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科技·OpenAI

截至6月底，哪家公司的人工智能模型排名最高？ （樣式控制開啓）

Market icon
科技·OpenAI

截至6月底，哪家公司的人工智能模型排名最高？ （樣式控制開啓）

4月 30

6月 30

4月 30

6月 30

Anthropic 52%

Google 20%

OpenAI 14%

xAI 7%

Polymarket

$925,951 交易量

Anthropic 52%

Google 20%

OpenAI 14%

xAI 7%

Polymarket

$925,951 交易量

Market icon

Anthropic

$16,467 交易量

52%

Market icon

Google

$8,784 交易量

20%

Market icon

OpenAI

$42,853 交易量

14%

Market icon

xAI

$6,893 交易量

7%

Market icon

DeepSeek

$174,882 交易量

3%

Market icon

Moonshot

$196,415 交易量

2%

Market icon

Mistral

$42,527 交易量

2%

Market icon

美團

$115,310 交易量

2%

Market icon

Z.ai

$204,317 交易量

2%

Market icon

阿里巴巴

$117,503 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Anthropic at 51.5% implied probability for the top AI model by June 30, driven by Claude Opus 4.6-thinking's commanding lead on the LMArena Chatbot Arena text leaderboard (style control on), scoring 1504 Elo versus Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview at 1494 and OpenAI's GPT-5.4-high at 1484. Anthropic holds #1 and #2 spots, reflecting superior reasoning and agentic capabilities in recent crowdsourced battles. A leak yesterday hinting at an even more powerful Claude iteration has solidified sentiment, while rivals like xAI's Grok-4.20 beta trail. With Google at 19.5% and OpenAI at 14.5%, traders anticipate competitive releases before resolution, but Anthropic's momentum and benchmark stability suggest sustained positioning absent major surprises.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
交易量
$925,951
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Anthropic at 51.5% implied probability for the top AI model by June 30, driven by Claude Opus 4.6-thinking's commanding lead on the LMArena Chatbot Arena text leaderboard (style control on), scoring 1504 Elo versus Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview at 1494 and OpenAI's GPT-5.4-high at 1484. Anthropic holds #1 and #2 spots, reflecting superior reasoning and agentic capabilities in recent crowdsourced battles. A leak yesterday hinting at an even more powerful Claude iteration has solidified sentiment, while rivals like xAI's Grok-4.20 beta trail. With Google at 19.5% and OpenAI at 14.5%, traders anticipate competitive releases before resolution, but Anthropic's momentum and benchmark stability suggest sustained positioning absent major surprises.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
交易量
$925,951
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"截至6月底，哪家公司的人工智能模型排名最高？ （樣式控制開啓）" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Anthropic" at 52%, followed by "Google" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "截至6月底，哪家公司的人工智能模型排名最高？ （樣式控制開啓）" has generated $926K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "截至6月底，哪家公司的人工智能模型排名最高？ （樣式控制開啓）," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "截至6月底，哪家公司的人工智能模型排名最高？ （樣式控制開啓）" is "Anthropic" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Google" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "截至6月底，哪家公司的人工智能模型排名最高？ （樣式控制開啓）" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.