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2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍

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2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍

西班牙 15.9%

法國 13.0%

英格蘭 12.0%

阿根廷 9.3%

Polymarket

$465,316,836 交易量

西班牙 15.9%

法國 13.0%

英格蘭 12.0%

阿根廷 9.3%

Polymarket

$465,316,836 交易量

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西班牙

$6,853,008 交易量

16%

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法國

$5,649,407 交易量

13%

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英格蘭

$7,568,241 交易量

12%

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阿根廷

$7,696,008 交易量

9%

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巴西

$7,232,400 交易量

9%

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葡萄牙

$8,749,486 交易量

7%

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德國

$7,021,909 交易量

5%

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荷蘭

$9,475,965 交易量

3%

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挪威

$7,608,115 交易量

3%

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比利時

$7,785,622 交易量

2%

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日本

$9,531,089 交易量

2%

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哥倫比亞

$7,492,076 交易量

2%

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美國

$4,752,946 交易量

2%

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摩洛哥

$9,307,091 交易量

2%

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烏拉圭

$7,631,679 交易量

1%

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克羅埃西亞

$8,001,539 交易量

1%

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瑞士

$8,898,795 交易量

1%

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墨西哥

$6,861,608 交易量

1%

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厄瓜多

$9,220,483 交易量

1%

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土耳其

$839,099 交易量

1%

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塞內加爾

$8,393,424 交易量

1%

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瑞典

$626,757 交易量

1%

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加拿大

$11,960,009 交易量

1%

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奧地利

$10,752,890 交易量

1%

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南韓

$13,809,553 交易量

<1%

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波斯尼亞與赫塞哥維納

$744,073 交易量

<1%

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巴拉圭

$11,991,889 交易量

<1%

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象牙海岸

$9,438,702 交易量

<1%

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埃及

$11,048,781 交易量

<1%

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加納

$10,570,221 交易量

<1%

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阿爾及利亞

$11,303,446 交易量

<1%

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蘇格蘭

$11,363,624 交易量

<1%

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突尼西亞

$11,541,464 交易量

<1%

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捷克

$159,550 交易量

<1%

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澳洲

$8,416,588 交易量

<1%

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沙烏地阿拉伯

$17,868,175 交易量

<1%

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海地

$12,766,568 交易量

<1%

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約旦

$16,811,048 交易量

<1%

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伊朗

$11,881,543 交易量

<1%

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烏茲別克

$28,136,721 交易量

<1%

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巴拿馬

$1,613,236 交易量

<1%

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南非

$19,813,668 交易量

<1%

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剛果民主共和國

$277,433 交易量

<1%

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佛得角

$10,803,492 交易量

<1%

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卡達

$13,734,887 交易量

<1%

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紐西蘭

$17,496,845 交易量

<1%

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庫拉索

$24,457,858 交易量

<1%

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伊拉克

$436,231 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain leads Polymarket's 2026 FIFA World Cup winner odds at 15.9% implied probability, driven by their seamless transition from Euro 2024 glory—featuring breakout stars Lamine Yamal and Pedri—and a dominant UEFA qualifying campaign with minimal concessions. France follows at 12.9% after reclaiming the FIFA #1 ranking via strong March international results, bolstering their deep squad around Mbappé and recent Nations League success. England (12%) maintains contention through consistent knockout pedigree and Southgate-era resilience, while Argentina (9.3%) and Brazil (8.6%) leverage Copa América experience amid Messi’s twilight and Seleção rebuilding. This tight clustering underscores the parity among top European and CONMEBOL contenders in the expanded 48-team format, with all advancing comfortably from qualifiers finalized last week.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$465,316,836
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain leads Polymarket's 2026 FIFA World Cup winner odds at 15.9% implied probability, driven by their seamless transition from Euro 2024 glory—featuring breakout stars Lamine Yamal and Pedri—and a dominant UEFA qualifying campaign with minimal concessions. France follows at 12.9% after reclaiming the FIFA #1 ranking via strong March international results, bolstering their deep squad around Mbappé and recent Nations League success. England (12%) maintains contention through consistent knockout pedigree and Southgate-era resilience, while Argentina (9.3%) and Brazil (8.6%) leverage Copa América experience amid Messi’s twilight and Seleção rebuilding. This tight clustering underscores the parity among top European and CONMEBOL contenders in the expanded 48-team format, with all advancing comfortably from qualifiers finalized last week.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$465,316,836
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 50+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "西班牙" at 16%, followed by "法國" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " has generated $465.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 ," browse the 50+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " is "西班牙" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "法國" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.