Spain leads Polymarket's 2026 FIFA World Cup winner odds at 15.9% implied probability, driven by their seamless transition from Euro 2024 glory—featuring breakout stars Lamine Yamal and Pedri—and a dominant UEFA qualifying campaign with minimal concessions. France follows at 12.9% after reclaiming the FIFA #1 ranking via strong March international results, bolstering their deep squad around Mbappé and recent Nations League success. England (12%) maintains contention through consistent knockout pedigree and Southgate-era resilience, while Argentina (9.3%) and Brazil (8.6%) leverage Copa América experience amid Messi’s twilight and Seleção rebuilding. This tight clustering underscores the parity among top European and CONMEBOL contenders in the expanded 48-team format, with all advancing comfortably from qualifiers finalized last week.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於西班牙 15.9%
法國 13.0%
英格蘭 12.0%
阿根廷 9.3%
$465,316,836 交易量
$465,316,836 交易量

西班牙
16%

法國
13%

英格蘭
12%

阿根廷
9%

巴西
9%

葡萄牙
7%

德國
5%

荷蘭
3%

挪威
3%

比利時
2%

日本
2%

哥倫比亞
2%

美國
2%

摩洛哥
2%

烏拉圭
1%

克羅埃西亞
1%

瑞士
1%

墨西哥
1%

厄瓜多
1%

土耳其
1%

塞內加爾
1%

瑞典
1%

加拿大
1%

奧地利
1%

南韓
<1%

波斯尼亞與赫塞哥維納
<1%

巴拉圭
<1%

象牙海岸
<1%

埃及
<1%

加納
<1%

阿爾及利亞
<1%

蘇格蘭
<1%

突尼西亞
<1%

捷克
<1%

澳洲
<1%

沙烏地阿拉伯
<1%

海地
<1%

約旦
<1%

伊朗
<1%

烏茲別克
<1%

巴拿馬
<1%

南非
<1%

剛果民主共和國
<1%

佛得角
<1%

卡達
<1%

紐西蘭
<1%

庫拉索
<1%

伊拉克
<1%
西班牙 15.9%
法國 13.0%
英格蘭 12.0%
阿根廷 9.3%
$465,316,836 交易量
$465,316,836 交易量

西班牙
16%

法國
13%

英格蘭
12%

阿根廷
9%

巴西
9%

葡萄牙
7%

德國
5%

荷蘭
3%

挪威
3%

比利時
2%

日本
2%

哥倫比亞
2%

美國
2%

摩洛哥
2%

烏拉圭
1%

克羅埃西亞
1%

瑞士
1%

墨西哥
1%

厄瓜多
1%

土耳其
1%

塞內加爾
1%

瑞典
1%

加拿大
1%

奧地利
1%

南韓
<1%

波斯尼亞與赫塞哥維納
<1%

巴拉圭
<1%

象牙海岸
<1%

埃及
<1%

加納
<1%

阿爾及利亞
<1%

蘇格蘭
<1%

突尼西亞
<1%

捷克
<1%

澳洲
<1%

沙烏地阿拉伯
<1%

海地
<1%

約旦
<1%

伊朗
<1%

烏茲別克
<1%

巴拿馬
<1%

南非
<1%

剛果民主共和國
<1%

佛得角
<1%

卡達
<1%

紐西蘭
<1%

庫拉索
<1%

伊拉克
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain leads Polymarket's 2026 FIFA World Cup winner odds at 15.9% implied probability, driven by their seamless transition from Euro 2024 glory—featuring breakout stars Lamine Yamal and Pedri—and a dominant UEFA qualifying campaign with minimal concessions. France follows at 12.9% after reclaiming the FIFA #1 ranking via strong March international results, bolstering their deep squad around Mbappé and recent Nations League success. England (12%) maintains contention through consistent knockout pedigree and Southgate-era resilience, while Argentina (9.3%) and Brazil (8.6%) leverage Copa América experience amid Messi’s twilight and Seleção rebuilding. This tight clustering underscores the parity among top European and CONMEBOL contenders in the expanded 48-team format, with all advancing comfortably from qualifiers finalized last week.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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