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科學 預測與賠率

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美國會在…前證實外星人的存在嗎?

美國會在…前證實外星人的存在嗎?

14%

12月31日

$42M 交易量

$766K today

$2M Liq.

1,315

Ends 8 個月內

SpaceX星艦飛行測試12

SpaceX星艦飛行測試12

97%

June 30

$2M 交易量

$61.6K today

$33.3K Liq.

53

Ends 4 個月前

在美國東部時間5月21日晚上10點之前,由Figure的F.03機器人推送的包裹數量?

在美國東部時間5月21日晚上10點之前,由Figure的F.03機器人推送的包裹數量?

99%

200,000+

$202K 交易量

$42.7K Liq.

Ends 1 天內

2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

82%

2nd hottest

$178K 交易量

$25.4K Liq.

Ends 21 天內

2026年有多少大型火山爆發( VEI ≥ 4 ) ?

2026年有多少大型火山爆發( VEI ≥ 4 ) ?

53%

0

$1M 交易量

$31.4K Liq.

9

Ends 11 個月內

2026年新流行病?

2026年新流行病?

11%

$452K 交易量

$37.7K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

2026年會是歷史上最熱的年份之一嗎?

2026年會是歷史上最熱的年份之一嗎?

57%

2

$3M 交易量

$69.6K Liq.

20

Ends 8 個月內

May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

54%

1.10–1.14ºC

$85.5K 交易量

$21.4K Liq.

Ends 21 天內

SpaceX IPO收市市值(降低罷工)

SpaceX IPO收市市值(降低罷工)

75%

2兆美元以上

$1M 交易量

$78.9K Liq.

8

Ends 超過 1 年內

2026年人類登月?

2026年人類登月?

3%

$2M 交易量

$24.9K Liq.

33

Ends 8 個月內

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 18 - May 24?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 18 - May 24?

32%

>9

$16.2K 交易量

$22.0K Liq.

3

Ends 4 天內

2026年市值最大的IPO ?

2026年市值最大的IPO ?

92%

SpaceX

$2M 交易量

$124K Liq.

12

Ends 8 個月內

2026年美國麻疹病例?

2026年美國麻疹病例?

99%

↑2千

$8M 交易量

$30.9K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

又發生了7.0級或以上的地震... ?

又發生了7.0級或以上的地震... ?

27%

5月30日

$33.4K 交易量

$2.1K Liq.

1

Ends 11 天內

Precipitation in Hong Kong in May?

Precipitation in Hong Kong in May?

32%

<180mm

$7.7K 交易量

$9.5K Liq.

Ends 11 天內

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes May 18 - May 24?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes May 18 - May 24?

63%

0

$8.0K 交易量

$8.7K Liq.

Ends 4 天內

Precipitation in London in May?

Precipitation in London in May?

29%

15-20mm

$5.5K 交易量

$5.1K Liq.

Ends 11 天內

Measles cases in U.S. by May 31?

Measles cases in U.S. by May 31?

99%

1900

$72.7K 交易量

$23.7K Liq.

Ends 11 天內

2027年之前是否發生10.0級或以上地震?

2027年之前是否發生10.0級或以上地震?

5%

$605K 交易量

$34.9K Liq.

27

Ends 8 個月內

誰將贏得2026年菲爾茲獎章?

誰將贏得2026年菲爾茲獎章?

72%

洪旺

$526K 交易量

$6.6K Liq.

Ends 2 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 科學.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for 科學 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “美國會在…前證實外星人的存在嗎?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $62.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “2027年之前是否發生10.0級或以上地震?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “美國會在…前證實外星人的存在嗎?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “美國會在…前證實外星人的存在嗎?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 14% chance to 12月31日. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 科學 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.