Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

17%

December 31

$23M 交易量

$280K today

$1M Liq.

826

Ends 9 個月內

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?
Science·Weather

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?

68%

2

$126K 交易量

$37.3K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
Science·Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

86%

8+

$2M 交易量

$77.1K Liq.

23

Ends 3 個月內

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
Science·Weather

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

45%

2

$2M 交易量

$158K Liq.

17

Ends 9 個月內

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

49%

2.0T+

$667K 交易量

$101K Liq.

8

Ends 超過 1 年內

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?
Science·Weather

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?

99%

80–85

$19.9K 交易量

$3.3K Liq.

Ends 大約 5 小時前

Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?
Science·Weather

Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?

98%

1800

$79.3K 交易量

$33.3K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
Science·Weather

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

64%

1.25–1.29ºC

$228K 交易量

$15.1K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
Science·Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

32%

14–16

$1M 交易量

$36.9K Liq.

Ends 9 個月內

Human moon landing in 2026?
Science·Culture

Human moon landing in 2026?

4%

$2M 交易量

$37.5K Liq.

28

Ends 9 個月內

How many Tornadoes in the US in March?
Science·Weather

How many Tornadoes in the US in March?

99%

150+

$185K 交易量

$19.8K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

62%

April 30

$1M 交易量

$19.1K Liq.

37

Ends 2 個月前

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Science·Weather

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

11%

$176K 交易量

$9.9K Liq.

6

Ends 9 個月內

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
Science·Weather

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

98%

↑2k

$7M 交易量

$56.8K Liq.

Ends 9 個月內

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
Science·Business

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

7%

$62.8K 交易量

$27.1K Liq.

3

Ends 3 個月內

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
Science·Weather

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

45%

1

$677K 交易量

$16.3K Liq.

9

Ends 12 個月內

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

90%

SpaceX

$2M 交易量

$271K Liq.

9

Ends 9 個月內

2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
Science·Weather

2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

36%

3rd hottest

$3.9K 交易量

$5.3K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

42%

$277K 交易量

$5.3K Liq.

Ends 9 個月內

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

5%

$707K 交易量

$45.0K Liq.

27

Ends 9 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 科學.

Polymarket currently hosts 174 active markets for 科學 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $44.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 17% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 科學 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.