The DoD’s Section 1260H list, which identifies Chinese firms tied to military-civil fusion and operating in the United States, expanded sharply to 188 entities in the June 2026 update after adding 65 companies across AI, semiconductors, EVs, and robotics while removing only 10 that no longer met the “direct or indirect” U.S. operations test. Removals occur primarily through the formal reconsideration process or successful federal court challenges, as seen with prior delistings of Xiaomi and Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment; Alibaba’s July 2026 lawsuit contesting its designation highlights ongoing litigation that could produce additional exits before the June 2027 contracting restrictions fully tighten. Traders should monitor the next annual update, any new NDAA provisions expanding criteria, and outcomes of pending cases involving consumer-tech giants, since these events directly influence which entities demonstrate sufficient separation from U.S. activities or win administrative relief.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$14,336 交易量
2027-06-30
CATL
53%
Alibaba
50%
Baidu
47%
BYD
37%
Unitree
37%
Hesai
28%
DJI
44%
YMTC
43%
Tencent
43%
CXMT
42%
$14,336 交易量
CATL
$872 交易量
53%
Alibaba
$9,221 交易量
50%
Baidu
$402 交易量
47%
BYD
$259 交易量
37%
Unitree
$612 交易量
37%
Hesai
$1,640 交易量
28%
DJI
$635 交易量
44%
YMTC
$148 交易量
43%
Tencent
$443 交易量
43%
CXMT
$103 交易量
42%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified company is fully removed from the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021” by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying removal occurs when the specified company named in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) no longer appears on an updated official Section 1260H list.
A qualifying removal must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of delisting.
Removal of a subsidiary or affiliate entry while the specified company remains listed will not qualify. Removal of a company will qualify even if formerly affiliated subsidiaries remain listed as separate entries.
An entity that ceases to appear solely due to renaming, merger with another listed entity, or transfer of the designation to a successor, parent, or affiliate entity will not be considered removed.
A removal will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn.
For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the enforcement of its designation is suspended without being removed from the aforementioned list, that will not qualify as a removal.
If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).The DoD’s Section 1260H list, which identifies Chinese firms tied to military-civil fusion and operating in the United States, expanded sharply to 188 entities in the June 2026 update after adding 65 companies across AI, semiconductors, EVs, and robotics while removing only 10 that no longer met the “direct or indirect” U.S. operations test. Removals occur primarily through the formal reconsideration process or successful federal court challenges, as seen with prior delistings of Xiaomi and Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment; Alibaba’s July 2026 lawsuit contesting its designation highlights ongoing litigation that could produce additional exits before the June 2027 contracting restrictions fully tighten. Traders should monitor the next annual update, any new NDAA provisions expanding criteria, and outcomes of pending cases involving consumer-tech giants, since these events directly influence which entities demonstrate sufficient separation from U.S. activities or win administrative relief.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified company is fully removed from the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021” by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying removal occurs when the specified company named in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) no longer appears on an updated official Section 1260H list.
A qualifying removal must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of delisting.
Removal of a subsidiary or affiliate entry while the specified company remains listed will not qualify. Removal of a company will qualify even if formerly affiliated subsidiaries remain listed as separate entries.
An entity that ceases to appear solely due to renaming, merger with another listed entity, or transfer of the designation to a successor, parent, or affiliate entity will not be considered removed.
A removal will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn.
For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the enforcement of its designation is suspended without being removed from the aforementioned list, that will not qualify as a removal.
If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).
A qualifying removal occurs when the specified company named in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) no longer appears on an updated official Section 1260H list.
A qualifying removal must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of delisting.
Removal of a subsidiary or affiliate entry while the specified company remains listed will not qualify. Removal of a company will qualify even if formerly affiliated subsidiaries remain listed as separate entries.
An entity that ceases to appear solely due to renaming, merger with another listed entity, or transfer of the designation to a successor, parent, or affiliate entity will not be considered removed.
A removal will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn.
For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the enforcement of its designation is suspended without being removed from the aforementioned list, that will not qualify as a removal.
If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).
市場開放時間： Jul 13, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
交易量
$14,336結束日期
2027-06-30市場開放時間
Jul 13, 2026, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified company is fully removed from the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021” by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying removal occurs when the specified company named in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) no longer appears on an updated official Section 1260H list.
A qualifying removal must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of delisting.
Removal of a subsidiary or affiliate entry while the specified company remains listed will not qualify. Removal of a company will qualify even if formerly affiliated subsidiaries remain listed as separate entries.
An entity that ceases to appear solely due to renaming, merger with another listed entity, or transfer of the designation to a successor, parent, or affiliate entity will not be considered removed.
A removal will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn.
For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the enforcement of its designation is suspended without being removed from the aforementioned list, that will not qualify as a removal.
If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).The DoD’s Section 1260H list, which identifies Chinese firms tied to military-civil fusion and operating in the United States, expanded sharply to 188 entities in the June 2026 update after adding 65 companies across AI, semiconductors, EVs, and robotics while removing only 10 that no longer met the “direct or indirect” U.S. operations test. Removals occur primarily through the formal reconsideration process or successful federal court challenges, as seen with prior delistings of Xiaomi and Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment; Alibaba’s July 2026 lawsuit contesting its designation highlights ongoing litigation that could produce additional exits before the June 2027 contracting restrictions fully tighten. Traders should monitor the next annual update, any new NDAA provisions expanding criteria, and outcomes of pending cases involving consumer-tech giants, since these events directly influence which entities demonstrate sufficient separation from U.S. activities or win administrative relief.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified company is fully removed from the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021” by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying removal occurs when the specified company named in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) no longer appears on an updated official Section 1260H list.
A qualifying removal must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of delisting.
Removal of a subsidiary or affiliate entry while the specified company remains listed will not qualify. Removal of a company will qualify even if formerly affiliated subsidiaries remain listed as separate entries.
An entity that ceases to appear solely due to renaming, merger with another listed entity, or transfer of the designation to a successor, parent, or affiliate entity will not be considered removed.
A removal will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn.
For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the enforcement of its designation is suspended without being removed from the aforementioned list, that will not qualify as a removal.
If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).
A qualifying removal occurs when the specified company named in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) no longer appears on an updated official Section 1260H list.
A qualifying removal must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of delisting.
Removal of a subsidiary or affiliate entry while the specified company remains listed will not qualify. Removal of a company will qualify even if formerly affiliated subsidiaries remain listed as separate entries.
An entity that ceases to appear solely due to renaming, merger with another listed entity, or transfer of the designation to a successor, parent, or affiliate entity will not be considered removed.
A removal will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn.
For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the enforcement of its designation is suspended without being removed from the aforementioned list, that will not qualify as a removal.
If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).
交易量
$14,336結束日期
2027-06-30市場開放時間
Jul 13, 2026, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The DoD’s Section 1260H list, which identifies Chinese firms tied to military-civil fusion and operating in the United States, expanded sharply to 188 entities in the June 2026 update after adding 65 companies across AI, semiconductors, EVs, and robotics while removing only 10 that no longer met the “direct or indirect” U.S. operations test. Removals occur primarily through the formal reconsideration process or successful federal court challenges, as seen with prior delistings of Xiaomi and Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment; Alibaba’s July 2026 lawsuit contesting its designation highlights ongoing litigation that could produce additional exits before the June 2027 contracting restrictions fully tighten. Traders should monitor the next annual update, any new NDAA provisions expanding criteria, and outcomes of pending cases involving consumer-tech giants, since these events directly influence which entities demonstrate sufficient separation from U.S. activities or win administrative relief.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions