leaked Mythos tier above Claude Opus and xAI's Grok 5 beta, amid a heated April release race including Meta's Llama 5 and others. Traders eye mid-April timelines per monthly cadence patterns, with Google I/O in May as a key benchmark catalyst, though post-training safety evaluations could introduce delays.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$301,972市場開放時間
Mar 12, 2026, 3:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's completion of pre-training for its next major large language model, codenamed "Spud" and widely speculated as GPT-5.5, has fueled trader optimism for an imminent release following the March rollout of GPT-5.4. OpenAI President Greg Brockman described Spud as a new foundational pre-train embodying "two years' worth of research," promising qualitative leaps like enhanced reasoning, longer time horizons, and intuitive "big model smell" adaptability. This positions it against rivals like Anthropic's leaked Mythos tier above Claude Opus and xAI's Grok 5 beta, amid a heated April release race including Meta's Llama 5 and others. Traders eye mid-April timelines per monthly cadence patterns, with Google I/O in May as a key benchmark catalyst, though post-training safety evaluations could introduce delays.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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