Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro holds the third spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with a robust Elo score, trailing only Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7—released April 16 and propelled to the top via superior reasoning benchmarks—and OpenAI's GPT-5.5 from its April 23 rollout, cementing 100% trader consensus for Google as the third-best AI model company by April's end. Late-month challengers like DeepSeek's V4 preview (April 24, open weights) and Alibaba's Qwen 3.6-Max (April 20) generated hype with competitive pricing and agentic capabilities but garnered insufficient blind-vote battles to displace Gemini amid the crowded April release wave. With resolution imminent, only an unprecedented voting surge or stealth model drop could realistically upend this positioning, though stabilized rankings reflect the wisdom of crowds backed by real capital.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Google 100.0%
Anthropic <1%
Mistral <1%
百度 <1%
$1,071,092 交易量
$1,071,092 交易量

Anthropic
否

Mistral
否

是

百度
否

DeepSeek
否

OpenAI
否

阿里巴巴
否

字節跳動
否

Moonshot
否

亞馬遜
否

Z.ai
否

Meta
否

微軟
否

xAI
否

美團
否
Google 100.0%
Anthropic <1%
Mistral <1%
百度 <1%
$1,071,092 交易量
$1,071,092 交易量

Anthropic
否

Mistral
否

是

百度
否

DeepSeek
否

OpenAI
否

阿里巴巴
否

字節跳動
否

Moonshot
否

亞馬遜
否

Z.ai
否

Meta
否

微軟
否

xAI
否

美團
否
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
市場開放時間: Mar 20, 2026, 4:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro holds the third spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with a robust Elo score, trailing only Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7—released April 16 and propelled to the top via superior reasoning benchmarks—and OpenAI's GPT-5.5 from its April 23 rollout, cementing 100% trader consensus for Google as the third-best AI model company by April's end. Late-month challengers like DeepSeek's V4 preview (April 24, open weights) and Alibaba's Qwen 3.6-Max (April 20) generated hype with competitive pricing and agentic capabilities but garnered insufficient blind-vote battles to displace Gemini amid the crowded April release wave. With resolution imminent, only an unprecedented voting surge or stealth model drop could realistically upend this positioning, though stabilized rankings reflect the wisdom of crowds backed by real capital.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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