SpaceX's confidential SEC filing on April 1, 2026, for an initial public offering has driven trader consensus toward a June listing at 68% implied probability, positioning it as the clear frontrunner amid reports of a $1.75 trillion valuation and up to $75 billion raise under code-named Project Apex. Lining up 21 banks and February's merger with xAI, bolstering AI-space synergies, fueled this sentiment shift, eclipsing prior rumors of mid-June timing. July (9.4%) and May (8.7%) reflect potential timeline slippage or acceleration, while "No IPO before 2027" at 6.6% signals low delay risk. Traders await prospectus release and regulatory clearance as pivotal catalysts shaping final pricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於六月 68%
7 月 9.4%
五月 8.6%
2027 年前不會有 IPO 6.6%
$162,306 交易量
$162,306 交易量
2026-12-31
4 月
1%
五月
9%
六月
68%
7 月
9%
8 月
5%
9 月
4%
10 月
2%
11 月
1%
12 月
1%
2027 年前不會有 IPO
7%
六月 68%
7 月 9.4%
五月 8.6%
2027 年前不會有 IPO 6.6%
$162,306 交易量
$162,306 交易量
2026-12-31
4 月
$20,809 交易量
1%
五月
$10,352 交易量
9%
六月
$63,910 交易量
68%
7 月
$1,662 交易量
9%
8 月
$1,553 交易量
5%
9 月
$2,479 交易量
4%
10 月
$2,217 交易量
2%
11 月
$1,334 交易量
1%
12 月
$1,440 交易量
1%
2027 年前不會有 IPO
$3,469 交易量
7%
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.SpaceX's confidential SEC filing on April 1, 2026, for an initial public offering has driven trader consensus toward a June listing at 68% implied probability, positioning it as the clear frontrunner amid reports of a $1.75 trillion valuation and up to $75 billion raise under code-named Project Apex. Lining up 21 banks and February's merger with xAI, bolstering AI-space synergies, fueled this sentiment shift, eclipsing prior rumors of mid-June timing. July (9.4%) and May (8.7%) reflect potential timeline slippage or acceleration, while "No IPO before 2027" at 6.6% signals low delay risk. Traders await prospectus release and regulatory clearance as pivotal catalysts shaping final pricing.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
市場開放時間： Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
交易量
$162,306結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.SpaceX's confidential SEC filing on April 1, 2026, for an initial public offering has driven trader consensus toward a June listing at 68% implied probability, positioning it as the clear frontrunner amid reports of a $1.75 trillion valuation and up to $75 billion raise under code-named Project Apex. Lining up 21 banks and February's merger with xAI, bolstering AI-space synergies, fueled this sentiment shift, eclipsing prior rumors of mid-June timing. July (9.4%) and May (8.7%) reflect potential timeline slippage or acceleration, while "No IPO before 2027" at 6.6% signals low delay risk. Traders await prospectus release and regulatory clearance as pivotal catalysts shaping final pricing.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
交易量
$162,306結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's confidential SEC filing on April 1, 2026, for an initial public offering has driven trader consensus toward a June listing at 68% implied probability, positioning it as the clear frontrunner amid reports of a $1.75 trillion valuation and up to $75 billion raise under code-named Project Apex. Lining up 21 banks and February's merger with xAI, bolstering AI-space synergies, fueled this sentiment shift, eclipsing prior rumors of mid-June timing. July (9.4%) and May (8.7%) reflect potential timeline slippage or acceleration, while "No IPO before 2027" at 6.6% signals low delay risk. Traders await prospectus release and regulatory clearance as pivotal catalysts shaping final pricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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