Mercedes' W17 dominance in the early 2026 F1 season has propelled teammates George Russell and Kimi Antonelli to the top of trader consensus for the World Drivers' Championship, with Russell's 42.5% implied probability edging Antonelli's 31.6% amid their intra-team battle. Antonelli seized the standings lead with 72 points after surging to victory in last weekend's Japanese Grand Prix—his second win in three races—capitalizing on a timely safety car while Russell settled for fourth amid undercut concerns and reliability woes. Russell's Australian GP triumph and experience keep him favored, but Antonelli's momentum and Mercedes' 45-point constructors' lead over Ferrari have narrowed the gap, sidelining rivals like Leclerc (6.8%) whose cars lag in race pace.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於喬治·羅素 43%
Kimi Antonelli 31.6%
查爾斯·勒克萊爾 6.8%
奧斯卡·皮亞斯特里 5.1%
$81,931,378 交易量
$81,931,378 交易量
喬治·羅素
43%
Kimi Antonelli
32%
查爾斯·勒克萊爾
7%
奧斯卡·皮亞斯特里
5%
劉易斯·漢密爾頓
4%
蘭多·諾里斯
3%
馬克斯·維斯塔潘
2%
伊薩克·哈贾爾
1%
費爾南多·阿隆索
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
尼科·霍肯伯格
<1%
卡洛斯·塞恩斯小
<1%
塞爾吉奧·佩雷茲
<1%
蘭斯·斯特羅爾
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
亞歷山大·阿爾本
<1%
皮埃爾·蓋斯利
<1%
利亞姆·勞森
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
奧利弗·貝爾曼
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
瓦爾特利·鮑達斯
<1%
喬治·羅素 43%
Kimi Antonelli 31.6%
查爾斯·勒克萊爾 6.8%
奧斯卡·皮亞斯特里 5.1%
$81,931,378 交易量
$81,931,378 交易量
喬治·羅素
43%
Kimi Antonelli
32%
查爾斯·勒克萊爾
7%
奧斯卡·皮亞斯特里
5%
劉易斯·漢密爾頓
4%
蘭多·諾里斯
3%
馬克斯·維斯塔潘
2%
伊薩克·哈贾爾
1%
費爾南多·阿隆索
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
尼科·霍肯伯格
<1%
卡洛斯·塞恩斯小
<1%
塞爾吉奧·佩雷茲
<1%
蘭斯·斯特羅爾
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
亞歷山大·阿爾本
<1%
皮埃爾·蓋斯利
<1%
利亞姆·勞森
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
奧利弗·貝爾曼
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
瓦爾特利·鮑達斯
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
市場開放時間: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes' W17 dominance in the early 2026 F1 season has propelled teammates George Russell and Kimi Antonelli to the top of trader consensus for the World Drivers' Championship, with Russell's 42.5% implied probability edging Antonelli's 31.6% amid their intra-team battle. Antonelli seized the standings lead with 72 points after surging to victory in last weekend's Japanese Grand Prix—his second win in three races—capitalizing on a timely safety car while Russell settled for fourth amid undercut concerns and reliability woes. Russell's Australian GP triumph and experience keep him favored, but Antonelli's momentum and Mercedes' 45-point constructors' lead over Ferrari have narrowed the gap, sidelining rivals like Leclerc (6.8%) whose cars lag in race pace.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions