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科學 預測與賠率

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美國會在…前證實外星人的存在嗎?

美國會在…前證實外星人的存在嗎?

16%

12月31日

$45M 交易量

$480K today

$2M Liq.

1,441

Ends 7 個月內

SpaceX IPO收市市值(降低罷工)

SpaceX IPO收市市值(降低罷工)

71%

2兆美元以上

$1M 交易量

$155K Liq.

8

Ends 超過 1 年內

2026年新流行病?
科學·流行病

2026年新流行病?

11%

$663K 交易量

$62.8K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

2026年市值最大的IPO ?

2026年市值最大的IPO ?

86%

SpaceX

$2M 交易量

$204K Liq.

12

Ends 7 個月內

May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
科學·天氣

May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

78%

1.10–1.14ºC

$141K 交易量

$45.1K Liq.

Ends 13 天內

Measles cases in U.S. by May 31?
科學·天氣

Measles cases in U.S. by May 31?

38%

2000

$125K 交易量

$14.0K Liq.

Ends 3 天內

Precipitation in Seoul in May?
科學·天氣

Precipitation in Seoul in May?

10%

150-160mm

$16.1K 交易量

$8.1K Liq.

Ends 3 天內

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes May 25 - May 31?
科學·天氣

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes May 25 - May 31?

65%

1

$20.0K 交易量

$14.4K Liq.

Ends 3 天內

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 25 - May 31?
科學·天氣

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 25 - May 31?

41%

>9

$11.9K 交易量

$12.5K Liq.

5

Ends 3 天內

2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
科學·天氣

2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

92%

2nd hottest

$217K 交易量

$32.1K Liq.

Ends 13 天內

How many Tornadoes in the US in May?
科學·天氣

How many Tornadoes in the US in May?

93%

<200

$3.6K 交易量

$9.6K Liq.

Ends 11 天內

2026年有1百萬噸流星撞擊嗎?

2026年有1百萬噸流星撞擊嗎?

3%

$108K 交易量

$5.5K Liq.

5

Ends 7 個月內

Precipitation in Seattle in May?
科學·天氣

Precipitation in Seattle in May?

73%

0.5-1"

$4.6K 交易量

$17.1K Liq.

Ends 3 天內

6月30日前有多少次7.0或以上的地震?
科學·天氣

6月30日前有多少次7.0或以上的地震?

74%

8+

$2M 交易量

$10.2K Liq.

30

Ends 大約 1 個月內

特斯拉和xAI的合並是否在6月30日前正式宣布?
科學·商務

特斯拉和xAI的合並是否在6月30日前正式宣布?

3%

$87.4K 交易量

$11.5K Liq.

3

Ends 大約 1 個月內

又發生了7.0級或以上的地震... ?
科學·天氣

又發生了7.0級或以上的地震... ?

75%

June 30

$42.1K 交易量

$2.6K Liq.

1

Ends 3 天內

Precipitation in NYC in May?
科學·天氣

Precipitation in NYC in May?

99%

3-4"

$12.5K 交易量

$12.2K Liq.

Ends 3 天內

Precipitation in London in May?
科學·天氣

Precipitation in London in May?

21%

15-20mm

$11.4K 交易量

$3.3K Liq.

Ends 3 天內

2026年會是歷史上最熱的年份之一嗎?
科學·天氣

2026年會是歷史上最熱的年份之一嗎?

59%

2

$3M 交易量

$91.3K Liq.

22

Ends 7 個月內

Measles cases in U.S. by June 30?
科學·天氣

Measles cases in U.S. by June 30?

45%

2200

$913 交易量

$5.5K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for 科學 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “美國會在…前證實外星人的存在嗎?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $54.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “2026年有1百萬噸流星撞擊嗎?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “美國會在…前證實外星人的存在嗎?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “美國會在…前證實外星人的存在嗎?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 16% chance to 12月31日. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 科學 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.