Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly implies Databricks will skip an IPO by June 30, 2026 (91.6% odds), reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement despite the data lakehouse leader's robust private metrics: $5.4 billion annual recurring revenue growing 65% year-over-year, free cash flow positive, and a fresh $5 billion equity raise plus $2 billion debt at $134 billion valuation closed in February. This capital influx eliminates near-term public market pressure, echoing historical delays since planned 2021 listings amid volatile tech valuations. Realistic challenges include a surprise confidential S-1 soon or surging AI demand boosting urgency, though typical 3-6 month IPO timelines make a Q2 debut improbable without immediate catalysts like Q1 metrics or banker roadshows.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於2026年6月30日之前不上市 91.5%
2500 億以上 2.5%
175–200 億 1.8%
1,250–1,500 億 1.6%
$365,881 交易量
$365,881 交易量
低於 1,000 億
1%
1,000–1,250 億美元
1%
1,250–1,500 億
2%
1,500–1,750 億
2%
175–200 億
2%
2,000–2,500 億
1%
2500 億以上
3%
2026年6月30日之前不上市
92%
2026年6月30日之前不上市 91.5%
2500 億以上 2.5%
175–200 億 1.8%
1,250–1,500 億 1.6%
$365,881 交易量
$365,881 交易量
低於 1,000 億
1%
1,000–1,250 億美元
1%
1,250–1,500 億
2%
1,500–1,750 億
2%
175–200 億
2%
2,000–2,500 億
1%
2500 億以上
3%
2026年6月30日之前不上市
92%
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly implies Databricks will skip an IPO by June 30, 2026 (91.6% odds), reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement despite the data lakehouse leader's robust private metrics: $5.4 billion annual recurring revenue growing 65% year-over-year, free cash flow positive, and a fresh $5 billion equity raise plus $2 billion debt at $134 billion valuation closed in February. This capital influx eliminates near-term public market pressure, echoing historical delays since planned 2021 listings amid volatile tech valuations. Realistic challenges include a surprise confidential S-1 soon or surging AI demand boosting urgency, though typical 3-6 month IPO timelines make a Q2 debut improbable without immediate catalysts like Q1 metrics or banker roadshows.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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