OpenAI's confidential June 2026 SEC filing, following its record $852 billion March private valuation after a $122 billion round, underpins trader optimism for a 2026–2027 listing at elevated levels, with revenue at a $2 billion monthly run rate and enterprise adoption accelerating. Persistent unprofitability, heavy compute costs, and competition from Anthropic and Google introduce valuation dispersion, while potential delays to 2027 and regulatory scrutiny cap downside odds. Market-implied probabilities across $750 billion–$1.5 trillion+ ranges capture uncertainty around post-IPO multiples, governance changes, and sustained hypergrowth relative to historical tech precedents. Key near-term catalysts include any S-1 details and earnings trajectory.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於1.5兆以上 34.8%
1 兆–1.25 兆 21.3%
1.25兆–1.5兆 15%
7,500億–1兆 14%
$77,754 交易量
$77,754 交易量
2027-12-31
低於5000億
2%
5,000–7,500 億
4%
7,500億–1兆
14%
1 兆–1.25 兆
21%
1.25兆–1.5兆
15%
1.5兆以上
35%
2027年12月31日前不進行首次公開募股
11%
1.5兆以上 34.8%
1 兆–1.25 兆 21.3%
1.25兆–1.5兆 15%
7,500億–1兆 14%
$77,754 交易量
$77,754 交易量
2027-12-31
低於5000億
$4,671 交易量
2%
5,000–7,500 億
$7,812 交易量
4%
7,500億–1兆
$8,516 交易量
14%
1 兆–1.25 兆
$12,831 交易量
21%
1.25兆–1.5兆
$5,907 交易量
15%
1.5兆以上
$19,351 交易量
35%
2027年12月31日前不進行首次公開募股
$18,666 交易量
11%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI's confidential June 2026 SEC filing, following its record $852 billion March private valuation after a $122 billion round, underpins trader optimism for a 2026–2027 listing at elevated levels, with revenue at a $2 billion monthly run rate and enterprise adoption accelerating. Persistent unprofitability, heavy compute costs, and competition from Anthropic and Google introduce valuation dispersion, while potential delays to 2027 and regulatory scrutiny cap downside odds. Market-implied probabilities across $750 billion–$1.5 trillion+ ranges capture uncertainty around post-IPO multiples, governance changes, and sustained hypergrowth relative to historical tech precedents. Key near-term catalysts include any S-1 details and earnings trajectory.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間： Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
交易量
$77,754結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI's confidential June 2026 SEC filing, following its record $852 billion March private valuation after a $122 billion round, underpins trader optimism for a 2026–2027 listing at elevated levels, with revenue at a $2 billion monthly run rate and enterprise adoption accelerating. Persistent unprofitability, heavy compute costs, and competition from Anthropic and Google introduce valuation dispersion, while potential delays to 2027 and regulatory scrutiny cap downside odds. Market-implied probabilities across $750 billion–$1.5 trillion+ ranges capture uncertainty around post-IPO multiples, governance changes, and sustained hypergrowth relative to historical tech precedents. Key near-term catalysts include any S-1 details and earnings trajectory.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$77,754結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI's confidential June 2026 SEC filing, following its record $852 billion March private valuation after a $122 billion round, underpins trader optimism for a 2026–2027 listing at elevated levels, with revenue at a $2 billion monthly run rate and enterprise adoption accelerating. Persistent unprofitability, heavy compute costs, and competition from Anthropic and Google introduce valuation dispersion, while potential delays to 2027 and regulatory scrutiny cap downside odds. Market-implied probabilities across $750 billion–$1.5 trillion+ ranges capture uncertainty around post-IPO multiples, governance changes, and sustained hypergrowth relative to historical tech precedents. Key near-term catalysts include any S-1 details and earnings trajectory.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions