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科技·Apple

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

Market icon
科技·Apple

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

Mar 31

Mar 31

Claude by Anthropic 84%

NCAA March Madness Live 44%

MLB 41%

ChatGPT 40%

Polymarket
NEW

Claude by Anthropic 84%

NCAA March Madness Live 44%

MLB 41%

ChatGPT 40%

Polymarket
NEW
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Claude by Anthropic

$2 交易量

84%

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NCAA March Madness Live

$0 交易量

44%

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MLB

$0 交易量

41%

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ChatGPT

$0 交易量

40%

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MyTSA

$0 交易量

40%

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Google

$0 交易量

38%

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Google Gemini

$6 交易量

36%

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Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire

$6 交易量

33%

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Threads

$0 交易量

33%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Claude by Anthropic at 80.5% implied probability for the #2 free spot in the US Apple App Store on March 31, reflecting its current #2 position behind ChatGPT amid sustained momentum from a late-February surge. That climb to #1—driven by user backlash against OpenAI's Pentagon ties and Claude's superior uptime during high demand—has solidified its competitive edge in the AI assistant category, outpacing Google Gemini (38%) and ChatGPT (39.5%). Seasonal challengers like MLB (40.5%), buoyed by opening day on March 27, and NCAA March Madness Live (44%) loom as potential climbers during peak basketball viewership, but Claude's viral growth and developer ecosystem stickiness underpin the high conviction. MyTSA (12.5%) trails amid spring break travel hype, while Temu and Threads lag on engagement. Watch MLB metrics and Final Four broadcasts as swing factors before resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Claude by Anthropic at 80.5% implied probability for the #2 free spot in the US Apple App Store on March 31, reflecting its current #2 position behind ChatGPT amid sustained momentum from a late-February surge. That climb to #1—driven by user backlash against OpenAI's Pentagon ties and Claude's superior uptime during high demand—has solidified its competitive edge in the AI assistant category, outpacing Google Gemini (38%) and ChatGPT (39.5%). Seasonal challengers like MLB (40.5%), buoyed by opening day on March 27, and NCAA March Madness Live (44%) loom as potential climbers during peak basketball viewership, but Claude's viral growth and developer ecosystem stickiness underpin the high conviction. MyTSA (12.5%) trails amid spring break travel hype, while Temu and Threads lag on engagement. Watch MLB metrics and Final Four broadcasts as swing factors before resolution.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Claude by Anthropic at 80.5% implied probability for the #2 free spot in the US Apple App Store on March 31, reflecting its current #2 position behind ChatGPT amid sustained momentum from a late-February surge. That climb to #1—driven by user backlash against OpenAI's Pentagon ties and Claude's superior uptime during high demand—has solidified its competitive edge in the AI assistant category, outpacing Google Gemini (38%) and ChatGPT (39.5%). Seasonal challengers like MLB (40.5%), buoyed by opening day on March 27, and NCAA March Madness Live (44%) loom as potential climbers during peak basketball viewership, but Claude's viral growth and developer ecosystem stickiness underpin the high conviction. MyTSA (12.5%) trails amid spring break travel hype, while Temu and Threads lag on engagement. Watch MLB metrics and Final Four broadcasts as swing factors before resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Claude by Anthropic at 80.5% implied probability for the #2 free spot in the US Apple App Store on March 31, reflecting its current #2 position behind ChatGPT amid sustained momentum from a late-February surge. That climb to #1—driven by user backlash against OpenAI's Pentagon ties and Claude's superior uptime during high demand—has solidified its competitive edge in the AI assistant category, outpacing Google Gemini (38%) and ChatGPT (39.5%). Seasonal challengers like MLB (40.5%), buoyed by opening day on March 27, and NCAA March Madness Live (44%) loom as potential climbers during peak basketball viewership, but Claude's viral growth and developer ecosystem stickiness underpin the high conviction. MyTSA (12.5%) trails amid spring break travel hype, while Temu and Threads lag on engagement. Watch MLB metrics and Final Four broadcasts as swing factors before resolution.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Claude by Anthropic" at 84%, followed by "NCAA March Madness Live" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 84¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?" is "Claude by Anthropic" at 84%, meaning the market assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "NCAA March Madness Live" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.