Anthropic's latest Claude Opus 4.7 variants currently sit at roughly 43–44% on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark of unpublished, research-level math problems, trailing OpenAI's GPT-5.5 series at 51–52%. With only weeks remaining until June 30, 2026, trader sentiment centers on whether a rapid model update or inference scaling push can close that gap before resolution. OpenAI's consistent leaderboard lead reflects stronger recent gains in advanced mathematical reasoning, while Anthropic has not announced imminent releases that would alter the near-term trajectory. Any credible pre-June 30 capability jump would need to demonstrate verified Tier 1–4 performance gains rather than rely on marketing claims.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$76,831 交易量
2026-02-28
25%以上
是
30%+
是
40%+
是
50%以上
是
$76,831 交易量
25%以上
$22,655 交易量
是
30%+
$12,037 交易量
是
40%+
$12,342 交易量
是
50%以上
$29,798 交易量
是
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic's latest Claude Opus 4.7 variants currently sit at roughly 43–44% on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark of unpublished, research-level math problems, trailing OpenAI's GPT-5.5 series at 51–52%. With only weeks remaining until June 30, 2026, trader sentiment centers on whether a rapid model update or inference scaling push can close that gap before resolution. OpenAI's consistent leaderboard lead reflects stronger recent gains in advanced mathematical reasoning, while Anthropic has not announced imminent releases that would alter the near-term trajectory. Any credible pre-June 30 capability jump would need to demonstrate verified Tier 1–4 performance gains rather than rely on marketing claims.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$76,831結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic's latest Claude Opus 4.7 variants currently sit at roughly 43–44% on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark of unpublished, research-level math problems, trailing OpenAI's GPT-5.5 series at 51–52%. With only weeks remaining until June 30, 2026, trader sentiment centers on whether a rapid model update or inference scaling push can close that gap before resolution. OpenAI's consistent leaderboard lead reflects stronger recent gains in advanced mathematical reasoning, while Anthropic has not announced imminent releases that would alter the near-term trajectory. Any credible pre-June 30 capability jump would need to demonstrate verified Tier 1–4 performance gains rather than rely on marketing claims.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$76,831結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
Anthropic's latest Claude Opus 4.7 variants currently sit at roughly 43–44% on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark of unpublished, research-level math problems, trailing OpenAI's GPT-5.5 series at 51–52%. With only weeks remaining until June 30, 2026, trader sentiment centers on whether a rapid model update or inference scaling push can close that gap before resolution. OpenAI's consistent leaderboard lead reflects stronger recent gains in advanced mathematical reasoning, while Anthropic has not announced imminent releases that would alter the near-term trajectory. Any credible pre-June 30 capability jump would need to demonstrate verified Tier 1–4 performance gains rather than rely on marketing claims.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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