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OpenAI 預測與賠率

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哪家公司在6月底有最好的人工智能模型?

哪家公司在6月底有最好的人工智能模型?

79%

Anthropic

$8M 交易量

$154K today

$2M Liq.

62

Ends 大約 1 個月內

GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

78%

July 31

$166K 交易量

$34.5K Liq.

1

Ends 2 個月內

2026年市值最大的IPO ?

2026年市值最大的IPO ?

84%

SpaceX

$2M 交易量

$188K Liq.

12

Ends 7 個月內

哪家公司在6月底擁有第二好的AI模型?

哪家公司在6月底擁有第二好的AI模型?

80%

Anthropic

$423K 交易量

$60.6K Liq.

51

Ends 大約 1 個月內

OpenAI的估值會在6月30日前達到__嗎?

OpenAI的估值會在6月30日前達到__嗎?

91%

↑8,500 億美元

$88.9K 交易量

$98.3K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

OpenAI的估值是否會在12月31日前達到__ ?

OpenAI的估值是否會在12月31日前達到__ ?

92%

↑9,000 億美元

$477K 交易量

$169K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

GPT-6由… ?

GPT-6由… ?

86%

2026年12月31日

$321K 交易量

$15.0K Liq.

44

Ends 5 個月前

OpenAI IPO收市市值

OpenAI IPO收市市值

32%

1.5 兆美元以上

$2M 交易量

$59.6K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

伊隆·馬斯克會贏得對山姆·奧特曼的官司嗎?

伊隆·馬斯克會贏得對山姆·奧特曼的官司嗎?

1%

$914K 交易量

$28.4K Liq.

68

Ends 7 個月內

Anthropic vs OpenAI - 12月31日的估值更高?

Anthropic vs OpenAI - 12月31日的估值更高?

82%

Anthropic

$19.6K 交易量

$10.1K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

48%

<2

$21.5K 交易量

$12.0K Liq.

Ends 3 天內

OpenAI files IPO by...?

OpenAI files IPO by...?

21%

June 5

$63.1K 交易量

$4.2K Liq.

Ends 9 天內

截至6月底,哪家公司的人工智能模型排名最高? (樣式控制開啓)

截至6月底,哪家公司的人工智能模型排名最高? (樣式控制開啓)

68%

Anthropic

$2M 交易量

$119K Liq.

19

Ends 大約 1 個月內

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

25%

Not released by June 28

$9.9K 交易量

$7.2K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

61%

Goldman Sachs

$12.2K 交易量

$36.0K Liq.

Ends 超過 1 年內

哪家公司的人工智能將在2026年首次在聊天機器人競技場上達到1550 ?

哪家公司的人工智能將在2026年首次在聊天機器人競技場上達到1550 ?

60%

2026年無一家

$66.1K 交易量

$33.5K Liq.

3

Ends 7 個月內

特朗普下令在5月31日之前對人工智能模型的發布進行聯邦審查?

特朗普下令在5月31日之前對人工智能模型的發布進行聯邦審查?

92%

May 31

$152K 交易量

$6.3K Liq.

7

Ends 大約 1 個月內

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

59%

$OAI

$10.2K 交易量

$42.5K Liq.

1

Ends 超過 1 年內

OpenAI宣布已在2027年之前實現AGI ?

OpenAI宣布已在2027年之前實現AGI ?

13%

$77.2K 交易量

$7.5K Liq.

11

Ends 7 個月內

Anthropic或OpenAI會先上市嗎?

Anthropic或OpenAI會先上市嗎?

25%

Anthropic

$63.6K 交易量

$4.6K Liq.

Ends 超過 1 年內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like OpenAI.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for OpenAI that lets you track or trade on predictions like “哪家公司在6月底有最好的人工智能模型?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $16.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “OpenAI宣布已在2027年之前實現AGI ?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “哪家公司在6月底有最好的人工智能模型?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “哪家公司在6月底有最好的人工智能模型?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 79% chance to Anthropic. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on OpenAI predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.