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基於 預測與賠率

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What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?

What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?

11%

$1M

$33.5K 交易量

$2.1K Liq.

27

Ends 7 個月內

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

67%

4+

$7.3K 交易量

$9.3K Liq.

Ends 23 天內

Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above __?

Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above __?

94%

$7.0B

$15.1K 交易量

$4.8K Liq.

Ends 17 天內

Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above __?

Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above __?

96%

$25B

$14.3K 交易量

$9.6K Liq.

1

Ends 17 天內

Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs VENOM ESPOR (BO3) - TESFED League Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs VENOM ESPOR (BO3) - TESFED League Playoffs

60%

Bushido Wildcats

$579 交易量

$275 Liq.

Ends 大約 14 小時內

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

59%

July 31

$29M 交易量

$116K today

$355K Liq.

570

Ends 23 天內

Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D

Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D

68%

Virtus.pro

$30.1K 交易量

$68.7K Liq.

Ends 大約 7 小時內

Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

82%

$2.3B

$1.6K 交易量

$9.7K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Ding Cuts (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group A

Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Ding Cuts (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group A

56%

Abyssal

$8.7K 交易量

$3.6K Liq.

Ends 1 天內

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

79%

Tarcísio de Freitas

$66.4K 交易量

$95.5K Liq.

4

Ends 4 個月內

Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

51%

Atreides

$5.2K 交易量

$363K Liq.

Ends 大約 7 小時內

Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs MGLBROS (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group B

Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs MGLBROS (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group B

55%

SemperFi Esports

$1.5K 交易量

$3.2K Liq.

Ends 3 天內

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by June 30?

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by June 30?

38%

↑$850B

$181K 交易量

$35.1K Liq.

Ends 24 天內

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

66%

BetBoom Team

$135K 交易量

$135K today

$202K Liq.

Ends 大約 10 小時內

Overwatch: ZETA DIVISION vs Cheeseburger (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Group Stage

Overwatch: ZETA DIVISION vs Cheeseburger (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Group Stage

100%

ZETA DIVISION

$1.0K 交易量

$5.8K Liq.

Ends 大約 4 小時內

Overwatch: Crazy Raccoon vs Poker Face (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Group Stage

Overwatch: Crazy Raccoon vs Poker Face (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Group Stage

98%

Crazy Raccoon

$1.2K 交易量

$1.4K Liq.

Ends 大約 5 小時內

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

63%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$4M 交易量

$440K Liq.

41

Ends 4 個月內

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

90%

$1.2B

$1.6K 交易量

$10.3K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of June?

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of June?

91%

Anthropic

$18.5K 交易量

$35.2K Liq.

Ends 23 天內

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

45%

Democrats Sweep

$8M 交易量

$832K Liq.

211

Ends 5 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 基於.

Polymarket currently hosts 1911 active markets for 基於 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $41.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 59% chance to July 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 基於 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.