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摩根大通 預測與賠率

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Which banks will fail by June 30?

Which banks will fail by June 30?

6%

RBC

$508K 交易量

$42.3K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

71%

Goldman Sachs

$12.3K 交易量

$42.7K Liq.

Ends 超過 1 年內

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

25%

KeyBank

$23.0K 交易量

$63.1K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

3rd largest private company end of June?

3rd largest private company end of June?

81%

OpenAI

$23.2K 交易量

$127K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31?

Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31?

47%

Stripe

$73 交易量

$871 Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

2nd largest private company end of June?

2nd largest private company end of June?

87%

Anthropic

$15.1K 交易量

$116K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Largest private company end of June?

Largest private company end of June?

95%

SpaceX

$54.2K 交易量

$119K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?

SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?

93%

SpaceX

$15.3K 交易量

$17.8K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

70%

$590K 交易量

$50.9K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30?

Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30?

5%

Anthropic

$4.4K 交易量

$7.6K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

21%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$527 交易量

$6.7K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

ITF Grado: Nico Hipfl vs Gianmarco Ferrari

ITF Grado: Nico Hipfl vs Gianmarco Ferrari

55%

Gianmarco Ferrari

$13 交易量

$1.5K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

81%

Anthropic

$19.6K 交易量

$9.3K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?

Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?

37%

Anduril

$52 交易量

$1.1K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Databricks vs Salesforce - higher valuation on June 30?

Databricks vs Salesforce - higher valuation on June 30?

16%

Databricks

$253 交易量

$956 Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on June 30?

Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on June 30?

49%

Databricks

$52 交易量

$448 Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?

88%

Anthropic

$19.0K 交易量

$9.8K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Epic Games vs Roblox - higher valuation on December 31?

Epic Games vs Roblox - higher valuation on December 31?

11%

Epic Games

$5 交易量

$1.0K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31?

Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31?

51%

Databricks

$0 交易量

$850 Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Centurion (Doubles): Beckley/Donski vs Henning/Lock

Centurion (Doubles): Beckley/Donski vs Henning/Lock

50%

Henning/Lock

$0 交易量

$15 Liq.

Ends 7 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

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As of today, the most active market is “Nothing Ever Happens: 2026,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 70% chance to Yes. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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