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科技·雙子座3

哪家公司在3月底推出了排名第三的人工智能模型？ （樣式控制開啓）

Market icon
科技·雙子座3

哪家公司在3月底推出了排名第三的人工智能模型？ （樣式控制開啓）

Ended: 3月 31

4月 30

Ended: 3月 31

4月 30

Google 100.0%

OpenAI <1%

Z.ai <1%

DeepSeek <1%

Polymarket

$428,694 交易量

Google 100.0%

OpenAI <1%

Z.ai <1%

DeepSeek <1%

Polymarket

$428,694 交易量

Market icon

Google

$45,746 交易量

是

Market icon

OpenAI

$41,027 交易量

否

Market icon

Z.ai

$131,881 交易量

否

Market icon

DeepSeek

$39,245 交易量

否

Market icon

Mistral

$16,916 交易量

否

Market icon

Anthropic

$59,639 交易量

否

Market icon

阿里巴巴

$25,813 交易量

否

Market icon

xAI

$35,445 交易量

否

Market icon

Moonshot

$20,342 交易量

否

Market icon

美團

$12,639 交易量

否

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the third-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to Google holding the #3 spot on LM Arena's Text leaderboard (Style Control On) by March 31, 2026, driven by Gemini 3.1 Pro's entrenched position after its late-March release. This setup emerged from intense blind human preference battles over the past week, where Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 and OpenAI's GPT-5.4 secured #1 and #2 through superior reasoning and coding prowess, leaving Gemini 3.1 Pro unchallenged at #3 with a robust Arena Score gap. Style Control mitigates presentation biases, emphasizing substantive AI capabilities. DeepSeek V3.2 and xAI's Grok trail due to weaker recent battle outcomes. Realistic challenges—a surprise vote swing or unannounced tweak—are improbable given the snapshot resolution timing and low contender momentum.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the third-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
交易量
$428,694
結束日期
2026-03-31
市場開放時間
Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the third-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

已提議結果: 是

無爭議

最終結果: 是

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the third-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to Google holding the #3 spot on LM Arena's Text leaderboard (Style Control On) by March 31, 2026, driven by Gemini 3.1 Pro's entrenched position after its late-March release. This setup emerged from intense blind human preference battles over the past week, where Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 and OpenAI's GPT-5.4 secured #1 and #2 through superior reasoning and coding prowess, leaving Gemini 3.1 Pro unchallenged at #3 with a robust Arena Score gap. Style Control mitigates presentation biases, emphasizing substantive AI capabilities. DeepSeek V3.2 and xAI's Grok trail due to weaker recent battle outcomes. Realistic challenges—a surprise vote swing or unannounced tweak—are improbable given the snapshot resolution timing and low contender momentum.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the third-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
交易量
$428,694
結束日期
2026-03-31
市場開放時間
Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the third-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

已提議結果: 是

無爭議

最終結果: 是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"哪家公司在3月底推出了排名第三的人工智能模型？ （樣式控制開啓）" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Google" at 100%, followed by "OpenAI" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "哪家公司在3月底推出了排名第三的人工智能模型？ （樣式控制開啓）" has generated $428.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "哪家公司在3月底推出了排名第三的人工智能模型？ （樣式控制開啓）," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "哪家公司在3月底推出了排名第三的人工智能模型？ （樣式控制開啓）" is "Google" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "OpenAI" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "哪家公司在3月底推出了排名第三的人工智能模型？ （樣式控制開啓）" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.