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最大的公司在4月底?

Market icon

最大的公司在4月底?

NVIDIA 96.4%

蘋果 2.3%

Alphabet <1%

微軟 <1%

Polymarket

$1,592,597 交易量

NVIDIA 96.4%

蘋果 2.3%

Alphabet <1%

微軟 <1%

Polymarket

$1,592,597 交易量

Market icon

NVIDIA

$295,338 交易量

96%

Market icon

蘋果

$330,507 交易量

2%

Market icon

Alphabet

$186,709 交易量

1%

Market icon

微軟

$146,288 交易量

<1%

Market icon

特斯拉

$240,651 交易量

<1%

Market icon

沙烏地阿美

$187,317 交易量

<1%

Market icon

亞馬遜

$208,187 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA's commanding 96.5% implied probability as the world's largest company by market cap at April's end stems from its $4.27 trillion valuation—over $500 billion ahead of Apple's $3.76 trillion—fueled by unrelenting demand for its AI GPUs like Blackwell, which are ramping production amid explosive data center builds. Traders' strong consensus reflects NVIDIA's 65%+ fiscal 2026 revenue surge from AI dominance and CUDA ecosystem moat, contrasting Apple's 7-9% YTD stock decline tied to sluggish iPhone sales in China and delayed Apple Intelligence features. While market volatility, an AI hype cooldown, or antitrust probes could narrow the gap, a sustained tech rally favors NVIDIA holding its lead through month-end.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,592,597
結束日期
2026-04-30
市場開放時間
Mar 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA's commanding 96.5% implied probability as the world's largest company by market cap at April's end stems from its $4.27 trillion valuation—over $500 billion ahead of Apple's $3.76 trillion—fueled by unrelenting demand for its AI GPUs like Blackwell, which are ramping production amid explosive data center builds. Traders' strong consensus reflects NVIDIA's 65%+ fiscal 2026 revenue surge from AI dominance and CUDA ecosystem moat, contrasting Apple's 7-9% YTD stock decline tied to sluggish iPhone sales in China and delayed Apple Intelligence features. While market volatility, an AI hype cooldown, or antitrust probes could narrow the gap, a sustained tech rally favors NVIDIA holding its lead through month-end.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,592,597
結束日期
2026-04-30
市場開放時間
Mar 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"最大的公司在4月底?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "NVIDIA" at 96%, followed by "蘋果" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "最大的公司在4月底?" has generated $1.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "最大的公司在4月底?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "最大的公司在4月底?" is "NVIDIA" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "蘋果" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "最大的公司在4月底?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.