SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for a blockbuster IPO—potentially valuing the company at $1.75 trillion following its February merger with xAI—has ignited trader consensus around $X as the frontrunner at 47% implied probability, reflecting synergies with Elon Musk's X platform and Grok AI integration into Starship data centers and satellite networks. Yet "Other" trails closely at 44.2%, capturing uncertainty over the undisclosed ticker amid regulatory review and no official announcement; generic options like $SPAX or $SPACE lag due to weaker branding appeal in Musk's ecosystem. Key differentiators include Musk's X rebranding history versus SEC preferences for descriptive tickers, with the full prospectus release and mid-June 2026 listing as pivotal catalysts that could resolve the deadlock.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$X 47%
其他 44.2%
$SPAX 3.8%
$SPACE 1.3%
$4,223,171 交易量
$4,223,171 交易量
$X
47%
其他
44%
$SPAX
4%
$SPACE
1%
$SEX
1%
$STAR
1%
$SX
1%
$MARS
<1%
$SPC
<1%
$X 47%
其他 44.2%
$SPAX 3.8%
$SPACE 1.3%
$4,223,171 交易量
$4,223,171 交易量
$X
47%
其他
44%
$SPAX
4%
$SPACE
1%
$SEX
1%
$STAR
1%
$SX
1%
$MARS
<1%
$SPC
<1%
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間: Dec 13, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for a blockbuster IPO—potentially valuing the company at $1.75 trillion following its February merger with xAI—has ignited trader consensus around $X as the frontrunner at 47% implied probability, reflecting synergies with Elon Musk's X platform and Grok AI integration into Starship data centers and satellite networks. Yet "Other" trails closely at 44.2%, capturing uncertainty over the undisclosed ticker amid regulatory review and no official announcement; generic options like $SPAX or $SPACE lag due to weaker branding appeal in Musk's ecosystem. Key differentiators include Musk's X rebranding history versus SEC preferences for descriptive tickers, with the full prospectus release and mid-June 2026 listing as pivotal catalysts that could resolve the deadlock.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions