Tesla's recent stock slide—down over 4% in the past week amid weak Q1 2026 delivery forecasts and plunging profits—has pinned Elon Musk's Bloomberg Billionaires Index net worth near $632 billion, fueling trader consensus for a tight 600-670B range on April 30. With outcomes clustered at 29.5-30% implied probabilities, the market reflects high uncertainty from EV competition, analyst downgrades like HSBC's $131/share target, and SpaceX's stable private valuation. Key swing factors include late-April Q1 earnings, potential Optimus robot updates, and Musk's ongoing equity stakes, as real-money bettors weigh near-term downside risks against long-shot autonomy breakthroughs in this volatile pop culture titan saga.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於6000-6100億 30%
6200-6300億 30%
6300-6400億 30%
6500-6600億 30%
少於6000億
30%
6000-6100億
30%
6,100億-6,200億
30%
6200-6300億
30%
6300-6400億
30%
6400-6500億
30%
6500-6600億
30%
6600億-6700億
30%
6700億以上
29%
6000-6100億 30%
6200-6300億 30%
6300-6400億 30%
6500-6600億 30%
少於6000億
30%
6000-6100億
30%
6,100億-6,200億
30%
6200-6300億
30%
6300-6400億
30%
6400-6500億
30%
6500-6600億
30%
6600億-6700億
30%
6700億以上
29%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for April 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
市場開放時間: Mar 30, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for April 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Tesla's recent stock slide—down over 4% in the past week amid weak Q1 2026 delivery forecasts and plunging profits—has pinned Elon Musk's Bloomberg Billionaires Index net worth near $632 billion, fueling trader consensus for a tight 600-670B range on April 30. With outcomes clustered at 29.5-30% implied probabilities, the market reflects high uncertainty from EV competition, analyst downgrades like HSBC's $131/share target, and SpaceX's stable private valuation. Key swing factors include late-April Q1 earnings, potential Optimus robot updates, and Musk's ongoing equity stakes, as real-money bettors weigh near-term downside risks against long-shot autonomy breakthroughs in this volatile pop culture titan saga.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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