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科技·AI

2027年之前收購的OpenAI ？

Market icon
科技·AI

2027年之前收購的OpenAI ？

12月 31

12月 31

是

12% 機率
Polymarket
最新

是

12% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI's market-implied 88.4% probability of remaining independent before 2027 reflects trader consensus on its fortified governance and explosive growth trajectory. The company's October 2025 restructuring into a public benefit corporation, with its nonprofit arm retaining a $130 billion equity stake and mission oversight, erects high barriers to acquisition amid antitrust scrutiny. Recent catalysts include a record $122 billion funding round closing at an $852 billion valuation—dwarfing potential buyers—and aggressive acquisitions like the TBPN tech podcast on April 2, 2026, signaling expansion rather than sale. Whispers of a late-2026 IPO further solidify autonomy, though regulatory hurdles or a valuation reset could introduce tail risks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.

An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 5:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI's market-implied 88.4% probability of remaining independent before 2027 reflects trader consensus on its fortified governance and explosive growth trajectory. The company's October 2025 restructuring into a public benefit corporation, with its nonprofit arm retaining a $130 billion equity stake and mission oversight, erects high barriers to acquisition amid antitrust scrutiny. Recent catalysts include a record $122 billion funding round closing at an $852 billion valuation—dwarfing potential buyers—and aggressive acquisitions like the TBPN tech podcast on April 2, 2026, signaling expansion rather than sale. Whispers of a late-2026 IPO further solidify autonomy, though regulatory hurdles or a valuation reset could introduce tail risks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.

An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 5:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2027年之前收購的OpenAI ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "OpenAI會在2027年前被收購嗎？" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 12¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2027年之前收購的OpenAI ？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 12, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2027年之前收購的OpenAI ？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027年之前收購的OpenAI ？" is "OpenAI會在2027年前被收購嗎？" at 12%, meaning the market assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027年之前收購的OpenAI ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.