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科學 預測與賠率

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美國會在…前證實外星人的存在嗎?

美國會在…前證實外星人的存在嗎?

20%

12月31日

$33M 交易量

$226K today

$705K Liq.

1,044

Ends 8 個月內

2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

51%

1st hottest

$59.6K 交易量

$63.5K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

SpaceX星艦飛行測試12

SpaceX星艦飛行測試12

91%

June 30

$2M 交易量

$35.4K Liq.

43

Ends 3 個月前

2026年新流行病?

2026年新流行病?

13%

$289K 交易量

$24.8K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 4 - May 10?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 4 - May 10?

83%

>9

$106K 交易量

$36.6K Liq.

21

Ends 2 天內

2026年4月溫度升高( ºC )

2026年4月溫度升高( ºC )

96%

1.15–1.19ºC

$332K 交易量

$32.8K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

2026年會是歷史上最熱的年份之一嗎?

2026年會是歷史上最熱的年份之一嗎?

56%

2

$3M 交易量

$103K Liq.

18

Ends 8 個月內

2026年市值最大的IPO ?

2026年市值最大的IPO ?

86%

SpaceX

$2M 交易量

$170K Liq.

11

Ends 8 個月內

SpaceX IPO收市市值(降低罷工)

SpaceX IPO收市市值(降低罷工)

58%

2兆美元以上

$893K 交易量

$71.2K Liq.

8

Ends 超過 1 年內

Measles cases in U.S. by May 31?

Measles cases in U.S. by May 31?

89%

1900

$26.0K 交易量

$12.1K Liq.

Ends 23 天內

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 17, 2026?

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 17, 2026?

99%

85–90

$12.2K 交易量

$6.2K Liq.

Ends 大約 4 小時內

2026年4月1日、2日、3日有史以來最火?

2026年4月1日、2日、3日有史以來最火?

97%

第三熱

$93.6K 交易量

$10.1K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

2026年美國麻疹病例?

2026年美國麻疹病例?

99%

↑2千

$8M 交易量

$22.8K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

4月份美國有多少龍捲風?

4月份美國有多少龍捲風?

12%

290–319

$64.3K 交易量

$3.2K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes May 4 - May 10?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes May 4 - May 10?

72%

0

$12.6K 交易量

$7.9K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

2026年的任何一個月會是有史以來最熱的月份嗎?

2026年的任何一個月會是有史以來最熱的月份嗎?

82%

$135K 交易量

$3.7K Liq.

3

Ends 8 個月內

2026年有多少大型火山爆發( VEI ≥ 4 ) ?

2026年有多少大型火山爆發( VEI ≥ 4 ) ?

55%

0

$1M 交易量

$37.0K Liq.

10

Ends 11 個月內

2026年的自然災害?

2026年的自然災害?

29%

$217K 交易量

$2.0K Liq.

7

Ends 8 個月內

5級颶風會在2027年之前登陸美國嗎?

5級颶風會在2027年之前登陸美國嗎?

14%

$135K 交易量

$1.4K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

2026年有幾次7.0或以上的地震?

2026年有幾次7.0或以上的地震?

29%

14–16

$1M 交易量

$14.4K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 科學.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for 科學 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “美國會在…前證實外星人的存在嗎?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $51.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “2026年的自然災害?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “美國會在…前證實外星人的存在嗎?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “美國會在…前證實外星人的存在嗎?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 20% chance to 12月31日. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 科學 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.