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Polymarket 預測與賠率

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到6月30日, Polymarket的思想份額會有多高?

到6月30日, Polymarket的思想份額會有多高?

8%

85%

$267K 交易量

$15.1K Liq.

14

Ends 5 天內

基於預測的市場收入在2027年之前會受到什麼衝擊?

基於預測的市場收入在2027年之前會受到什麼衝擊?

40%

200萬美元

$33.6K 交易量

$2.4K Liq.

27

Ends 6 個月內

Elon Musk # tweets June 19 - June 26, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets June 19 - June 26, 2026?

40%

220-239

$3M 交易量

$1M today

$815K Liq.

Ends 1 天內

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年6月23日至6月30日?

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年6月23日至6月30日?

23%

220-239

$1M 交易量

$369K today

$821K Liq.

Ends 6 天內

Elon Musk # tweets June 26 - July 3, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets June 26 - July 3, 2026?

19%

200-219

$475K 交易量

$201K today

$1M Liq.

Ends 9 天內

Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?

Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?

13%

↓1.5 兆美元

$3M 交易量

$170K today

$325K Liq.

56

Ends 7 天內

Elon Musk # tweets June 25 - June 27, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets June 25 - June 27, 2026?

52%

40-64

$100.0K 交易量

$138K Liq.

Ends 3 天內

Anthropic的估值會在12月31日前達到__嗎?

Anthropic的估值會在12月31日前達到__嗎?

98%

↑1.1 兆美元

$2M 交易量

$263K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Elon Musk在2026年6月# tweets ?

Elon Musk在2026年6月# tweets ?

29%

920-959

$178K 交易量

$175K Liq.

Ends 6 天內

奧地利大獎賽:車手冠軍

奧地利大獎賽:車手冠軍

35%

Kimi Antonelli

$68.7K 交易量

$137K Liq.

Ends 11 天內

Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?

Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?

10%

September 30

$147K 交易量

$63.5K today

$16.1K Liq.

2

Ends 3 個月內

Anthropic的估值會在6月30日前達到__嗎?

Anthropic的估值會在6月30日前達到__嗎?

52%

↑ 1.1 兆美元

$467K 交易量

$99.7K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

俄羅斯會在6月30日之前佔領斯洛維亞斯克嗎?

俄羅斯會在6月30日之前佔領斯洛維亞斯克嗎?

<1%

$293K 交易量

$53.5K Liq.

Ends 5 天內

OpenAI的估值會在6月30日前達到__嗎?

OpenAI的估值會在6月30日前達到__嗎?

53%

↑8,750億美元

$260K 交易量

$48.8K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

Elon Musk在2026年7月# tweets ?

Elon Musk在2026年7月# tweets ?

7%

880-919

$311K 交易量

$192K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

俄羅斯會在…前抓住萊曼嗎?

俄羅斯會在…前抓住萊曼嗎?

69%

12月31日

$3M 交易量

$42.7K Liq.

108

Ends 6 個月內

《Nothing Ever Happens: 2026》

《Nothing Ever Happens: 2026》

84%

$632K 交易量

$44.7K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

OpenAI的估值是否會在12月31日前達到__ ?

OpenAI的估值是否會在12月31日前達到__ ?

94%

↑9,000 億美元

$724K 交易量

$71.3K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

俄羅斯x烏克蘭和平議會

俄羅斯x烏克蘭和平議會

16%

$533K 交易量

$20.0K Liq.

22

Ends 6 個月內

奧地利大獎賽:車手桿位

奧地利大獎賽:車手桿位

31%

Kimi Antonelli

$11.0K 交易量

$40.9K Liq.

Ends 10 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Polymarket.

Polymarket currently hosts 138 active markets for Polymarket that lets you track or trade on predictions like “到6月30日, Polymarket的思想份額會有多高?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $16.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “俄羅斯x烏克蘭和平議會”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Elon Musk # tweets June 19 - June 26, 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Elon Musk # tweets June 19 - June 26, 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 40% chance to 220-239. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Polymarket predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.