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6月30日前， Google Gemini在FrontierMath Benchmark上的得分？

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科技·大型科技公司

6月30日前， Google Gemini在FrontierMath Benchmark上的得分？

$48,923 交易量

2026-02-28
Polymarket

$48,923 交易量

Polymarket

40%+

$0 交易量

94%

45% 以上

$25,719 交易量

70%

50%+

$0 交易量

60%

60%+

$23,204 交易量

11%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Google DeepMind's Gemini 3.1 Pro maintains competitive positioning on the FrontierMath benchmark, scoring comparably to Gemini 3 Pro's prior record of 38% on Tiers 1–3 and 19% on the ultra-challenging Tier 4, while newly solving one previously unsolved Tier 4 problem, as reported by Epoch AI in February 2026. This follows the February 12 launch of Gemini 3 Deep Think, a reasoning mode upgrade excelling in math and scientific benchmarks like IMO Gold standard, narrowing gaps with OpenAI's GPT-5.4 (current leaderboard leader at 47.6%). Trader sentiment hinges on Google's rapid iteration pace amid fierce AI rivalry, with potential catalysts including May's Google I/O announcements or fresh evaluations before the June 30 deadline; historical slips in model timelines add uncertainty to scaling FrontierMath scores beyond 50%.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.

The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$48,923
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Google DeepMind's Gemini 3.1 Pro maintains competitive positioning on the FrontierMath benchmark, scoring comparably to Gemini 3 Pro's prior record of 38% on Tiers 1–3 and 19% on the ultra-challenging Tier 4, while newly solving one previously unsolved Tier 4 problem, as reported by Epoch AI in February 2026. This follows the February 12 launch of Gemini 3 Deep Think, a reasoning mode upgrade excelling in math and scientific benchmarks like IMO Gold standard, narrowing gaps with OpenAI's GPT-5.4 (current leaderboard leader at 47.6%). Trader sentiment hinges on Google's rapid iteration pace amid fierce AI rivalry, with potential catalysts including May's Google I/O announcements or fresh evaluations before the June 30 deadline; historical slips in model timelines add uncertainty to scaling FrontierMath scores beyond 50%.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.

The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$48,923
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"6月30日前， Google Gemini在FrontierMath Benchmark上的得分？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "40%+" at 94%, followed by "45% 以上" at 70%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "6月30日前， Google Gemini在FrontierMath Benchmark上的得分？" has generated $48.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "6月30日前， Google Gemini在FrontierMath Benchmark上的得分？," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "6月30日前， Google Gemini在FrontierMath Benchmark上的得分？" is "40%+" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "45% 以上" at 70%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "6月30日前， Google Gemini在FrontierMath Benchmark上的得分？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.