Recent leaks of GPT-5.6 routing entries in OpenAI’s Codex backend logs, combined with internal comments from chief scientist Jakub Pachocki highlighting meaningful gains over GPT-5.5, have driven trader consensus toward a late-June rollout. Following the April 2026 debut of GPT-5.5, OpenAI’s accelerated iteration cadence and competitive pressure from Anthropic models support the 70.5% market-implied probability for a June 22–28 release. No official announcement, benchmarks, or system card has appeared yet, leaving room for the 24.9% chance of delay past June 28 amid typical pre-release testing and safety reviews. The slim 5.8% odds for June 15–21 reflect the absence of any launch signals in the past 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於June 22–June 28 70.5%
Not released by June 28 23.8%
June 15–June 21 5.9%
$220,712 交易量
$220,712 交易量
2026-06-28
June 15–June 21
6%
June 22–June 28
71%
Not released by June 28
24%
June 22–June 28 70.5%
Not released by June 28 23.8%
June 15–June 21 5.9%
$220,712 交易量
$220,712 交易量
2026-06-28
June 15–June 21
$42,358 交易量
6%
June 22–June 28
$35,918 交易量
71%
Not released by June 28
$46,124 交易量
24%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent leaks of GPT-5.6 routing entries in OpenAI’s Codex backend logs, combined with internal comments from chief scientist Jakub Pachocki highlighting meaningful gains over GPT-5.5, have driven trader consensus toward a late-June rollout. Following the April 2026 debut of GPT-5.5, OpenAI’s accelerated iteration cadence and competitive pressure from Anthropic models support the 70.5% market-implied probability for a June 22–28 release. No official announcement, benchmarks, or system card has appeared yet, leaving room for the 24.9% chance of delay past June 28 amid typical pre-release testing and safety reviews. The slim 5.8% odds for June 15–21 reflect the absence of any launch signals in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
交易量
$220,712結束日期
2026-06-28市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent leaks of GPT-5.6 routing entries in OpenAI’s Codex backend logs, combined with internal comments from chief scientist Jakub Pachocki highlighting meaningful gains over GPT-5.5, have driven trader consensus toward a late-June rollout. Following the April 2026 debut of GPT-5.5, OpenAI’s accelerated iteration cadence and competitive pressure from Anthropic models support the 70.5% market-implied probability for a June 22–28 release. No official announcement, benchmarks, or system card has appeared yet, leaving room for the 24.9% chance of delay past June 28 amid typical pre-release testing and safety reviews. The slim 5.8% odds for June 15–21 reflect the absence of any launch signals in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$220,712結束日期
2026-06-28市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent leaks of GPT-5.6 routing entries in OpenAI’s Codex backend logs, combined with internal comments from chief scientist Jakub Pachocki highlighting meaningful gains over GPT-5.5, have driven trader consensus toward a late-June rollout. Following the April 2026 debut of GPT-5.5, OpenAI’s accelerated iteration cadence and competitive pressure from Anthropic models support the 70.5% market-implied probability for a June 22–28 release. No official announcement, benchmarks, or system card has appeared yet, leaving room for the 24.9% chance of delay past June 28 amid typical pre-release testing and safety reviews. The slim 5.8% odds for June 15–21 reflect the absence of any launch signals in the past 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions