Google's Veo 3.1 and related Gemini Omni models lead trader sentiment due to consistent top rankings on independent benchmarks for prompt adherence, native synchronized audio including dialogue, cinematic realism, and seamless integration with YouTube and Workspace tools. These capabilities, refined through 2026 releases and enterprise access tiers, have established a clear edge over competitors in quality and usability for professional workflows. ByteDance's Seedance 2.5 offers strong motion control and local editing but trails in overall consensus. Low probabilities for OpenAI, Meta, and others reflect limited recent verified advances relative to Google's demonstrated performance as the August evaluation window approaches.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Google 71%
字節跳動 23.8%
MiniMax <1%
Meta <1%
$26,931 交易量
$26,931 交易量
2026-08-31
71%
字節跳動
24%
MiniMax
1%
Meta
<1%
Luma AI
<1%
Kandinsky
<1%
騰訊
<1%
OpenAI
<1%
Lightricks
<1%
Genmo AI
<1%
阿里巴巴/阿里巴巴-ATH
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Pixverse
<1%
Runway
<1%
KlingAI
<1%
Pruna
<1%
Pika
<1%
Google 71%
字節跳動 23.8%
MiniMax <1%
Meta <1%
$26,931 交易量
$26,931 交易量
2026-08-31
$10,137 交易量
71%
字節跳動
$5,100 交易量
24%
MiniMax
$1,144 交易量
1%
Meta
$940 交易量
<1%
Luma AI
$708 交易量
<1%
Kandinsky
$568 交易量
<1%
騰訊
$806 交易量
<1%
OpenAI
$638 交易量
<1%
Lightricks
$888 交易量
<1%
Genmo AI
$2,217 交易量
<1%
阿里巴巴/阿里巴巴-ATH
$525 交易量
<1%
SpaceXAI
$560 交易量
<1%
Pixverse
$578 交易量
<1%
Runway
$525 交易量
<1%
KlingAI
$506 交易量
<1%
Pruna
$534 交易量
<1%
Pika
$557 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Veo 3.1 and related Gemini Omni models lead trader sentiment due to consistent top rankings on independent benchmarks for prompt adherence, native synchronized audio including dialogue, cinematic realism, and seamless integration with YouTube and Workspace tools. These capabilities, refined through 2026 releases and enterprise access tiers, have established a clear edge over competitors in quality and usability for professional workflows. ByteDance's Seedance 2.5 offers strong motion control and local editing but trails in overall consensus. Low probabilities for OpenAI, Meta, and others reflect limited recent verified advances relative to Google's demonstrated performance as the August evaluation window approaches.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市場開放時間： Jul 16, 2026, 11:15 PM ET
交易量
$26,931結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Jul 16, 2026, 11:15 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Veo 3.1 and related Gemini Omni models lead trader sentiment due to consistent top rankings on independent benchmarks for prompt adherence, native synchronized audio including dialogue, cinematic realism, and seamless integration with YouTube and Workspace tools. These capabilities, refined through 2026 releases and enterprise access tiers, have established a clear edge over competitors in quality and usability for professional workflows. ByteDance's Seedance 2.5 offers strong motion control and local editing but trails in overall consensus. Low probabilities for OpenAI, Meta, and others reflect limited recent verified advances relative to Google's demonstrated performance as the August evaluation window approaches.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$26,931結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Jul 16, 2026, 11:15 PM ETGoogle's Veo 3.1 and related Gemini Omni models lead trader sentiment due to consistent top rankings on independent benchmarks for prompt adherence, native synchronized audio including dialogue, cinematic realism, and seamless integration with YouTube and Workspace tools. These capabilities, refined through 2026 releases and enterprise access tiers, have established a clear edge over competitors in quality and usability for professional workflows. ByteDance's Seedance 2.5 offers strong motion control and local editing but trails in overall consensus. Low probabilities for OpenAI, Meta, and others reflect limited recent verified advances relative to Google's demonstrated performance as the August evaluation window approaches.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions