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摩根大通 預測與賠率

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Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

49%

Morgan Stanley

$2M 交易量

$32.5K Liq.

17

Ends 超過 1 年內

Which banks will fail by June 30?

Which banks will fail by June 30?

48%

BMO

$479K 交易量

$36.8K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

47%

BMO

$20.5K 交易量

$84.3K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

69%

$550K 交易量

$38.6K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jacob Fearnley vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jacob Fearnley vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

$376K 交易量

$317K today

Ends 6 天內

Nothing Ever Happens: May

Nothing Ever Happens: May

63%

Nothing

$52.8K 交易量

$26.5K Liq.

Ends 23 天內

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

12%

$5.6K 交易量

$4.0K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns

62%

Madison Keys

$162 交易量

$48.6K Liq.

Ends 8 天內

What will be said on ICEMAN?

What will be said on ICEMAN?

85%

Covid

$57.0K 交易量

$4.5K Liq.

13

Ends 7 天內

YOM FDV above ___ one day after launch?

YOM FDV above ___ one day after launch?

49%

$20M

$30 交易量

$393 Liq.

Ends 超過 1 年內

Best AI model on May 8? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on May 8? (Style Control Off)

99%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$31.4K 交易量

$71.7K Liq.

5

Ends 大約 5 小時內

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Jiri Lehecka

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Jiri Lehecka

78%

Jiri Lehecka

$1.7K 交易量

$37.1K Liq.

Ends 8 天內

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Learner Tien vs Damir Dzumhur

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Learner Tien vs Damir Dzumhur

60%

Learner Tien

$2.2K 交易量

$79.8K Liq.

Ends 8 天內

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

96%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1M 交易量

$54.3K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

78%

LedgerX

$100K 交易量

$3.8K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

White House # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

White House # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

50%

140-159

$143K 交易量

$39.4K Liq.

Ends 大約 21 小時內

White House # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

White House # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

41%

160-179

$37.2K 交易量

$29.0K Liq.

Ends 5 天內

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ethan Quinn vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ethan Quinn vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

$648K 交易量

$645K today

Ends 7 天內

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

99%

June 30

$4M 交易量

$74.8K today

$269K Liq.

96

Ends 6 天內

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

6%

June 30

$3.7K 交易量

$17.4K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for 摩根大通 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $9.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Nothing Ever Happens: 2026”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 99% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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