Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 leads trader sentiment for the top AI model by end of June due to its recent demonstration of advanced reasoning and agentic coding capabilities, including expanded 1M-token context handling that edges out competitors on key benchmarks. Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview holds second place on the strength of its cost-efficient performance and preview updates that narrowed gaps in multimodal tasks. OpenAI's GPT-5.5 family trails amid slower iteration pace relative to rivals, while xAI and others lag further behind on current leaderboard metrics. The market reflects aggregated real-capital bets on sustained leadership through June, though fresh model drops or benchmark shifts could still alter the ordering before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Anthropic 64%
Google 24%
OpenAI 6%
xAI 2.1%
$1,474,197 交易量
$1,474,197 交易量

Anthropic
64%

24%

OpenAI
6%

xAI
2%

DeepSeek
1%

阿里巴巴
1%

Meta
1%

微軟
1%

Z.ai
1%

Moonshot
1%

美團
<1%

亞馬遜
<1%

字節跳動
<1%

Mistral
<1%

百度
<1%
Anthropic 64%
Google 24%
OpenAI 6%
xAI 2.1%
$1,474,197 交易量
$1,474,197 交易量

Anthropic
64%

24%

OpenAI
6%

xAI
2%

DeepSeek
1%

阿里巴巴
1%

Meta
1%

微軟
1%

Z.ai
1%

Moonshot
1%

美團
<1%

亞馬遜
<1%

字節跳動
<1%

Mistral
<1%

百度
<1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
市場開放時間: Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 leads trader sentiment for the top AI model by end of June due to its recent demonstration of advanced reasoning and agentic coding capabilities, including expanded 1M-token context handling that edges out competitors on key benchmarks. Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview holds second place on the strength of its cost-efficient performance and preview updates that narrowed gaps in multimodal tasks. OpenAI's GPT-5.5 family trails amid slower iteration pace relative to rivals, while xAI and others lag further behind on current leaderboard metrics. The market reflects aggregated real-capital bets on sustained leadership through June, though fresh model drops or benchmark shifts could still alter the ordering before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions