Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
全局溫度·Science

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

40%

2

$2M 交易量

$73.4K today

$109K Liq.

19

Ends in 10 months

2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
全局溫度·Science

2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

97%

4th or lower

$117K 交易量

$19.3K Liq.

Ends in 27 days

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
全局溫度·Science

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

73%

$65.6K 交易量

$2.9K Liq.

4

Ends in 10 months

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
全局溫度·Science

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

29%

1.15–1.19ºC

$92.8K 交易量

$26.1K Liq.

Ends in 27 days

Paris Mayoral Election
全局溫度·Politics

Paris Mayoral Election

73%

Emmanuel Grégoire

$16M 交易量

$272K today

$406K Liq.

312

Ends in 17 days

Le Havre Mayoral Election Winner
全局溫度·Politics

Le Havre Mayoral Election Winner

73%

Edouard Philippe

$85.8K 交易量

$50.0K Liq.

12

Ends in 8 days

Marseille Mayoral Election Winner
全局溫度·Politics

Marseille Mayoral Election Winner

93%

Benoît Payan

$258K 交易量

$51.6K Liq.

15

Ends in about 18 hours

Toulon Mayoral Election Winner
全局溫度·Politics

Toulon Mayoral Election Winner

72%

Laure Lavalette

$27.9K 交易量

$31.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 days

Next Toulouse Mayor after municipal election?
全局溫度·Politics

Next Toulouse Mayor after municipal election?

49%

Jean-Luc Moudenc

$358K 交易量

$44.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 days

Newark Mayoral Election
全局溫度·Politics

Newark Mayoral Election

79%

Ras Baraka

$2.8K 交易量

$25.6K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Valorant: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season
全局溫度·Sports

Valorant: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season

72%

T1 Academy

$7 交易量

$595 Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
全局溫度·Science

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

11%

$35.8K 交易量

$18.0K Liq.

8

Ends in about 1 year

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
全局溫度·Science

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

48%

1

$564K 交易量

$14.0K Liq.

9

Ends in about 1 year

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
全局溫度·Politics

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

13%

$28.9K 交易量

$6.6K Liq.

4

Ends in 4 months

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
全局溫度·Politics

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

8%

$34.4K 交易量

$16.7K Liq.

4

Ends in 4 months

Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Open Qualifier Playoffs
全局溫度·Sports

Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Open Qualifier Playoffs

Nuclear TigeRES

$7.1K 交易量

$0 Liq.

XRP Up or Down - February 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
全局溫度·Crypto

XRP Up or Down - February 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Down

$13.4K 交易量

$0 Liq.

XRP Up or Down - February 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
全局溫度·Crypto

XRP Up or Down - February 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Down

$152 交易量

$0 Liq.

XRP Up or Down - February 21, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
全局溫度·Crypto

XRP Up or Down - February 21, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Up

$5.3K 交易量

$0 Liq.

XRP Up or Down - February 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
全局溫度·Crypto

XRP Up or Down - February 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Down

$8.3K 交易量

$0 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 全局溫度.

Polymarket currently hosts 131 active markets for 全局溫度 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $19.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Paris Mayoral Election,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Paris Mayoral Election,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 73% chance to Emmanuel Grégoire. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 全局溫度 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.