SpaceX priced its record IPO at $135 per share on June 2, targeting a roughly $1.75 trillion valuation and raising about $75 billion in the largest offering ever. Shares debuted on Nasdaq under ticker SPCX on June 12 and surged nearly 19% to close near $161, pushing market cap above $2 trillion on debut and making Elon Musk the first trillionaire. Traders are focused on Starlink’s broadband and direct-to-device momentum, planned space-based AI data centers, and Starship flight cadence as primary growth drivers, alongside historical parallels to other mega-tech listings where post-IPO volatility often hinges on execution milestones in the first earnings cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於SpaceX finalizes IPO price at $135, largest stock market debut ever
>$1.8T jumps to 99%9%
SpaceX confirmed its IPO price and share count, setting the stage for its Nasdaq debut with a valuation around $1.75 trillion, reinforcing market confidence and driving probabilities for high valuation outcomes.
SpaceX prices record $75 billion IPO at $135 per share, valuing company at $1.77 trillion
>$2T surges to 99%21%
SpaceX priced its IPO at $135 per share, raising $75 billion and setting a valuation of approximately $1.77 trillion, the largest IPO ever. This pricing confirmed market expectations and drove the closing market cap probabilities near certainty for above $1 trillion.
SpaceX IPO oversubscribed with $150 billion in investor demand
>$1.8T jumps to 89%11%
Reports indicated that SpaceX's IPO was oversubscribed by about two times, with $150 billion in demand for $75 billion of shares. This strong demand reflected high market enthusiasm and supported elevated valuation probabilities.
Google announces $11 billion investment in SpaceX ahead of IPO
>$1.8T jumps to 73%11%
Google disclosed an $11 billion investment in SpaceX just one week before the expected IPO trading debut, boosting strategic investor confidence and likely supporting the company's valuation near the $1.75 trillion target.
SpaceX IPO roadshow begins with strong investor demand
>$1.6T surges to 42%19%
SpaceX commenced its IPO roadshow, with reports of insatiable investor demand and high engagement from analysts and institutional investors. This strong demand supported the high valuation and increased confidence in a successful IPO at or above the targeted $1.75 trillion valuation.
SpaceX begins IPO roadshow amid strong investor demand
>$1.6T rises to 95%3%
SpaceX launched its IPO roadshow to market shares to institutional and retail investors, with reports of insatiable demand and oversubscription. The roadshow reinforced confidence in the IPO's success and valuation.
Market prices SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1 trillion with high confidence
>$1T rises to 94%1%
Prediction markets show a 93.5% probability that SpaceX's IPO closing market cap will exceed $1 trillion, reflecting strong market consensus on the IPO's success and valuation, driven by the company's financial disclosures and IPO pricing.
SpaceX sets IPO price at $135 per share, targeting $1.77 trillion valuation
>$2T jumps to 92%13%
Ahead of its investor roadshow, SpaceX fixed its IPO price at $135 per share to raise $75 billion, valuing the company at $1.77 trillion. This pricing confirmed the market's valuation expectations and IPO schedule.
SpaceX Sets Fixed IPO Price at $135 Per Share Targeting $1.77 Trillion Valuation
>$2T drops to 64%13%
SpaceX filed an updated prospectus fixing its IPO price at $135 per share to raise a record $75 billion. This fixed price implied an initial valuation of $1.77 trillion, causing the probability of outcomes above $1.8T and $2T to drop slightly as the target solidified below those thresholds.
SpaceX sets fixed IPO price at $135 per share targeting $1.77 trillion valuation
>$1.4T jumps to 97%12%
SpaceX announced a fixed IPO price of $135 per share, aiming to raise $75 billion and valuing the company at approximately $1.77 trillion. This unusual move bypassed the typical price range process and solidified market expectations for the IPO valuation.
Reuters reports SpaceX targets $1.75 trillion valuation in all-primary IPO
>$1.8T surges to 85%15%
Reuters reported that SpaceX plans an all-primary IPO to raise $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation, with no existing shareholders selling shares. This news reinforced the market's high valuation expectations and IPO timing.
SpaceX Plans to Fix IPO Price at $135 Per Share, Targeting $1.8 Trillion Valuation
>$2.2T drops to 63%10%
Reports emerged that SpaceX plans to set its IPO price at $135 per share to raise a record $75 billion, settling its valuation target at approximately $1.8 trillion. This adjustment caused a sharp drop in the highest-tier brackets as the valuation settled near the $1.8T floor.
SpaceX sets IPO price at $135 per share, targeting $1.77 trillion valuation
>$2T jumps to 94%6%
Ahead of its investor roadshow, SpaceX fixed its IPO price at $135 per share to raise $75 billion, valuing the company at $1.77 trillion, the largest IPO ever, reinforcing market optimism and pushing valuation probabilities higher.
Reports indicate SpaceX lowers IPO valuation target to at least $1.8 trillion
>$1.8T jumps to 85%11%
Bloomberg reported that SpaceX adjusted its IPO valuation target downward from above $2 trillion to at least $1.8 trillion, reflecting investor and advisor feedback. This tempered some market expectations but maintained a high valuation outlook.
SpaceX Plans to Fix IPO Price at $135 per Share to Raise Record $75 Billion
>$2.4T drops to 50%9%
Reports emerged that SpaceX decided to fix its IPO price at $135 per share, targeting a $1.77 trillion valuation. This anchored expectations firmly below the $2.2T and $2.4T marks, causing those outcomes to drop.
SpaceX sets IPO price at $135 per share targeting $75 billion raise
>$1.4T surges to 75%38%
Ahead of its investor roadshow, SpaceX fixed its IPO price at $135 per share, aiming to raise a record $75 billion and valuing the company at approximately $1.75 trillion. This pricing confirmed market expectations and drove prediction markets to price high probabilities for valuations above $1 trillion.
SpaceX sets IPO date for June 12, targeting $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise
>$1.4T surges to 78%36%
SpaceX announced its IPO pricing date and valuation target, confirming expectations for the largest IPO in history. This announcement boosted market confidence and increased probabilities for higher valuation brackets.
SpaceX Launches Starship V3 Demonstrating Critical Booster Recovery Progress
>$2.2T jumps to 63%7%
SpaceX successfully executed its 12th test flight featuring the Starship V3 vehicle. The flight demonstrated booster recovery progress critical for reducing launch costs and supporting future orbital data centers.
SpaceX files IPO prospectus targeting $1.75 trillion valuation
>$1.6T jumps to 90%11%
The IPO prospectus was filed publicly, outlining $18.7 billion in 2025 revenue and ambitious growth plans. This disclosure reinforced market optimism, pushing prediction market prices for valuations above $1.6 trillion and $1.75 trillion higher.
SpaceX publicly files S-1 revealing $18.7B 2025 revenue and 18,712 BTC holdings
>$2T surges to 63%17%
The public S-1 filing disclosed SpaceX's 2025 revenue of $18.7 billion, a net loss of about $4.9 billion, and Bitcoin holdings of 18,712 BTC, providing transparency that boosted market confidence and valuation expectations ahead of the IPO.
SpaceX files IPO prospectus confirming $1.6 trillion valuation target by June 30
The IPO prospectus release provided detailed financials including $18.7 billion 2025 revenue and plans for Starlink and AI expansion, reinforcing market expectations for a valuation above $1.6 trillion. This transparency boosted confidence and supported high prediction market prices for outcomes above $1.6 trillion.
SpaceX IPO prospectus reveals $1.6 trillion valuation target and $18.7 billion 2025 revenue
>$1.6T jumps to 90%12%
The IPO prospectus filing disclosed detailed financials including $18.7 billion revenue and a $1.6 trillion valuation target, reinforcing market confidence and pushing probabilities higher for valuations above $1.6 trillion.
SpaceX publicly files S-1 prospectus revealing $18.67B 2025 revenue and $4.94B net loss
>$1.2T surges to 86%34%
The public S-1 filing provided detailed financials, showing strong revenue growth led by Starlink but also significant net losses due to xAI integration and Starship development. This transparency influenced investor valuation models and market pricing.
SpaceX makes S-1 filing public, confirms $18.7B 2025 revenue and $4.9B net loss
SpaceX publicly filed its S-1 prospectus revealing $18.7 billion revenue in 2025 and a net loss of $4.9 billion, highlighting the profitable Starlink segment and costly AI investments, which shaped investor valuation expectations ahead of the IPO.
SpaceX Files Public S-1 Prospectus Detailing $18.7 Billion Revenue and xAI Integration
>$2T surges to 71%17%
SpaceX's public S-1 filing confirmed its accelerated June 2026 Nasdaq listing plans under ticker SPCX. The prospectus revealed strong Starlink growth alongside heavy AI-related losses from the xAI merger, anchoring trader consensus around the $2 trillion mark.
SpaceX Officially Files S-1 Prospectus Disclosing Financials and Nasdaq Ticker SPCX
>$1.8T rises to 83%1%
SpaceX filed its public S-1 prospectus with the SEC, revealing $18.67 billion in 2025 revenue alongside a $4.94 billion net loss. The filing confirmed plans to list on Nasdaq under the ticker SPCX, driving high-tier market cap probabilities to near-certainty.
SpaceX reveals Bitcoin holdings of $637 million ahead of IPO
>$1.8T jumps to 90%11%
Ahead of its IPO, SpaceX disclosed holding 8,285 bitcoins valued at approximately $637 million, highlighting a unique treasury asset that could influence investor perception and add a crypto dimension to the company's valuation.
SpaceX reveals Bitcoin holdings of 18,712 BTC in IPO filing
>$1.6T rises to 81%4%
SpaceX disclosed holding 18,712 bitcoins valued at approximately $637 million in its IPO filing, providing investors insight into its non-traditional assets and financial strategy, which influenced market valuation perceptions.
Launch of SPCX synthetic perpetual futures contract on Hyperliquid
Hyperliquid launched a synthetic perpetual futures contract tracking SpaceX's pre-IPO valuation, initially pricing at $150 per share, reflecting a $1.78 trillion market cap and providing retail traders access to SpaceX valuation speculation.
Hyperliquid Launches SPCX Synthetic Perpetual Futures Tracking SpaceX Pre-IPO Valuation
>$2T jumps to 77%9%
The launch of SPCX-USDC synthetic perpetual futures on Hyperliquid allowed retail traders to speculate on SpaceX's valuation, with the contract quickly rising to imply a valuation above the official target.
SpaceX prepares IPO prospectus release and investor roadshow
>$1.6T rises to 77%3%
Industry rumors indicated SpaceX would publish its IPO prospectus imminently and start investor roadshows in early June, coinciding with Starship launch milestones. This fueled market anticipation and price volatility in the closing market cap predictions.
SpaceX accelerates IPO timeline targeting June 12 Nasdaq listing
>$1.6T surges to 74%26%
Reports confirmed SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline with a Nasdaq debut planned for June 12, 2026, under ticker SPCX, aiming to raise $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation. This accelerated schedule increased market confidence in the IPO's near-term execution.
SpaceX accelerates IPO timeline, targets June 12 Nasdaq listing
>$1.8T surges to 43%29%
SpaceX accelerated its IPO timeline with plans to list on Nasdaq as early as June 12, 2026, reinforcing market expectations for a near-term public debut and supporting higher valuation pricing in prediction markets.
SpaceX confidentially files draft registration statement with SEC for IPO
SpaceX submitted its confidential draft registration statement to the SEC, confirming IPO plans targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and a June 2026 Nasdaq listing. This filing significantly increased market confidence in the IPO timing and valuation, driving up prediction market prices across valuation brackets.
SpaceX Files Confidentially with SEC Targeting Up to $2 Trillion Valuation
>$1.8T jumps to 18%8%
SpaceX submitted its confidential S-1 filing to the SEC, aiming for a historic public offering valued between $1.75 trillion and $2 trillion. This concrete step toward listing immediately re-rated the probability of higher valuation brackets.
SpaceX submits confidential draft registration statement to SEC
SpaceX filed a confidential draft registration statement with the SEC, confirming plans for a June 2026 IPO targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation. This filing significantly increased market confidence in the IPO's timing and valuation.
SpaceX confidentially files draft registration statement with SEC for IPO
>$1.4T surges to 73%21%
SpaceX submitted its confidential draft registration statement to the SEC, confirming IPO plans and targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation, which significantly boosted market expectations for the IPO's timing and valuation.
SpaceX submits confidential IPO filing to SEC targeting $1.75 trillion valuation
SpaceX filed its confidential draft registration statement with the SEC, signaling its intent to go public with a record-breaking valuation and capital raise. This filing confirmed the IPO's reality and set the stage for market anticipation and pricing discussions.
SpaceX confidentially files for IPO targeting $1.75 trillion valuation
SpaceX submitted a confidential draft registration statement to the SEC, signaling preparation for an IPO potentially as early as June 2026, with a target valuation of $1.75 trillion and a $50–75 billion raise, fueling investor excitement.
SpaceX Files Confidential IPO Paperwork with SEC Targeting $1.75 Trillion Valuation
>$1.6T surges to 74%26%
SpaceX submitted a confidential draft registration with the SEC, initiating the formal process for a historic Nasdaq listing targeted for June with an expected valuation of $1.75 trillion.
SpaceX confidentially files draft registration statement with SEC for IPO
>$1.6T surges to 86%38%
SpaceX submitted a confidential draft registration statement to the SEC, confirming IPO plans targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and a June 2026 Nasdaq listing. This filing significantly increased market confidence and raised valuation expectations across all brackets.
SpaceX Submits Confidential Draft Registration Statement to SEC for IPO
>$1.4T rises to 91%3%
SpaceX filed confidential paperwork with the SEC to prepare for its historic initial public offering, targeting a valuation of up to $1.75 trillion. This milestone solidified expectations of a public listing occurring before the 2027 deadline.
SpaceX Merges with xAI in All-Stock Deal Valued at $250 Billion
>$1.4T surges to 73%21%
SpaceX acquired Elon Musk's artificial intelligence startup xAI in an all-stock merger, transforming the rocket manufacturer into an aerospace and AI powerhouse and significantly boosting its valuation expectations.
SpaceX Consolidates Operations Through All-Stock Merger with Elon Musk's xAI
>$2T surges to 47%27%
SpaceX completed an all-stock merger with xAI in February 2026, transforming the rocket maker into a combined space and AI powerhouse. This merger significantly boosted the company's implied valuation, driving up probabilities for higher market cap brackets.
SpaceX and xAI Complete Merger at $1.25 Trillion Combined Valuation
>$1.2T surges to 84%18%
SpaceX completed its acquisition of Elon Musk's artificial intelligence venture, xAI, in an all-stock transaction. This merger significantly boosted the combined entity's private valuation to $1.25 trillion, driving up the market probabilities for higher-tier market cap outcomes.
SpaceX merges with xAI, combined valuation reaches $1.25 trillion
>$1.2T jumps to 66%14%
SpaceX merged with Elon Musk's AI startup xAI, creating a combined entity valued at approximately $1.25 trillion. This merger expanded the company's business scope and significantly increased its valuation ahead of the IPO.
Reports emerge of SpaceX targeting $1.5 trillion valuation for June 2026 IPO
>$1.4T surges to 52%22%
Financial Times and other outlets reported SpaceX's plans for a June 2026 IPO with a $1.5 trillion valuation target, raising expectations for a record-breaking public offering and influencing market pricing upward.
Financial Times reports SpaceX targets June 2026 IPO at $1.5 trillion valuation
>$1.4T surges to 52%22%
Reports emerged that SpaceX was planning an IPO in June 2026 with a valuation around $1.5 trillion, raising expectations for a historic public offering and driving market optimism for higher valuation brackets.
SpaceX sets $800 billion valuation in insider share sale ahead of 2026 IPO plans
>$1T jumps to 57%12%
SpaceX announced an insider share sale valuing the company at about $800 billion, signaling strong private market confidence and setting the stage for a potential 2026 IPO. This valuation milestone increased market expectations for a high IPO valuation.
SpaceX internal tender offer values company at $800 billion
>$1T jumps to 57%12%
SpaceX approved an internal tender offer allowing investors to buy shares at $421 each, valuing the company at approximately $800 billion. This event set a new private market valuation floor and increased market expectations for a 2026 IPO.
SpaceX valued at $800 billion in private tender offer
>$1T jumps to 57%12%
A private tender offer in December 2025 valued SpaceX at approximately $800 billion, signaling strong private market confidence and setting a high baseline for the upcoming IPO valuation. This valuation helped anchor market expectations for a public offering above $1 trillion.

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