Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 82% implied probability for no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by stalled progress since the company's confidential S-1 filing in early January amid banker pitches for a Q1 debut with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan. Three months later, absence of a public filing, roadshow, or pricing updates reflects typical SEC review delays and cautious tech IPO timing in a volatile market, tempering earlier hype. Robust fundamentals—including $800 million annual recurring revenue, 20%+ year-over-year growth, and 250 million+ monthly active users—bolster private valuations near prior $15 billion peaks, but cap bucket odds remain low (<12% combined) pending listing confirmation. Key catalysts: potential S-1 emergence or H2 timeline signals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於到2026年6月30日不公開募股（IPO） 83%
低於150億 10.8%
300 億美元以上 2.4%
150–200億 1.8%
$814,568 交易量
$814,568 交易量
2026-06-30
低於150億
11%
150–200億
2%
200–250 億
1%
250–300 億
1%
300 億美元以上
2%
到2026年6月30日不公開募股（IPO）
83%
到2026年6月30日不公開募股（IPO） 83%
低於150億 10.8%
300 億美元以上 2.4%
150–200億 1.8%
$814,568 交易量
$814,568 交易量
2026-06-30
低於150億
$292,703 交易量
11%
150–200億
$103,673 交易量
2%
200–250 億
$67,717 交易量
1%
250–300 億
$82,734 交易量
1%
300 億美元以上
$88,974 交易量
2%
到2026年6月30日不公開募股（IPO）
$178,768 交易量
83%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 82% implied probability for no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by stalled progress since the company's confidential S-1 filing in early January amid banker pitches for a Q1 debut with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan. Three months later, absence of a public filing, roadshow, or pricing updates reflects typical SEC review delays and cautious tech IPO timing in a volatile market, tempering earlier hype. Robust fundamentals—including $800 million annual recurring revenue, 20%+ year-over-year growth, and 250 million+ monthly active users—bolster private valuations near prior $15 billion peaks, but cap bucket odds remain low (<12% combined) pending listing confirmation. Key catalysts: potential S-1 emergence or H2 timeline signals.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間： Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
交易量
$814,568結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 82% implied probability for no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by stalled progress since the company's confidential S-1 filing in early January amid banker pitches for a Q1 debut with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan. Three months later, absence of a public filing, roadshow, or pricing updates reflects typical SEC review delays and cautious tech IPO timing in a volatile market, tempering earlier hype. Robust fundamentals—including $800 million annual recurring revenue, 20%+ year-over-year growth, and 250 million+ monthly active users—bolster private valuations near prior $15 billion peaks, but cap bucket odds remain low (<12% combined) pending listing confirmation. Key catalysts: potential S-1 emergence or H2 timeline signals.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$814,568結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 82% implied probability for no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by stalled progress since the company's confidential S-1 filing in early January amid banker pitches for a Q1 debut with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan. Three months later, absence of a public filing, roadshow, or pricing updates reflects typical SEC review delays and cautious tech IPO timing in a volatile market, tempering earlier hype. Robust fundamentals—including $800 million annual recurring revenue, 20%+ year-over-year growth, and 250 million+ monthly active users—bolster private valuations near prior $15 billion peaks, but cap bucket odds remain low (<12% combined) pending listing confirmation. Key catalysts: potential S-1 emergence or H2 timeline signals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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