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SpaceX首次公開募股的牽頭銀行?

Market icon

SpaceX首次公開募股的牽頭銀行?

摩根士丹利 48%

高盛 26%

美國銀行 19.4%

摩根大通 2.4%

Polymarket

$1,257,356 交易量

摩根士丹利 48%

高盛 26%

美國銀行 19.4%

摩根大通 2.4%

Polymarket

$1,257,356 交易量

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摩根士丹利

$311,106 交易量

48%

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高盛

$231,605 交易量

26%

Market icon

美國銀行

$64,657 交易量

19%

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摩根大通

$78,142 交易量

2%

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花旗集團

$92,561 交易量

1%

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巴克萊

$63,598 交易量

<1%

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德意志銀行

$300,233 交易量

<1%

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富國銀行

$43,734 交易量

<1%

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瑞銀集團

$71,721 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Morgan Stanley as the frontrunner at 47.5% implied probability to serve as lead bank for SpaceX's blockbuster IPO, driven by its longstanding advisory role with Elon Musk—including underwriting Tesla's 2010 IPO—and recent positioning as a top contender amid confidential S-1 filing reports from April 1, 2026. Goldman Sachs follows at 25.5% and Bank of America at 19.4%, reflecting their inclusion alongside JPMorgan and Citigroup in the five banks selected for senior underwriting roles in the code-named Project Apex, potentially valuing SpaceX over $1.75 trillion. Lower odds for others like JPMorgan (2.3%) stem from competitive dynamics, despite 21 banks total lined up; no single "lead left" is confirmed, with alphabetical listing possible, but traders anticipate hierarchy based on Musk relationships and retail distribution talks involving Morgan Stanley's E*Trade. Watch for prospectus details amid rapid mega-IPO momentum.

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,257,356
結束日期
2027-12-31
市場開放時間
Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Morgan Stanley as the frontrunner at 47.5% implied probability to serve as lead bank for SpaceX's blockbuster IPO, driven by its longstanding advisory role with Elon Musk—including underwriting Tesla's 2010 IPO—and recent positioning as a top contender amid confidential S-1 filing reports from April 1, 2026. Goldman Sachs follows at 25.5% and Bank of America at 19.4%, reflecting their inclusion alongside JPMorgan and Citigroup in the five banks selected for senior underwriting roles in the code-named Project Apex, potentially valuing SpaceX over $1.75 trillion. Lower odds for others like JPMorgan (2.3%) stem from competitive dynamics, despite 21 banks total lined up; no single "lead left" is confirmed, with alphabetical listing possible, but traders anticipate hierarchy based on Musk relationships and retail distribution talks involving Morgan Stanley's E*Trade. Watch for prospectus details amid rapid mega-IPO momentum.

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,257,356
結束日期
2027-12-31
市場開放時間
Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"SpaceX首次公開募股的牽頭銀行?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "摩根士丹利" at 48%, followed by "高盛" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "SpaceX首次公開募股的牽頭銀行?" has generated $1.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "SpaceX首次公開募股的牽頭銀行?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "SpaceX首次公開募股的牽頭銀行?" is "摩根士丹利" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "高盛" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "SpaceX首次公開募股的牽頭銀行?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.