Kylian Mbappé's dominant 23-goal haul in 24 La Liga appearances, five clear of Vedat Muriqi's 18 for Mallorca, underpins trader consensus pricing him at 91.9% implied probability to claim the Pichichi Trophy, reflecting his league-leading xG of 20.8 and Real Madrid's attacking potency in the title race. Consistent output, including high ratings in recent outings like the 3-2 win over Atlético Madrid, has widened the gap on distant challengers such as Lamine Yamal (14 goals) and Robert Lewandowski, with roughly nine matchdays left. Scenarios to upend this include Mbappé suffering a major injury or suspension, coupled with a challenger's unprecedented scoring surge amid Real Madrid's potential Champions League rest rotations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於基利安·姆巴佩 91.9%
維達特·穆里奇 1.2%
拉明·亞馬爾 1.1%
羅伯特·萊萬多夫斯基 1.0%
$1,169,770 交易量
$1,169,770 交易量
基利安·姆巴佩
92%
維達特·穆里奇
1%
拉明·亞馬爾
1%
羅伯特·萊萬多夫斯基
1%
奧伊漢·桑塞特
1%
胡利安·阿爾瓦雷斯
<1%
費蘭·托雷斯
<1%
阿貝爾·魯伊斯
<1%
亞歷克斯·巴埃納
<1%
伊亞高·艾斯帕斯
<1%
拉菲尼亞
<1%
戈爾卡·古魯澤塔
<1%
達尼·奧爾莫
<1%
亞歷山大·索洛特
<1%
安特·布迪米爾
<1%
岡薩洛·加西亞
<1%
維尼修斯·儒尼奧爾
<1%
Ayoze Perez
<1%
Dodi Lukebakio
<1%
伊納基·威廉斯
<1%
裘德·貝林漢
<1%
Cyle Larin
<1%
馬庫斯·拉什福德
<1%
Broja Iglesias
<1%
米克爾·奧亞薩瓦爾
<1%
胡戈·杜羅
<1%
哈維·普阿多
<1%
丹尼爾·拉巴
<1%
克里斯蒂安·斯圖亞尼
<1%
安東尼·格里茲曼
<1%
羅伯托·費爾南德斯
<1%
基利安·姆巴佩 91.9%
維達特·穆里奇 1.2%
拉明·亞馬爾 1.1%
羅伯特·萊萬多夫斯基 1.0%
$1,169,770 交易量
$1,169,770 交易量
基利安·姆巴佩
92%
維達特·穆里奇
1%
拉明·亞馬爾
1%
羅伯特·萊萬多夫斯基
1%
奧伊漢·桑塞特
1%
胡利安·阿爾瓦雷斯
<1%
費蘭·托雷斯
<1%
阿貝爾·魯伊斯
<1%
亞歷克斯·巴埃納
<1%
伊亞高·艾斯帕斯
<1%
拉菲尼亞
<1%
戈爾卡·古魯澤塔
<1%
達尼·奧爾莫
<1%
亞歷山大·索洛特
<1%
安特·布迪米爾
<1%
岡薩洛·加西亞
<1%
維尼修斯·儒尼奧爾
<1%
Ayoze Perez
<1%
Dodi Lukebakio
<1%
伊納基·威廉斯
<1%
裘德·貝林漢
<1%
Cyle Larin
<1%
馬庫斯·拉什福德
<1%
Broja Iglesias
<1%
米克爾·奧亞薩瓦爾
<1%
胡戈·杜羅
<1%
哈維·普阿多
<1%
丹尼爾·拉巴
<1%
克里斯蒂安·斯圖亞尼
<1%
安東尼·格里茲曼
<1%
羅伯托·費爾南德斯
<1%
If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Goals scored in La Liga matches only will count. Goals in other competitions (e.g., Copa del Rey, Spanish Super Cup, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market.
If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025–26 La Liga season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official statistics from La Liga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Aug 18, 2025, 4:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Goals scored in La Liga matches only will count. Goals in other competitions (e.g., Copa del Rey, Spanish Super Cup, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market.
If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025–26 La Liga season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official statistics from La Liga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kylian Mbappé's dominant 23-goal haul in 24 La Liga appearances, five clear of Vedat Muriqi's 18 for Mallorca, underpins trader consensus pricing him at 91.9% implied probability to claim the Pichichi Trophy, reflecting his league-leading xG of 20.8 and Real Madrid's attacking potency in the title race. Consistent output, including high ratings in recent outings like the 3-2 win over Atlético Madrid, has widened the gap on distant challengers such as Lamine Yamal (14 goals) and Robert Lewandowski, with roughly nine matchdays left. Scenarios to upend this include Mbappé suffering a major injury or suspension, coupled with a challenger's unprecedented scoring surge amid Real Madrid's potential Champions League rest rotations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions