Moonshot AI’s January 2026 Series C funding round of $500 million, earmarked explicitly for Kimi K3 development and expanded compute capacity, remains the dominant catalyst shaping trader sentiment around release timing. The company has maintained rapid iteration with the April 2026 launch of Kimi K2.6, an open-weight MoE model featuring agent-swarm coordination and extended context handling, which builds directly on prior K2 variants and positions the next flagship as a scaled successor. Credible reporting points to a targeted third-quarter 2026 debut for the 2.5-trillion-parameter model, though timelines in frontier AI development frequently shift due to training stability and hardware constraints. Traders are watching for official announcements on benchmarks or pre-release previews that could confirm or delay the window amid intensifying competition from both domestic Chinese labs and Western counterparts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$41,692 交易量
2026-06-30
June 30
26%
5 月 31 日
5%
$41,692 交易量
June 30
$4,865 交易量
26%
5 月 31 日
$3,425 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI’s January 2026 Series C funding round of $500 million, earmarked explicitly for Kimi K3 development and expanded compute capacity, remains the dominant catalyst shaping trader sentiment around release timing. The company has maintained rapid iteration with the April 2026 launch of Kimi K2.6, an open-weight MoE model featuring agent-swarm coordination and extended context handling, which builds directly on prior K2 variants and positions the next flagship as a scaled successor. Credible reporting points to a targeted third-quarter 2026 debut for the 2.5-trillion-parameter model, though timelines in frontier AI development frequently shift due to training stability and hardware constraints. Traders are watching for official announcements on benchmarks or pre-release previews that could confirm or delay the window amid intensifying competition from both domestic Chinese labs and Western counterparts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
交易量
$41,692結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI’s January 2026 Series C funding round of $500 million, earmarked explicitly for Kimi K3 development and expanded compute capacity, remains the dominant catalyst shaping trader sentiment around release timing. The company has maintained rapid iteration with the April 2026 launch of Kimi K2.6, an open-weight MoE model featuring agent-swarm coordination and extended context handling, which builds directly on prior K2 variants and positions the next flagship as a scaled successor. Credible reporting points to a targeted third-quarter 2026 debut for the 2.5-trillion-parameter model, though timelines in frontier AI development frequently shift due to training stability and hardware constraints. Traders are watching for official announcements on benchmarks or pre-release previews that could confirm or delay the window amid intensifying competition from both domestic Chinese labs and Western counterparts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$41,692結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI’s January 2026 Series C funding round of $500 million, earmarked explicitly for Kimi K3 development and expanded compute capacity, remains the dominant catalyst shaping trader sentiment around release timing. The company has maintained rapid iteration with the April 2026 launch of Kimi K2.6, an open-weight MoE model featuring agent-swarm coordination and extended context handling, which builds directly on prior K2 variants and positions the next flagship as a scaled successor. Credible reporting points to a targeted third-quarter 2026 debut for the 2.5-trillion-parameter model, though timelines in frontier AI development frequently shift due to training stability and hardware constraints. Traders are watching for official announcements on benchmarks or pre-release previews that could confirm or delay the window amid intensifying competition from both domestic Chinese labs and Western counterparts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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